319 Altamont Rd · Covington, KY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
Key facts
- Spacious back porch
- Versatile loft space
- Open layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John G Carlisle Elementary (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #620 of 676 statewide, top 93%, 304 students, 81% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.99%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,776
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1232 Clark St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 946 (+5%) | 5mo | $203,000 | $215 | 70 |
| 1319 Hazen St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 874 (-3%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 1111 John St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-10%) | 3mo | $132,000 | $162 | 60 |
| 343 Hazen St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+11%) | 15mo | $255,000 | $255 | 58 |
| 1037 John St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+11%) | 4mo | $65,550 | $66 | 56 |
| 1222 John St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 812 (-10%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $59 | 56 |
| 215 Oak St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,007 (+11%) | 4mo | $174,400 | $173 | 56 |
| 114 Ash St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (+6%) | 14mo | $189,900 | $198 | 54 |
| 40 Carneal St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-7%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $237 | 53 |
| 323 Linden St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (+10%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $154 | 52 |
| 336 Oak St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (+10%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $141 | 43 |
| 246 Glenwood Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,037 (+15%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $169 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $16,776
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $57,295
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41016
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,640 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,757/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $517
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1261 Parkway Ave Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 4d | 3 | 0.22mi |
| 22 Swain Ct Covington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,895 | $1.99 | 1d | 3 | 0.33mi |
| 47 Ash St Ludlow, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 105 Ash St Unit 1364141P Ludlow, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $2,906 | $4.16 | 7d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 336 Elm St Unit 4 Ludlow, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 336 Elm St Unit 2 Ludlow, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2361 Maryland Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 231 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,575 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 515 Main St Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,215 | $2.37 | 1d | 8 | 1.21mi |
| 205 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 648 | $2,162 | $3.33 | 1d | 44 | 1.25mi |
| 2600 Bushnell St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $1,295 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 151 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $2,399 | $3.30 | 1d | 102 | 1.28mi |
| 464 Grand Ave #1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 211 W 9th St Unit 5 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 218 W 5th St Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,595 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 135 Garfield Pl Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,413 | $2.11 | 1d | 6 | 1.35mi |
| 44 W Freedom Way Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $2,859 | $3.03 | 1d | 28 | 1.37mi |
| 151 Seventh St W Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1191 | $2,129 | $1.79 | 1d | 4 | 1.38mi |
| 50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1273 | $3,640 | $2.86 | 1d | 9 | 1.39mi |
| 309 Vine St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,467 | $2.58 | 1d | 15 | 1.41mi |
| 1000 Parkvale Ct Park Hills, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1675 | $6,550 | $3.91 | 2d | 96 | 1.42mi |
| 1002 Parkvale Ct Unit 1002 3 Park Hills, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1002 Parkvale Ct Unit 1004 1 Park Hills, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 111 Garfield Pl Unit GAR-0105 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,190 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 124 W 9th St Unit 1523602P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $6,605 | $8.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 26 W 7th St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $998 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 210 W 12th St Unit 218 504 AMI Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $1,275 | $1.98 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7 W 7th St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $3,420 | $3.50 | 2d | 65 | 1.47mi |
| 103 W Court St Unit 201 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,090 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 633 Hawthorne Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 633 Hawthorne Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 635 Hawthorne Ave #1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 19 Garfield Pl Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1680 | $2,260 | $1.34 | 1d | 11 | 1.48mi |
| 19 Garfield Pl Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $2,300 | $2.18 | 43d | 20 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $100,000
-
2026-02-23$125,000 Active
-
2026-02-23historical
-
2025-10-24price $140,000
-
2025-10-14$145,000 Active
-
2024-03-29soldstatus $129,995 Sold 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-02-29status Pending 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-02-16status Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-02-05status Pending 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-01-25status Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-01-18status Pending 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-01-12status Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-01-08status Pending 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2024-01-04status Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2023-12-27historical 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2023-12-26$134,900 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Why rent when you could own! This one is move-in ready or add to your rental portfolio. Charming Cottage with loft minutes from Devou Park and MainStrasse Village. New Deck, New appliances, New water heater, New Carpet/Flooring throughout. Front Door to be painted soon.
-
2023-10-02soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,757 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,757 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,679
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,757
- − Insurance
- −$1,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,574
- − Management
- −$1,574
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,192
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,007/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101350
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,681
- Composite
- 15.04/100
- National rank
- #9353
- State rank
- #162 of 165 in KY
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covington, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 34,373
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,795
- Household income
- $71,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 95.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.84%
- Current HPI
- 215.1436
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+53.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $100,000 NKMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $125,000 NKMLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $140,000 NKMLS
- 2025-10-14 Listed $145,000 NKMLS
- 2024-03-29 Sold (MLS) $129,995 NKMLS
- 2024-02-29 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-02-16 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2024-02-05 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-01-25 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2024-01-18 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-01-12 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2024-01-08 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-01-04 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2023-12-27 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2023-12-26 Listed $134,900 NKMLS
- 2023-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+27.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,757 · +93.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…