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2381 NE 137 St
D- Composite 36.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$450,000

2381 NE 137 St · North Miami Beach, FL 33181
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 487 Days on market
Built 1952 2,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors Dream! No HOA! Great opportunity to own this 3/2 home already have a tenant or this charming starter home in North Miami Beach is tastefully decorated and perfect for first-time buyers. Three bedroom and Two bathroom offer a cozy and intimate living space. The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, adding a modern touch to the home. The property is in perfect condition, ensuring safety and energy efficiency. The location is ideal, with easy access to shops, restaurants, and major highways. Don't miss this opportunity to own a stylish, affordable home in a desirable neighborhood. Tax roll show it as 1/1

Key facts

  • Ideal location
  • Easy access to shops
  • 2,400 sq ft lot

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESIDEAL LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO SHOPSEASY ACCESS TO RESTAURANTSEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed (no restrictions)
  • HOA & community: Park nearby

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Driveway; Carport with 4 covered spaces
  • Security: Storm/security shutters
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and block construction; Shingle roof; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Fruit trees; Storm/security shutters; City street frontage; Less than quarter acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Concrete flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Wall/window unit(s); Electric heating; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $407k (9.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $313k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $313k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: David Lawrence Jr. K-8 Center (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 1,282 students, 55% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,129/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1914% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 487 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $450k implies a 782% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $312,906 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 487 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.31%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.1%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-97,712
Equity at exit
$67,096
10-year hold
IRR
-26.5%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-141,185
Equity at exit
$38,908

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33181

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,129 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,002/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$657
Net cashflow
$-242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,436
Max offer price $407,212
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $13 -5% $-115 +0% $-242 +5% $-370 +10% $-497
Rent -10% $-489 -5% $-366 +0% $-242 +5% $-119 +10% $5
Rate -1.0pp $-16 -0.5pp $-128 base $-242 +0.5pp $-359 +1.0pp $-477

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $450,000 Active 487 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $450,000 Active 484 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $450,000 Active 483 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $450,000 Active 482 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $450,000 Active 481 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $450,000 Active 479 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $450,000 Active 475 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $450,000 Active 474 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $450,000 Active 473 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $450,000 Active 470 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $450,000 Active 469 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $450,000 Active 468 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $450,000 Active 467 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $450,000 Active 466 DOM
  15. 2025-09-02
    price $450,000
  16. 2025-02-09
    listed $525,000 Active
  17. 2003-02-14
    soldstatus $51,000
  18. 1989-12-27
    soldstatus $37,000
  19. 1989-01-01
    soldstatus $28,000
  20. 1979-04-01
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,002 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,735 · $311/mo
Expected delta
+$1,733/yr (+$144/mo · 86.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,549
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$2,002
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,004
− Management
−$3,004
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$11,009
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,642
After-tax cash flow
$-264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,324
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,848
Household income
$63,275
Rent vs Own
62.4% rent · 37.6% own
Severe rent burden
1914.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 29% Two or more races 23% White 22% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 8% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 18% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
28% English-only · Spanish 44% French/Haitian/Cajun 18% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -334.57%
Current HPI
341.3285
Rent YoY
▼ -0.11%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1507.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $450,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-02-09 Listed $525,000 MARMLS
  • 2003-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1989-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1979-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,002 · -12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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