3164 E Cottonwood Rd · Dothan, AL 36301

$94,500

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,636 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market

Built 1961 1.84 ac lot Est $170k · 44% under ↓ 24% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this super cute 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom property offering over 1,600 sq ft of comfortable living space on an impressive nearly 2-acre corner lot. From the moment you arrive, you will be able to envision making this your own personal space. The HVAC has been serviced annually per the seller, giving added peace of mind. Inside, you'll find beautiful LVP flooring flowing throughout the home, creating a clean, modern feel. In the kitchen, the stove, refrigerator and dishwasher are not yet installed, but are included! Step outside to the large covered patio, the perfect spot for morning coffee, weekend grilling, or simply taking in the serenity of the expansive yard. With so much

Key facts

• Expansive yard
• Large covered patio
• Corner lot

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• LARGE COVERED PATIO
• EXPANSIVE YARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
• Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Beverlye Intermediate School (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #503 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 388 students, 90% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 59% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $85,995 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.83% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 36.65%
• DSCR: 2.63
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $170,144
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1816 S Beverlye Rd	0.57mi	3/2.0	1,820 (+11%)	20mo	$189,900	$104	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.35×
• Total profit: $9,221
• Equity at exit: $14,090

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.52×
• Total profit: $40,259
• Equity at exit: $8,171

Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36301

• Home prices YoY: -24.9%
• Active inventory: 410
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,729 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$496
• Tax from tax record: −$23 /mo · $278/yr
• Insurance: −$39
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$363
• Net cashflow: $382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,246

Max offer price $94,500

Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,625
• Closing costs: $2,835
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
205 Princeton Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1992	$2,000	$1.00	43d	1	1.10mi
133 Princeton Dr Dothan, AL	4.0	3.0	2205	$2,100	$0.95	43d	1	1.14mi
2211 Shannondoah Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1409	$1,450	$1.03	43d	1	1.20mi
2918 Third Ave Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1504	$1,400	$0.93	43d	1	1.25mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-04-03
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-24
   price $94,500
3. 2026-03-21
   price $94,900
4. 2026-03-11
   status Active
5. 2026-02-19
   status Pending
6. 2026-02-13
   price $96,900
7. 2026-01-31
   price $99,900
8. 2026-01-24
   price $107,900
9. 2026-01-21
   price $108,900
10. 2026-01-07
    price $109,900
11. 2025-12-10
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $278 · $23/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $387 · $32/mo
• Expected delta: +$109/yr (+$9/mo · 39.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,753
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,293
• − Property taxes: −$278
• − Insurance: −$5,591
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,660
• − Management: −$1,660
• − Depreciation: −$2,749
• Taxable income: $3,521
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$845
• After-tax cash flow: $3,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dothan City
• NCES district ID: 0101230
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,279
• Composite: 24.56/100
• National rank: #7640
• State rank: #73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #146
• US rank: #13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dothan, AL
• City population: 47,783
• Population (ZIP): 38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 110,280 people
• By 2030: 112,668 · +2.2%
• By 2040: 116,149 · +5.3%
• By 2050: 117,805 · +6.8%
• By 2075: 118,577 · +7.5%
• By 2100: 110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -53.46%
• Current HPI: 161.1212
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-24.3% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Pending — SAMLS
• 2026-03-24 Price Changed $94,500 SAMLS
• 2026-03-21 Price Changed $94,900 SAMLS
• 2026-03-11 Relisted — SAMLS
• 2026-02-19 Pending — SAMLS
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $96,900 SAMLS
• 2026-01-31 Price Changed $99,900 SAMLS
• 2026-01-24 Price Changed $107,900 SAMLS
• 2026-01-21 Price Changed $108,900 SAMLS
• 2026-01-07 Price Changed $109,900 SAMLS
• 2025-12-10 Listed $124,900 SAMLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $278 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.