7014 Christopher Robin Dr · Jacksonville, FL 32210

$205,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market

Built 1961 7,405 sqft lot Est $232k · 11% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.4/30.0
• ARV discount +12.7/15.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• DSCR +4.0/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Explore this charming and spacious 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home nestled in the heart of the Westside. Offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, this home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood while being just minutes from shopping, dining, and major highways. Inside, you'll find brand-new flooring, fresh paint, and updated bathrooms, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. A new roof adds to the home's value and durability. Step outside to a generous lot, providing endless possibilities to design your own outdoor oasis. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—schedule your tour today!

Key facts

• Large lot
• Updated lvp flooring
• Updated bathrooms

Tags

• UPDATED LVP FLOORING
• UPDATED BATHROOMS
• UPDATED ROOF
• LARGE LOT

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Unfurnished
• HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; Other parking
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One story
• Construction: Block and concrete construction; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Front porch; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

• Kitchen: No appliances included
• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Primary bathroom with tub and shower
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Electric dryer hookup in unit

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($42/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (12.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $180k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Hyde Grove Elementary School (465 students, 84% FRL); Westside Middle School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 593 students, 70% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 49% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $54k; list at $205k implies a 276% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $180,138 (12.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.07%
• DSCR: 1.00
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $231,504
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7126 Mc Carty Dr	0.18mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,456 (0%)	10mo	$240,000	$165	78
6952 Goldilocks Ln	0.20mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,560 (+7%)	8mo	$226,000	$145	67
3704 Torres Ct	0.42mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,433 (-2%)	10mo	$230,000	$161	65
7145 Esther St	0.42mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,344 (-8%)	3mo	$190,000	$141	60
2211 Burpee Dr	0.70mi	5/2.0	1,364 (-6%)	4mo	$215,000	$158	54
3903 MacGregor Dr	0.75mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,471 (+1%)	11mo	$252,000	$171	49
2227 Burpee Dr	0.68mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,360 (-7%)	8mo	$270,000	$199	46
7170 Koleda Dr	0.29mi	4/2.5 (-1)	1,630 (+12%)	18mo	$259,900	$159	44
6523 Cooper Ln	0.73mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,562 (+7%)	6mo	$160,000	$102	44
6819 Medellin Ct	0.75mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,291 (-11%)	2mo	$225,000	$174	39
3725 Torres Ct	0.47mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,258 (-14%)	16mo	$90,000	$72	38
6650 Pinnochio Dr	0.58mi	4/3.0 (-1)	1,665 (+14%)	5mo	$152,500	$92	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-34,567
• Equity at exit: $30,566

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.37×
• Total profit: $-36,141
• Equity at exit: $17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32210

• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 441
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,801 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,075
• Tax from tax record: −$259 /mo · $3,110/yr
• Insurance: −$85
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,797

Max offer price $205,000

Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $120	-5% $62	+0% $3	+5% $-55	+10% $-113
Rent	-10% $-139	-5% $-68	+0% $3	+5% $75	+10% $146
Rate	-1.0pp $107	-0.5pp $56	base $3	+0.5pp $-50	+1.0pp $-104

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $51,250
• Closing costs: $6,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 19 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7152 Koleda Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	1.0	1110	$1,300	$1.17	16d	1	0.26mi
2234 Firestone Rd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1110	$2,000	$1.80	16d	1	0.27mi
7188 Koleda Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1473	$1,327	$0.90	5d	1	0.29mi
6650 Pinnochio Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	3.0	1665	$2,250	$1.35	23d	1	0.60mi
6822 McMullin St Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1760	$1,950	$1.11	16d	1	0.73mi
3740 Ballejo Ct W Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1590	$1,599	$1.01	25d	1	0.90mi
2248 Patou Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	1.0	1338	$1,625	$1.21	22d	1	0.97mi
6560 Barmer Dr S Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1370	$1,750	$1.28	3d	1	1.11mi
4503 Melvin Cir W Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1072	$1,406	$1.31	25d	1	1.15mi
4481 Civic Way Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1648	$1,872	$1.14	5d	1	1.21mi
4372 Melissa Ct W Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1445	$1,544	$1.07	18d	1	1.22mi
6119 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1302	$1,395	$1.07	25d	1	1.29mi
8001 Ridgehill View Rd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1526	$1,845	$1.21	12d	1	1.34mi
2225 Corot Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1330	$1,596	$1.20	16d	1	1.37mi
4710 Herta Rd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1272	$1,670	$1.31	25d	1	1.39mi
6026 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	3.0	1380	$700	$0.51	25d	1	1.40mi
2145 Bourget Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1174	$1,595	$1.36	9d	1	1.44mi
2584 Spring Lake Rd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1298	$2,300	$1.77	6d	1	1.48mi
2141 Monteau Dr Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1398	$1,600	$1.14	25d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 41 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $205,000 Active 132 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $205,000 Active 129 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $205,000 Active 128 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $205,000 Active 127 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $205,000 Active 126 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $205,000 Active 120 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $205,000 Active 119 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $205,000 Active 118 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $205,000 Active 114 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 113 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 112 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 111 DOM
13. 2026-03-18
    price $205,000
14. 2026-02-09
    listed $207,000 Active
15. 2025-12-09
    historical 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Explore this charming and spacious 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home nestled in the heart of the Westside. Offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, this home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood while being just minutes from shopping, dining, and major highways. Inside, you'll find brand-new flooring, fresh paint, and updated bathrooms, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. A new roof adds to the home's value and durability. Step outside to a generous lot, providing endless possibilities to design your own outdoor oasis. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—schedule your tour today!

