405 N Holmes Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GOOD INVESTMENT PROPERTY! Corner lot, 1 car garage, plenty of off street parking. Full fenced in yard. House being sold 'AS IS'.
Key facts
- 4,966 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Cable available; Solid waste service available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Brick/mortar foundation; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Corner lot; Complete fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bath (upper level); One half bath (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Woodwork painted; Eat-in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.61%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,581
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -69.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 343 N Belleview Pl | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,213 (-0%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $41 | 88 |
| 305 N Tremont St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $120 | 71 |
| 250 N Tremont St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,252 (+3%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $55 | 71 |
| 265 N Tremont St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,264 (+4%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $138 | 71 |
| 916 N Warman Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,211 (-0%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $99 | 69 |
| 517 N Sheffield Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (-3%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $85 | 67 |
| 450 N Concord St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $60 | 65 |
| 1005 N Tremont St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (-5%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $86 | 61 |
| 1106 N Tremont St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,182 (-3%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $47 | 54 |
| 1049 N Tremont St N | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,084 (-11%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $115 | 40 |
| 553 N Traub Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,073 (-12%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $121 | 39 |
| 1047 N Concord St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,374 (+13%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $36 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $17,766
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $51,184
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46222
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $903/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $467
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $506 | -5% $486 | +0% $467 | +5% $447 | +10% $427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $373 | -5% $420 | +0% $467 | +5% $514 | +10% $560 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $484 | base $467 | +0.5pp $449 | +1.0pp $430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264 N Holmes Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 11d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 240 N Warman Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 21d | 5 | 0.29mi |
| 86 N Holmes Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 771 Haugh St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,250 | $1.75 | 20d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 411 N Centennial St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 525 N Belmont Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,225 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1911 Wilcox St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3014 W 10th St Unit 1 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $749 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3014 W 10th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $749 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1023 N Pershing Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1182 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 955 N Traub Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,449 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1155 N Holmes Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,800 | $2.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 460 N White River Parkway Dr W Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 681 | $1,725 | $2.53 | 4d | 14 | 0.81mi |
| 3531 Garden Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1264 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3531 Garden Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1264 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1409 N Warman Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 925 N Somerset Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1411 N Pershing Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1150 N White River Pkwy West Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,224 | $1.69 | 2d | 9 | 1.01mi |
| 2701 W 17th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $899 | $1.11 | 8d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 55 S Harding St #308 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,200 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 101 S Harding St Apt 307 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,685 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 841 S Addison St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1410 Breedlove Ln Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $2,557 | $2.88 | 2d | 63 | 1.39mi |
| 1621 N Livingston Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2011 N Kessler Boulevard Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2015 W Wilkins St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,895 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-11status Active 122-char remark
-
2026-05-01status Pending 122-char remark
-
2026-04-30$69,900 Active 122-char remark
-
2004-03-16soldstatus $19,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
GOOD INVESTMENT PROPERTY! Corner lot, 1 car garage, plenty of off street parking. Full fenced in yard. House being sold 'AS IS'.
-
2004-01-20$19,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
GOOD INVESTMENT PROPERTY! Corner lot, 1 car garage, plenty of off street parking. Full fenced in yard. House being sold 'AS IS'.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,243
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$903
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,762
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,887
- Household income
- $50,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1750.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.47%
- Current HPI
- 375.8479
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.46%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+267.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $69,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-16 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-20 Listed $19,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $903 · +40.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…