3564 SE 56th St · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Home needs lots of TLC. Home sits on a beautiful 2.53 acres.
Key facts
- 2.53 acres
- 2.53 acre lot
- Built 1987
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is homesteaded; Zoning: A1; Lot approx. 2.53 acres (dimensions 190 x 579); Living area reported as 2,052 (public records)
- HOA & community: No association reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic needed; Electricity available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Faces northeast; Fixer condition
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as double wide manufactured structure
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved access; Road surface: dirt
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other; Cooling: Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Split bedroom layout; Formal dining room; Inside utility
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $150k implies a 567% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.16%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $13,587
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $59,633
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34480
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $789/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $601
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4861 SE 31st Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5203 SE 42nd Ct Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2900 | $2,650 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4760 SE 30th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,500 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3700 SE 34th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,050 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3674 SE 37th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3663 SE 37th Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 60-char remark
-
2026-06-03$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $789 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$456/yr (+$38/mo · 57.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$789
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,841
- − Management
- −$1,841
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $5,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,207
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,517
- Household income
- $77,557
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 169.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.60%
- Current HPI
- 212.4262
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.84%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+566.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $789 · +40.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…