2027 Destrehan St · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move in ready, completely rehabbed, 3 bedroom home in the heart Hyde Park neighborhood is a must see. Just minutes from the new NGA West campus, this property is positioned perfectly for growth and opportunity. Inside, you'll find newer systems throughout, including electrical panel, wiring, and fixtures, HVAC system with ductwork and condenser unit, and hot water heater. All electric! Main floor laundry! Shingle portions of the roof have all been replaced. This home is perfect for an investor looking for a turnkey, rent-ready property or a first-time homebuyer. Enjoy easy access to downtown St. Louis, major highways, and local favorites like Crown Candy Kitchen. With the convenience o
Key facts
- New nga west campus
- Main floor laundry
- Local favorites
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence (residential); Updated / remodeled condition; One and one-half levels; Vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eat-in area
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — one on the main level, one on the upper level, and one on the lower level; Upper bedroom approx. 13 x 17; Main bedroom approx. 14 x 15; Lower bedroom approx. 12 x 13
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with forced air; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/dining room combo; Smoke detector(s); Full finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bryan Hill Elem. (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 182 students, 98% FRL); Beaumont Cte High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $105k implies a 862% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.71%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,802
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- 9.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2239 University St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,116 (-12%) | 10mo | $79,900 | $72 | 51 |
| 1522 Mallinckrodt St | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,100 (-14%) | 22mo | $179,900 | $164 | 46 |
| 1524 Mallinckrodt St | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,100 (-14%) | 22mo | $179,900 | $164 | 46 |
| 4151 Pleasant St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (-10%) | 20mo | $104,900 | $91 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,188
- Equity at exit
- $21,587
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $24,513
- Equity at exit
- $19,620
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63107
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $213
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $286 | -5% $249 | +0% $213 | +5% $177 | +10% $141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $166 | +0% $213 | +5% $260 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $266 | -0.5pp $240 | base $213 | +0.5pp $186 | +1.0pp $158 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2239 University St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2207 Angelica St Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2046 Obear Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $1,070 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2002 Obear Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $970 | $0.95 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4202 Gano Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,168 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1906 Obear Ave #1 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $970 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $104,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$114,900 Active 870-char remark
-
2025-03-01historical
-
2025-02-18price $124,900
-
2024-12-26$135,000 Active
-
2023-10-01historical
-
2023-08-30$12,999 Active
-
2023-08-26historical
-
2023-06-09price $16,500
-
2023-05-17price $16,900
-
2023-05-02$17,900 Active
-
2023-04-19soldstatus $10,900
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2023-04-14soldstatus Closed
-
2023-04-01status Pending
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2023-03-30$10,900 Active
-
2022-09-23price $10,900
-
2022-05-19price $14,900
-
2008-03-06soldstatus $4,400
-
1990-05-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,140
- − Management
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $945
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- City population
- 283,259
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,082
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.75%
- Current HPI
- 92.7423
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+2284.1% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $104,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-01 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-26 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-01 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-30 Listed $12,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-26 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-09 Price Changed $16,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-17 Price Changed $16,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-02 Listed $17,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,900 Public Records
- 2023-04-14 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-01 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-30 Listed $10,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-23 Price Changed $10,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-19 Price Changed $14,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $4,400 Public Records
- 1990-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $122 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…