Duplex
76 Nonotuck St · Holyoke, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
OPPORTUNITY IS KNOCKING REAL HARD WITH EXCELLENT POTENTIAL for a handy person on this large Victorian Style Two-Family in terrific long settled and convenient Highlands neighborhood. May need some cosmetic and other improvements but PRICED TO SELL well below current tax assessment and other comparable area properties. Great find for either owner occupied use with rental income or investor looking for a bargain to make money on. Both large comfortable apartments w/separate utilities, in-unit laundry and many custom desirable features in place. Already has updated circuit breaker panels, replacement windows, 1 car under garage & newer 2nd floor rear (about 16x28') big open family room addition. More value to offer than imagined at such a realistic price.
Key facts
- 1 car under garage
- In-unit laundry
- Victorian style
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $399/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Holyoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#203 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Holyoke (suburban): math 5% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #302 of 302 in MA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,919/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2404% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.52%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $368,978
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -11.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73-75 Pearl St | 0.03mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,758 (+6%) | 11mo | $400,000 | $145 | 76 |
| 48 Taylor St | 0.24mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,690 (+3%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $65 | 63 |
| 15-17 Oconnor Ave | 0.47mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,799 (+7%) | 2mo | $412,000 | $147 | 57 |
| 525-527 Pleasant St | 0.43mi | 6/3.0 | 2,486 (-5%) | 19mo | $470,000 | $189 | 52 |
| 1357-1359 Dwight St | 0.47mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,761 (+6%) | 9mo | $425,000 | $154 | 50 |
| 3-5 Canby | 0.35mi | 6/4.0 | 2,365 (-10%) | 24mo | $384,000 | $162 | 40 |
| 72-74 Linden St | 0.66mi | 6/3.5 | 2,415 (-8%) | 21mo | $320,000 | $133 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,747
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $64,295
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01040
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 13.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,919 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$458 /mo · $5,499/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$823
- Net cashflow
- $798
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,920 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,960 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,960 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,919 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $325,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $325,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $325,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $325,000 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
OPPORTUNITY IS KNOCKING REAL HARD WITH EXCELLENT POTENTIAL for a handy person on this large Victorian Style Two-Family in terrific long settled and convenient Highlands neighborhood. May need some cosmetic and other improvements but PRICED TO SELL well below current tax assessment and other comparable area properties. Great find for either owner occupied use with rental income or investor looking for a bargain to make money on. Both large comfortable apartments w/separate utilities, in-unit laundry and many custom desirable features in place. Already has updated circuit breaker panels, replacement windows, 1 car under garage & newer 2nd floor rear (about 16x28') big open family room addition. More value to offer than imagined at such a realistic price.
-
2026-01-16$339,000 New 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
OPPORTUNITY IS KNOCKING REAL HARD WITH EXCELLENT POTENTIAL for a handy person on this large Victorian Style Two-Family in terrific long settled and convenient Highlands neighborhood. May need some cosmetic and other improvements but PRICED TO SELL well below current tax assessment and other comparable area properties. Great find for either owner occupied use with rental income or investor looking for a bargain to make money on. Both large comfortable apartments w/separate utilities, in-unit laundry and many custom desirable features in place. Already has updated circuit breaker panels, replacement windows, 1 car under garage & newer 2nd floor rear (about 16x28') big open family room addition. More value to offer than imagined at such a realistic price.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,499 · $458/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,499 · $458/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$5,499
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,762
- − Management
- −$3,762
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $4,720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holyoke
- NCES district ID
- 2506270
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,495
- Composite
- 7.79/100
- National rank
- #9934
- State rank
- #302 of 302 in MA
Livability — Holyoke
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #203
- US rank
- #16308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Holyoke, MA
- County
- Hampden County · 230,965 people
- City population
- 37,813
- Metro
- Springfield, MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,813
- Household income
- $53,605
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2404.0
Population outlook (Hampden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 485,646 people
- By 2030
- 491,517 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 500,539 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 508,827 · +4.8%
- By 2075
- 539,167 · +11.0%
- By 2100
- 545,698 · +12.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 43% Two or more races 23% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 45% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 39% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampden
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.4% · R 44.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 25.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+17.7 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+25.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.03%
- Current HPI
- 293.93
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Springfield, MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
|
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-4.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $325,000 MLS PIN
- 2026-01-16 Listed $339,000 MLS PIN
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2023): $5,499 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…