1742 Dunklin St · Cape Girardeau, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1.5-story vinyl-sided three-bedroom, one bath home with detached garage-workshop area. Minutes from Semo University and the amenities of town. This home could serve multiple purposes, such as a college rental for an investor or for parents looking for college housing, or a single-family residence that would make a great starter home for a first-time homebuyer.
Key facts
- Workshop area
- Detached garage
- 7,013 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Cape Girardeau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#297 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Cape Girardeau 63 (urban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #188 of 324 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.79%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,627
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -27.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1958 Dunklin St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,215 (+2%) | 1mo | $153,500 | $126 | 79 |
| 1619 Bessie St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (+1%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $124 | 67 |
| 1506 Perryville Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 6mo | $194,900 | $169 | 66 |
| 1721 New Madrid St | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,022 (-15%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 1843 Lawanda Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+9%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $185 | 60 |
| 1844 Georgia St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-2%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 1716 Themis St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,171 (-2%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $239 | 56 |
| 2004 Dunklin St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-14%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $90 | 56 |
| 1540 N Henderson St | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,140 (-5%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $123 | 50 |
| 1912 New Madrid St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,373 (+15%) | 10mo | $153,900 | $112 | 48 |
| 1427 Price Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+11%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $158 | 48 |
| 1620 Luce St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,065 (-11%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $160 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-8,490
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,366
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63701
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $474/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $155
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1710 N Sprigg St Cape Girardeau, MO | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1208 | $604 | $0.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| Cape Girardeau Cape Girardeau, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 43d | 7 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1.5-story vinyl-sided three-bedroom, one bath home with detached garage-workshop area. Minutes from Semo University and the amenities of town. This home could serve multiple purposes, such as a college rental for an investor or for parents looking for college housing, or a single-family residence that would make a great starter home for a first-time homebuyer.
-
2026-05-08price $115,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1.5-story vinyl-sided three-bedroom, one bath home with detached garage-workshop area. Minutes from Semo University and the amenities of town. This home could serve multiple purposes, such as a college rental for an investor or for parents looking for college housing, or a single-family residence that would make a great starter home for a first-time homebuyer.
-
2026-01-16price $125,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1.5-story vinyl-sided three-bedroom, one bath home with detached garage-workshop area. Minutes from Semo University and the amenities of town. This home could serve multiple purposes, such as a college rental for an investor or for parents looking for college housing, or a single-family residence that would make a great starter home for a first-time homebuyer.
-
2025-09-18price $139,500 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1.5-story vinyl-sided three-bedroom, one bath home with detached garage-workshop area. Minutes from Semo University and the amenities of town. This home could serve multiple purposes, such as a college rental for an investor or for parents looking for college housing, or a single-family residence that would make a great starter home for a first-time homebuyer.
-
2025-08-05$148,900 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
1.5-story vinyl-sided three-bedroom, one bath home with detached garage-workshop area. Minutes from Semo University and the amenities of town. This home could serve multiple purposes, such as a college rental for an investor or for parents looking for college housing, or a single-family residence that would make a great starter home for a first-time homebuyer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $474 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$641/yr (+$53/mo · 135.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,850
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$474
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,028
- − Management
- −$1,028
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$42
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cape Girardeau 63
- NCES district ID
- 2907120
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,543
- Composite
- 31.49/100
- National rank
- #5974
- State rank
- #188 of 324 in MO
Livability — Cape Girardeau
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #13759
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cape Girardeau, MO
- County
- Cape Girardeau County · 75,175 people
- City population
- 47,546
- Metro
- Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,345
- Household income
- $66,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Cape Girardeau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,807 people
- By 2030
- 88,016 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 93,914 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 99,541 · +17.4%
- By 2075
- 114,527 · +35.0%
- By 2100
- 121,718 · +43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cape Girardeau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -46.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.0 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.04%
- Current HPI
- 156.0433
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.27%
- Metro
- Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-22.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-05 Listed $148,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $474 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…