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1277 Ritchie Hwy #195
B Composite 70.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

1277 Ritchie Hwy #195 · Arnold, MD 21012
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily · 220 Days on market
Built 2016 Good condition $112/sqft · 67% below area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

Key facts

  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 2016
  • Listed 220 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.1% in Arnold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#93 in MD, #3,518 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $127,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.75%
Cash-on-cash
40.91%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$443,421
List price
$144,900
Delta
-67.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1277 Ritchie Hwy #195 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,296 (0%) 0mo $140,000 $108 100
1294 Circle Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+14%) 2mo $455,700 $308 52
1296 Ritchie Hwy 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,197 (-8%) 22mo $390,000 $326 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$64,661
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
5.19×
Total profit
$169,928
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21012

Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,018 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$634
Net cashflow
$1,383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1062 Brightleaf Dr Arnold, MD 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,600 $1.59 43d 1 0.87mi
269 Ternwing Dr Arnold, MD 3.0 1.0 1156 $2,500 $2.16 43d 1 0.92mi
394 Kiltie Ct Arnold, MD 3.0 2.0 1580 $3,150 $1.99 43d 1 1.03mi
358 Kimwood Rd Arnold, MD 3.0 1.5 1248 $2,500 $2.00 43d 1 1.05mi
903 Country Ter Severna Park, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $4,700 $2.94 23d 1 1.38mi
527 Greenblades Ct Arnold, MD 3.0 2.0 1246 $2,375 $1.91 17d 1 1.48mi
791 Match Point Dr Arnold, MD 3.0 1.5 1240 $2,700 $2.18 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  2. 2026-05-06
    historical Active Under Contract 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  3. 2026-04-20
    price $144,900 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  4. 2026-04-03
    price $149,900 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  5. 2026-03-12
    price $159,900 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  6. 2025-10-07
    status Active 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  7. 2025-10-03
    historical Active Under Contract 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

  8. 2025-09-24
    listed $164,900 Active 865-char remark
    Show marketing remark (865 chars)

    AGENTS PLEASE MAKE SURE YOUR BUYERS ARE AWARE OF THE $985 MONTHLY LOT FEE THAT INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, TRASH AND SNOW REMOVAL. Great Arnold Location! Very Nice Double Wide in Sought After Dogwood 55+ Mobile Home Park! Inside this Home Features an Open Floor Plan with a Big Family/Living Room, Built-in Entertainment Center, Large Kitchen with Plenty of Cabinets and Counter Space and a Separate Formal Dining Room. Big Primary Bedroom with Private Bathroom, Double Shower and Big Walking Closet. Nice Sized 2nd and 3rd Bedroom and Jack and Jill Bathroom. Recent Updates Include New Carpet and Architectual Shingle Roof. Home sits on a Nicely Landscaped Lot in the Quiet Community with a Big Driveway and Secure Storage Shed. Close to Shopping and Restaurants. Just a few minutes to Rt 50 and 10 Minutes to Downtown Annapolis. Contact me Today for a Private Viewing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,221
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,174
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,898
− Management
−$2,898
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$15,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,647
After-tax cash flow
$12,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This double-wide mobile home in a sought-after community is in good condition with recent updates. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for modest improvements to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and add aesthetic appeal, boosting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and add aesthetic appeal, boosting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anne Arundel County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400060
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$87,880
Composite
28.52/100
National rank
#6733
State rank
#10 of 24 in MD

Livability — Arnold

Score
76/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3518

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arnold, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
City population
22,570
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
22,570
Household income
$139,432
Rent vs Own
13.7% rent · 86.3% own
Severe rent burden
271.0

Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
617,384 people
By 2030
642,094 · +4.0%
By 2040
686,621 · +11.2%
By 2050
723,031 · +17.1%
By 2075
809,346 · +31.1%
By 2100
837,658 · +35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel

2024 margin
D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -469.24%
Current HPI
288.2944
Rent YoY
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-07 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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