323 N Frederick Ave · Oelwein, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
There's an impressive amount of room in this affordable two story home. The main floor features a formal dining room with a bay window, a main floor bedroom, a spacious living room, a full bath and a laundry room, along with an enclosed front porch. Upstairs has a large den area at the top of the stairs, along with three additional bedrooms and another full bath. In addition to the two-stall attached garage, there are two sheds on the property.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Laundry room
- Bay window
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Has basement
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Sliding doors; Corner lot; Concrete road frontage; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Partially finished basement with sump pump; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oelwein Middle School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #219 of 246 statewide, top 90%, 359 students, 60% FRL); Oelwein High School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade C-, #293 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 314 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.41%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,191
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -34.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 N Frederick Ave. Ave | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,915 (+1%) | 3mo | $47,000 | $25 | 94 |
| 16 5th St NW | 0.08mi | 4/1.5 | 2,016 (+6%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $52 | 82 |
| 202 N Frederick Ave Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,718 (-10%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $61 | 76 |
| 112 6th St. St NE | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,772 (-7%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $79 | 72 |
| 829 2nd Ave Ave NE | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,881 (-1%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $72 | 66 |
| 617 E Charles | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,694 (-11%) | 2mo | $156,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 625 6th Ave NE | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,687 (-11%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $130 | 52 |
| 201 3rd Ave Ave SE | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,138 (+12%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 45 7th Ave SE | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,965 (+3%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $99 | 50 |
| 30 Maplewood Dr. Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,132 (+12%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $84 | 48 |
| 12 5th Ave Ave NW | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,697 (-11%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $29 | 44 |
| 127 7th Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,638 (-14%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $82 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $26,318
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $69,335
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50662
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $616/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $566
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $600 | -5% $583 | +0% $566 | +5% $549 | +10% $532 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $470 | -5% $518 | +0% $566 | +5% $614 | +10% $661 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $596 | -0.5pp $581 | base $566 | +0.5pp $550 | +1.0pp $534 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricestatusdays on market $60,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $62,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $616 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 26.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,533
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$616
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $6,186
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oelwein Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921630
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,812
- Composite
- 42.61/100
- National rank
- #3189
- State rank
- #281 of 289 in IA
Livability — Oelwein
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oelwein, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,497
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,299 people
- By 2030
- 18,701 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 17,469 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 16,389 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 15,156 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 14,214 · -26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.0% · R 64.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.26%
- Current HPI
- 177.9399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $60,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $62,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $616 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…