1732 4th St St SE · Moultrie, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming, move-in ready home with thoughtful updates and extra space to love! This well-maintained property offers a warm and inviting layout, featuring a closed-in bonus room just off the kitchen, perfect for a home office, playroom, gym, or additional living area. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the main living space, making it ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy comfortable bedrooms, a bright and airy living room, and plenty of character throughout.
Key facts
- Closed-in bonus room
- Main living space
- 0.54 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.4% in Moultrie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#374 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
- Colquitt County (town): math 29% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 174 in GA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 94 units permitted in Colquitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colquitt County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.72%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,512
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1716 4th St St SE | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 926 (+7%) | 10mo | $145,850 | $158 | 78 |
| 1904 5th St. St SE | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+11%) | 6mo | $119,000 | $124 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,423
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $18,528
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31768
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $942/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $351 | -5% $313 | +0% $275 | +5% $236 | +10% $198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $219 | +0% $275 | +5% $330 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $343 | -0.5pp $309 | base $275 | +0.5pp $240 | +1.0pp $204 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1059 Tallokas Pointe Rd Moultrie, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 44d | 5 | 0.52mi |
| 1001 1st St SE Unit A-L Moultrie, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1001 1st St SE Unit A-L Moultrie, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 20 7th St NE Moultrie, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,350 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-01soldstatus $105,000
-
2026-02-20status Pending
-
2025-12-29$135,000 Active
-
2025-11-15price $139,999
-
2025-10-06$145,000 Active
-
2004-11-19soldstatus $33,000
-
1995-10-05soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $942 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,242 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$300/yr (+$25/mo · 31.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$942
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,358
- − Management
- −$1,358
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,149
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$276
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colquitt County
- NCES district ID
- 1301380
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,950
- Composite
- 22.11/100
- National rank
- #8176
- State rank
- #117 of 174 in GA
Livability — Moultrie
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #18973
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moultrie, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,281
Population outlook (Colquitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,043 people
- By 2030
- 45,757 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,929 · -2.4%
- By 2050
- 43,901 · -4.7%
- By 2075
- 40,831 · -11.3%
- By 2100
- 37,986 · -17.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Colquitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.8% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+39.6 2008: R+37.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.21%
- Current HPI
- 188.988
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+228.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-20 Pending — MBOR
- 2025-12-29 Listed $135,000 MBOR
- 2025-11-15 Price Changed $139,999 MBOR
- 2025-10-06 Listed $145,000 MBOR
- 2004-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 1995-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $942 · +80.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…