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227 E Northern Ave
B Composite 70.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

227 E Northern Ave · Springfield, OH 45503
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1891 6,534 sqft lot $61/sqft · 32% below area Est $175k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious and full of opportunity, this five-bedroom, two full bath home offers nearly 2,000 square feet of living space with a functional and flexible layout. The main level features three bedrooms and a full bathroom, while the upper level includes two generously sized bedrooms and an additional full bath, providing plenty of room to spread out. Major updates have already been completed, including the roof, furnace, water heater, plumbing, and electrical, giving peace of mind for years to come. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances that convey with the sale. With its size, layout, and improvements, this home is well suited for a growing household or as a strong additio

Key facts

  • Major updates
  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

MAJOR UPDATESSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Supplied water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1891; Vinyl siding; Block and stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Residential lot (47 x 142)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master Bedroom (11 x 13); Bedroom 1 (10 x 12); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (12 x 15); Bedroom 4 (13 x 15)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Decorative fireplace; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $92k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,430 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
9.67%
Cash-on-cash
12.05%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,561
List price
$119,000
Delta
-31.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
307 E Northern Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,043 (+5%) 3mo $131,000 $64 83
520 E Northern Ave 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,854 (-5%) 7mo $75,000 $40 71
1121 Elm St 0.15mi 4/1.0 1,754 (-10%) 8mo $187,500 $107 70
614 Mason St 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,987 (+2%) 8mo $165,000 $83 69
380 Stanton Ave 0.31mi 4/1.5 1,872 (-4%) 12mo $130,000 $69 67
1119 Garfield Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,052 (+5%) 9mo $220,000 $107 66
315 E Madison Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 2,116 (+8%) 7mo $145,000 $69 65
119 E Mccreight Ave 0.16mi 4/2.0 2,216 (+14%) 2mo $225,000 $102 64
25 Roosevelt Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,928 (-1%) 8mo $215,000 $112 62
242 Chestnut Ave 0.38mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,771 (-9%) 3mo $22,000 $12 59
19 Ardmore Rd 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,006 (+3%) 8mo $271,000 $135 49
1134 Cedarview Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,697 (-13%) 11mo $149,400 $88 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,177
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$29,966
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45503

Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,735 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$362 /mo · $4,346/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 Section St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1612 $1,850 $1.15 11d 1 0.92mi
220 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,645 $1.13 23d 1 1.29mi
306 S Plum St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 44d 1 1.29mi
302 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,845 $1.27 11d 1 1.34mi
356 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1606 $1,825 $1.14 11d 1 1.40mi
523 W Mulberry St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,825 $1.25 11d 1 1.43mi
524 W Pleasant St Springfield, OH 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,645 $1.13 11d 1 1.46mi
307 N Isabella St Unit 309 Springfield, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,400 $1.08 2d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    status Active 730-char remark
  17. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 730-char remark
  18. 2026-04-28
    listed $139,000 Active 730-char remark
  19. 2025-12-31
    historical
  20. 2025-12-31
    historical
  21. 2025-08-27
    price $139,000
  22. 2025-08-27
    price $139,000
  23. 2025-08-07
    price $149,000
  24. 2025-08-07
    price $149,000
  25. 2025-07-14
    listed $159,000 Active
  26. 2025-07-14
    listed $159,000 Active
  27. 2023-06-17
    historical
  28. 2023-06-16
    historical
  29. 2023-06-01
    status Active
  30. 2023-05-18
    historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections
  31. 2023-05-13
    listed $120,000 Active
  32. 2023-05-13
    listed $120,000 Active
  33. 2004-01-06
    soldstatus $91,900
  34. 2003-05-08
    soldstatus $91,900
  35. 2002-08-30
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,346 · $362/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,346 · $362/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,814
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$4,346
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,665
− Management
−$1,665
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$2,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$580
After-tax cash flow
$3,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield City School District
NCES district ID
3904481
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,541
Composite
19.12/100
National rank
#8834
State rank
#616 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OH
County
Clark · 134,280 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,673
Household income
$54,561
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
4.7

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.92%
Current HPI
257.5694
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.9% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $119,000 WRIST
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted WRIST
  • 2026-05-12 Pending WRIST
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $139,000 WRIST
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed WRIST
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $139,000 WRIST
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $139,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $149,000 WRIST
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $149,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $159,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $159,000 WRIST
  • 2023-06-17 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2023-06-16 Listing Removed WRIST
  • 2023-06-01 Relisted WRIST
  • 2023-05-18 Contingent WRIST
  • 2023-05-13 Listed $120,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2023-05-13 Listed $120,000 WRIST
  • 2004-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $91,900 Public Records
  • 2003-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $91,900 Public Records
  • 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,346 · +66.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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