212 Sanderson Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with garage facing side
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Unfinished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.38%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,623
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 20.26%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Augusta Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,231 (-2%) | 3mo | $114,000 | $93 | 84 |
| 143 Thorpe St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,247 (-1%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $140 | 73 |
| 75 Green St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,218 (-4%) | 2mo | $113,000 | $93 | 66 |
| 140 W Howard St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,288 (+2%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $82 | 62 |
| 69 Lincoln St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,211 (-4%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $145 | 62 |
| 27 Crawford St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,302 (+3%) | 4mo | $94,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 93 Poplar Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+6%) | 1mo | $191,500 | $142 | 47 |
| 63 Mark Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,444 (+14%) | 1mo | $61,000 | $42 | 47 |
| 167 Mark Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (+12%) | 4mo | $162,000 | $114 | 46 |
| 73 Poplar Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,367 (+8%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $95 | 38 |
| 38 Summit St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,361 (+8%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $99 | 34 |
| 51 Forest St | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,361 (+8%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $99 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,506
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $29,336
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48341
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $850/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Carter St Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,034 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 23 Henry Clay Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 35 N Saginaw St Unit 2 Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 35 N Saginaw St Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 38 Spokane Dr Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 60 Waldo St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 74 E Iroquois Rd Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1661 | $1,695 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 223 Tucker St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1295 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4000 Winston Dr Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1032 | $515 | $0.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 20 Frank St Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $800 | $0.80 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 27 Sylvan Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,175 | $0.86 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 949 Boston Ave Unit 1 Waterford Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 949 Boston Ave Waterford Twp, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,150 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 68 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 38 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,425 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 995 Lakeview St Waterford, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 884 | $1,375 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 249 W Wilson Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,540 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,590 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-04historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-23$115,000 Active
-
2026-04-23$115,000 Active
-
2024-06-24historical
-
2024-06-24historical
-
2024-01-02status Active
-
2024-01-02status Active
-
2024-01-01historical
-
2024-01-01historical
-
2023-10-11price $79,000
-
2023-09-05$85,000 Active
-
2023-09-05$79,000 Active
-
2017-03-07soldstatus $100,000
-
2009-11-16soldstatus $1,980
-
2009-11-16soldstatus $1,980
-
2009-10-26historical
-
2009-10-07$1,980
-
2009-10-07$1,980
-
2001-06-15soldstatus $10,000
-
1989-08-17soldstatus $10,700
-
1978-01-06soldstatus $13,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$461/yr (+$38/mo · 54.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$850
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$537
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,924
- Household income
- $51,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 833.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.11%
- Current HPI
- 257.8941
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+774.1% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $118,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $118,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-02 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-11 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-05 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-05 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-16 Sold (MLS) $1,980 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-11-16 Sold (MLS) $1,980 REALCOMP
- 2009-10-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-07 Listed $1,980 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-07 Listed $1,980 REALCOMP
- 2001-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1989-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $10,700 Public Records
- 1978-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $850 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…