484 Stewart Dr #3001 · Lady Lake, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand-new Jacobsen 3BR/2BA home in a desirable 55+ community! This beautifully crafted home features a lanai, convenient storage shed, dedicated laundry room, and a covered carport. The kitchen boasts abundant cabinet space, stainless steel appliances and is perfect for organization and everyday living. Enjoy comfort, style, and low-maintenance living in this move-in-ready home. (Photos are not of actual home. Interior & exterior colors may vary. Photos are virtually staged)
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 69 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price: $159,995
Exterior
- Home design: Condo / Unit
- Construction: Spec-built (new construction plan: 484 Stewart Dr)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area of 1,152
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.1% in Lady Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#457 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 576 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.25%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-9,253
- Equity at exit
- $23,856
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $18,634
- Equity at exit
- $13,833
Cash invested: $44,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32159
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 576
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,695 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,999
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Magnolia Dr Lady Lake, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,749 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 508 Tarrson Blvd Unit 1525263P Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1011 | $1,262 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 102 Sue Ln Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 873 | $1,499 | $1.72 | 24d | 2 | 1.41mi |
| 224 W McClendon St Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,995 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,995 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,995 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,995 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,995 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,995 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,995 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,995 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,995 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,995 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,995 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,995 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,995 Active 51 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,627
- − Management
- −$1,627
- − Depreciation
- −$4,654
- Taxable income
- $271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$65
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in-ready, brand-new Jacobsen 3BR/2BA home in a desirable 55+ community is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to maximize both resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both Interior updates (paint, minor fixtures) — Fresh paint and updated fixtures can make the home more appealing and increase its value.
- Both Add smart home features — Modernizes the home and adds value for both resale and rental by appealing to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Interior updates (paint, minor fixtures) — Fresh paint and updated fixtures can make the home more appealing and increase its value. ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Modernizes the home and adds value for both resale and rental by appealing to tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lady Lake
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #457
- US rank
- #8302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lady Lake, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 32,107
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,107
- Household income
- $58,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1047.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.24%
- Current HPI
- 237.6208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.03%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…