4355 Woodland St · Elkland, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,456
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER! You will not beat this home for the price! 4 bedroom, 1 bath home located in the heart of Cass City Village. This inviting property features a spacious kitchen, beautiful hardwood floors throughout the dining and living areas, and the convenience of a main-floor bedroom, full bath, and laundry.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cass City Public Schools (rural): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #134 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cass City Elementary (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #371 of 1,397 statewide, top 27%, 485 students, 53% FRL); Cass City Jr And Sr High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 452 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Tuscola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $854 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscola County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $123k implies a 672% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.54%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,199
- List price
- $123,456
- Delta
- -16.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4311 Ale St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,085 (-2%) | 3mo | $145,800 | $134 | 80 |
| 4581 Leach St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 | 1,100 (-0%) | 5mo | $118,000 | $107 | 71 |
| 6276 Pine St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+0%) | 7mo | $136,000 | $122 | 59 |
| 6742 E Main St | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 | 1,262 (+14%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $87 | 54 |
| 4567 Seeger | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+8%) | 3mo | $142,100 | $118 | 53 |
| 4202 Seeger St | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,120 (+1%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $121 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-13,549
- Equity at exit
- $18,408
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,609
- Equity at exit
- $10,674
Cash invested: $34,568 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48726
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$647
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $662/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $172 | -5% $137 | +0% $102 | +5% $67 | +10% $32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $59 | +0% $102 | +5% $145 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $164 | -0.5pp $133 | base $102 | +0.5pp $70 | +1.0pp $38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,864
- Closing costs
- $3,704
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-18days on market $123,456 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $123,456 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $123,456 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $123,456 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $123,456 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $123,456 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,456 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,456 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $123,456 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $123,456 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $123,456 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-02remarks 369-char remark
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2026-06-02days on market $123,456 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $123,456 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,456 Active 71 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $123,456 Active 70 DOM
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2026-04-28price $123,456 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! You will not beat this home for the price! 4 bedroom, 1 bath home located in the heart of Cass City Village. This inviting property features a spacious kitchen, beautiful hardwood floors throughout the dining and living areas, and the convenience of a main-floor bedroom, full bath, and laundry.
-
2026-04-27price $123,456 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! You will not beat this home for the price! 4 bedroom, 1 bath home located in the heart of Cass City Village. This inviting property features a spacious kitchen, beautiful hardwood floors throughout the dining and living areas, and the convenience of a main-floor bedroom, full bath, and laundry.
-
2026-03-21$129,900 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! You will not beat this home for the price! 4 bedroom, 1 bath home located in the heart of Cass City Village. This inviting property features a spacious kitchen, beautiful hardwood floors throughout the dining and living areas, and the convenience of a main-floor bedroom, full bath, and laundry.
-
2026-03-21$129,900 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! You will not beat this home for the price! 4 bedroom, 1 bath home located in the heart of Cass City Village. This inviting property features a spacious kitchen, beautiful hardwood floors throughout the dining and living areas, and the convenience of a main-floor bedroom, full bath, and laundry.
-
2026-03-20historical $129,900 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER! You will not beat this home for the price! 4 bedroom, 1 bath home located in the heart of Cass City Village. This inviting property features a spacious kitchen, beautiful hardwood floors throughout the dining and living areas, and the convenience of a main-floor bedroom, full bath, and laundry.
-
2016-12-06soldstatus $16,000 Sold
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2016-12-06soldstatus $16,000 Closed
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2016-11-02status Pending
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2016-11-02status Pending
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2016-10-29price $21,870
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2016-10-28price $21,870
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2016-09-27price $24,300
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2016-09-27price $24,300
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2016-08-11$27,000 Active
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2016-08-11$27,000 Active
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2002-02-08soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $662 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,282 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$620/yr (+$52/mo · 93.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,915
- − Property taxes
- −$662
- − Insurance
- −$617
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,040
- − Management
- −$1,040
- − Depreciation
- −$3,591
- Taxable loss
- −$863
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$207
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cass City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2608400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,986
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4010
- State rank
- #134 of 540 in MI
Livability — Elkland
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cass City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,715
Population outlook (Tuscola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,930 people
- By 2030
- 47,294 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 41,504 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 35,560 · -28.8%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -51.0%
- By 2100
- 16,507 · -66.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscola
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 27.9% · R 70.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+10.8 2008: R+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.85%
- Current HPI
- 212.06
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+81.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $123,456 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $123,456 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-21 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-21 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-06 Sold (MLS) $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-06 Sold (MLS) $16,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-11-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-11-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-29 Price Changed $21,870 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-28 Price Changed $21,870 REALCOMP
- 2016-09-27 Price Changed $24,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-27 Price Changed $24,300 REALCOMP
- 2016-08-11 Listed $27,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-11 Listed $27,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $662 · -35.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…