CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
197 Bearcreek Rd 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 28.34
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

197 Bearcreek Rd · Eatonton, GA 31024
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 528 sqft · Manufactured public records · 29 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2025 0.55 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WW Development Presents a Brand New 4 Bedroom 2 Full Bath Home Sitting Pretty on just over Half Acre Lot that is Only about Half a Mile from TWIN BRIDGES LANDINGS where you can Take Advantage of the Beautiful LAKE SINCLAIR Area! Enjoy the Split Floor Plan that has an Open Kitchen, Dining and Great Room with Easy Care Vinyl Flooring. Black Appliances and Kitchen Island Set Off the Kitchen. Quality Shows with the Detailed Rails on the Front Porch and Back Deck! You will want to See This One before the Spring and Summer Fun Begins!

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Back deck
  • Half acre lot

Tags

HALF ACRE LOTOPEN KITCHENKITCHEN ISLANDFRONT PORCHBACK DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One-story; New construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Block and pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 2025
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric heat pump)
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Soaking tub; Split bedroom plan; Walk-in closets; Great room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $224,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $340,611.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-530 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Putnam County (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #86 of 174 in GA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Putnam County Primary School (756 students, 81% FRL); Putnam County Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #229 of 470 statewide, top 49%, 681 students, 81% FRL); Putnam County High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #238 of 424 statewide, top 57%, 919 students, 81% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 533 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $221,526 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.67%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$340,611
List price
$224,900
Delta
-33.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.8%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-88,932
Equity at exit
$50,786
10-year hold
IRR
-26.4%
Equity multiple
-0.27×
Total profit
$-120,787
Equity at exit
$29,450

Cash invested: $95,371 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31024

Active inventory
533
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,308 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,786
Tax est. 1.5%
$426 /mo · $5,109/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$-530

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,980
Max offer price $263,881
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-295 -5% $-413 +0% $-530 +5% $-648 +10% $-766
Rent -10% $-713 -5% $-621 +0% $-530 +5% $-439 +10% $-348
Rate -1.0pp $-359 -0.5pp $-444 base $-530 +0.5pp $-619 +1.0pp $-708

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,153
Closing costs
$10,218
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $224,900 Under Contract 29 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-04-28
    listed $224,900 New 534-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,701
− Mortgage interest
−$19,080
− Property taxes
−$5,109
− Insurance
−$1,703
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,216
− Management
−$2,216
− Depreciation
−$9,909
Taxable loss
−$12,532
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,008
After-tax cash flow
$-3,356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam County
NCES district ID
1304260
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,038
Composite
26.9/100
National rank
#7088
State rank
#86 of 174 in GA

Livability — Eatonton

Score
71/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#6665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Putnam County · 21,601 people
City population
21,601
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
21,601
Household income
$65,971
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
696.0

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,747 people
By 2030
20,163 · -2.8%
By 2040
18,680 · -10.0%
By 2050
17,117 · -17.5%
By 2075
13,269 · -36.0%
By 2100
9,234 · -55.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.7% · R 71.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+35.8 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.84%
Current HPI
269.8265
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $224,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $168 · +23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…