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645 W 21st Triplex
C+ Composite 61.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$729,000

645 W 21st · Los Angeles, CA 90731
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1923 5,000 sqft lot $460/sqft · 11% below area Est $819k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Craftsman triplex with 3 detached garages. New roof recently and electrical has been upgraded. Each unit has it own service porch with laundry hookups. Below market rent provides for future upside potential. Short distance to the Marina and West Harbor waterfront.

Key facts

  • Upgraded electrical
  • Detached garages
  • Service porch

Tags

DETACHED GARAGESNEW ROOFUPGRADED ELECTRICALSERVICE PORCHLAUNDRY HOOKUPSWEST HARBOR WATERFRONT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $729k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $475/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $729k).
  • Recommended offer: $685k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,715/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 4568% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($685k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $365k; list at $729k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $685,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.38%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$818,702
List price
$729,000
Delta
-10.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
560 W Hamilton Ave 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (-2%) 9mo $648,000 $415 72
1141 W 21st 0.63mi 3/3.0 1,564 (-1%) 0mo $700,000 $448 68
1939 South Alma St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-4%) 5mo $799,000 $526 63
2617 S Pacific Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,480 (-7%) 7mo $780,000 $527 62
430 W 19th STREET St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,516 (-4%) 10mo $804,000 $530 61
550 W 17th St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,534 (-3%) 14mo $670,000 $437 60
459 W 19th St 0.27mi 3/3.0 1,690 (+7%) 21mo $750,000 $444 58
932 W 25th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,644 (+4%) 17mo $811,500 $494 56
727 W 16th St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,523 (-4%) 22mo $710,000 $466 51
1412 S Mesa St 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,728 (+9%) 8mo $900,000 $521 51
1108 W 23rd St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,432 (-10%) 15mo $890,000 $622 40
1060 W 24th St 0.55mi 4/4.0 (+1) 1,760 (+11%) 12mo $929,000 $528 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-50,040
Equity at exit
$108,696
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-14,468
Equity at exit
$63,031

Cash invested: $204,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90731

Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
23.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,715 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,823
Tax from tax record
$542 /mo · $6,508/yr
Insurance
$304
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,620
Net cashflow
$1,426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,910
Max offer price $729,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,838 -5% $1,632 +0% $1,426 +5% $1,219 +10% $1,013
Rent -10% $816 -5% $1,121 +0% $1,426 +5% $1,731 +10% $2,035
Rate -1.0pp $1,793 -0.5pp $1,611 base $1,426 +0.5pp $1,237 +1.0pp $1,045