16. 2025-08-20
    price $210,000 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Explore this charming and spacious 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home nestled in the heart of the Westside. Offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, this home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood while being just minutes from shopping, dining, and major highways. Inside, you'll find brand-new flooring, fresh paint, and updated bathrooms, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. A new roof adds to the home's value and durability. Step outside to a generous lot, providing endless possibilities to design your own outdoor oasis. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—schedule your tour today!

17. 2025-05-13
    price $225,000 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Explore this charming and spacious 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home nestled in the heart of the Westside. Offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, this home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood while being just minutes from shopping, dining, and major highways. Inside, you'll find brand-new flooring, fresh paint, and updated bathrooms, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. A new roof adds to the home's value and durability. Step outside to a generous lot, providing endless possibilities to design your own outdoor oasis. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—schedule your tour today!

18. 2025-03-18
    listed $235,000 Active 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Explore this charming and spacious 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home nestled in the heart of the Westside. Offering the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, this home is situated in a peaceful neighborhood while being just minutes from shopping, dining, and major highways. Inside, you'll find brand-new flooring, fresh paint, and updated bathrooms, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. A new roof adds to the home's value and durability. Step outside to a generous lot, providing endless possibilities to design your own outdoor oasis. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—schedule your tour today!

19. 2024-09-01
    historical 264-char remark

    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    This five bedroom, two bathroom home is a great opportunity for a new owner, whether a first time homebuyer or investor. Large yard and beautiful trees, covered porch, newer water heater and a new roof installed in 2023. Please do not show without an appointment.

20. 2024-04-05
    listed $215,000 Active 264-char remark

    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    This five bedroom, two bathroom home is a great opportunity for a new owner, whether a first time homebuyer or investor. Large yard and beautiful trees, covered porch, newer water heater and a new roof installed in 2023. Please do not show without an appointment.

21. 2023-12-31
    historical
22. 2023-09-09
    price $205,000
23. 2023-08-18
    price $220,000
24. 2023-07-06
    status Active
25. 2023-06-30
    historical
26. 2023-01-16
    price $240,000
27. 2023-01-08
    listed $255,000 Active
28. 2018-03-22
    soldstatus $54,500
29. 2014-12-19
    soldstatus $35,000 Sold
30. 2014-11-21
    status Pending
31. 2014-08-11
    price $38,900
32. 2014-08-11
    listed $44,900 Active
33. 2007-12-03
    soldstatus $120,000
34. 2007-11-28
    historical
35. 2007-11-27
    soldstatus $120,000
36. 2007-06-28
    listed $120,000
37. 2007-04-20
    historical
38. 2006-12-06
    listed $114,900
39. 2006-06-07
    soldstatus $85,000
40. 1993-01-29
    soldstatus $20,000
41. 1991-07-29
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,110 · $259/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,110 · $259/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,617
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,483
• − Property taxes: −$3,110
• − Insurance: −$1,025
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,729
• − Management: −$1,729
• − Depreciation: −$5,964
• Taxable loss: −$3,424
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$822
• After-tax cash flow: $864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duval
• NCES district ID: 1200480
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $48,987
• Composite: 38.97/100
• National rank: #4076
• State rank: #48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jacksonville, FL
• County: Duval County · 1,015,274 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 65,729
• Household income: $61,050
• Rent vs Own: 42.6% rent · 57.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,013,010 people
• By 2030: 1,059,228 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,141,439 · +12.7%
• By 2050: 1,205,258 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 1,324,282 · +30.7%
• By 2100: 1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -314.81%
• Current HPI: 281.2688
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.11%
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+412.5% since first listed

29 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-18 Price Changed $205,000 realMLS
• 2026-02-09 Listed $207,000 realMLS
• 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2025-08-20 Price Changed $210,000 realMLS
• 2025-05-13 Price Changed $225,000 realMLS
• 2025-03-18 Listed $235,000 realMLS
• 2024-09-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2024-04-05 Listed $215,000 realMLS
• 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2023-09-09 Price Changed $205,000 realMLS
• 2023-08-18 Price Changed $220,000 realMLS
• 2023-07-06 Relisted — realMLS
• 2023-06-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2023-01-16 Price Changed $240,000 realMLS
• 2023-01-08 Listed $255,000 realMLS
• 2018-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
• 2014-12-19 Sold (MLS) $35,000 realMLS
• 2014-11-21 Pending — realMLS
• 2014-08-11 Listed $44,900 realMLS
• 2014-08-11 Price Changed $38,900 realMLS
• 2007-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
• 2007-11-28 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2007-11-27 Sold (MLS) $120,000 realMLS
• 2007-06-28 Listed $120,000 realMLS
• 2007-04-20 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2006-12-06 Listed $114,900 realMLS
• 2006-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
• 1993-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 1991-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,110 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.