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $7,715

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$182,250
Closing costs
$21,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2217 S Grand Ave Unit 2 San Pedro, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $2,300 $2.19 25d 1 0.08mi
555 W 20th St San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $2,695 $2.57 44d 1 0.12mi
2322 S Grand Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,300 $2.54 44d 1 0.16mi
533 W 23rd St #9 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,500 $2.69 4d 1 0.18mi
533 W 23rd St #9 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,500 $2.69 0d 1 0.18mi
570 W 24th St Unit 9 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,595 $2.16 14d 1 0.18mi
665 W 24th St San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1222 $3,000 $2.45 44d 1 0.20mi
740 W 24th St San Pedro, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1067 $2,887 $2.70 0d 4 0.21mi
2400 S Pacific Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1538 $4,298 $2.79 0d 1 0.31mi
529 W 16th St Unit 3 San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,195 $2.00 0d 1 0.33mi
922 W 25th St Unit 642 1 San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,825 $2.26 44d 1 0.43mi
530 W 14th St San Pedro, CA 3.0 3.0 1900 $3,895 $2.05 0d 1 0.48mi
2905 S Cabrillo Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0 1.0–1.5 1025 $2,822 $2.75 4d 6 0.54mi
976 W Hamilton Ave #3 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.5 1188 $2,950 $2.48 6d 1 0.54mi
2929 S Pacific Ave San Pedro, CA 4.0 3.0 2081 $3,975 $1.91 44d 1 0.55mi
972 W 14th St Apt 3 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,800 $2.55 6d 1 0.63mi
735 W 31st St San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.0 1082 $2,995 $2.77 44d 1 0.63mi
343 W 12th St Unit 3 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 44d 1 0.67mi
1166 W 22nd St Unit 2 San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.0 1275 $2,930 $2.30 6d 1 0.68mi
1431 S Beacon St San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,695 $2.31 44d 1 0.72mi
1031 W 12th St San Pedro, CA 3.0 3.5 1620 $3,300 $2.04 44d 1 0.75mi
236 W 12th St San Pedro, CA 3.0 1.5 1300 $3,300 $2.54 44d 1 0.77mi
815 S Grand Ave #7 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,400 $2.20 25d 1 0.79mi
815 S Grand Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,750 $2.52 44d 1 0.79mi
1045 S Alma St Unit 1 San Pedro, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,375 $2.16 25d 1 0.80mi
3409 S Pacific Ave San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $3,650 $2.81 44d 1 0.84mi
1066 W 11th St #4 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1281 $3,395 $2.65 44d 1 0.86mi
637 S Grand Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.5 1200 $2,995 $2.50 17d 1 0.90mi
1184 W 11th St Unit 1 San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,800 $2.55 8d 1 0.93mi
712 S Alma St San Pedro, CA 4.0 3.5 1360 $3,950 $2.90 2d 1 0.97mi
1331 S Patton Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,975 $2.48 15d 1 0.98mi
728 W 37th St San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1600 $4,350 $2.72 44d 1 0.98mi
732 S Leland St San Pedro, CA 4.0 3.0 1400 $3,450 $2.46 44d 1 1.02mi
841 W 5th St #4 San Pedro, CA 4.0 2.0 1186 $3,600 $3.04 25d 1 1.03mi
922 S Patton Ave San Pedro, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,395 $2.61 23d 1 1.10mi
550 S Palos Verdes St San Pedro, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 931 $4,083 $4.39 0d 14 1.13mi
255 W 5th St San Pedro, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1105 $5,144 $4.66 0d 22 1.13mi
559 W 39th St San Pedro, CA 3.0 2.0 1456 $4,500 $3.09 44d 1 1.14mi
1554 Plymouth Ln San Pedro, CA 2.0 3.0 1541 $4,200 $2.73 11d 1 1.19mi
511 S Harbor Blvd San Pedro, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 830 $4,475 $5.39 0d 13 1.23mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $729,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $729,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $729,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $729,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $729,000 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $729,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $729,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $729,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $729,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $729,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $729,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $729,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $729,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $729,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-04-03
    listed $729,000 Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    Craftsman triplex with 3 detached garages. New roof recently and electrical has been upgraded. Each unit has it own service porch with laundry hookups. Below market rent provides for future upside potential. Short distance to the Marina and West Harbor waterfront.

  16. 2026-01-05
    historical
  17. 2025-07-15
    price $799,000
  18. 2025-06-23
    listed $849,000 Active
  19. 2004-06-21
    soldstatus $365,000
  20. 2004-05-03
    listed $399,000
  21. 2003-12-26
    price $399,000
  22. 2003-12-26
    price $399,000
  23. 2003-12-26
    price $399,000
  24. 2003-12-25
    price $409,900
  25. 2003-12-25
    price $409,900
  26. 2003-11-20
    soldstatus $365,000
  27. 1996-05-24
    soldstatus $153,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,508 · $542/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,508 · $542/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$92,580
− Mortgage interest
−$40,835
− Property taxes
−$6,508
− Insurance
−$3,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,406
− Management
−$7,406
− Depreciation
−$21,207
Taxable income
$5,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,337
After-tax cash flow
$15,772/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
61,944
Household income
$76,395
Rent vs Own
67.4% rent · 32.6% own
Severe rent burden
4568.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% White 27% Two or more races 18% Asian 5% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 39% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -781.38%
Current HPI
310.5659
Rent YoY
▼ -1.44%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+376.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $729,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-07-15 Price Changed $799,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $849,000 CRMLS
  • 2004-06-21 Sold (MLS) $365,000 CRMLS
  • 2004-05-03 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2003-12-26 Price Changed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2003-12-26 Price Changed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2003-12-26 Price Changed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2003-12-25 Price Changed $409,900 CRMLS
  • 2003-12-25 Price Changed $409,900 CRMLS
  • 2003-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,508 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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