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1607 Covington St
B+ Composite 77.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1607 Covington St · Wichita Falls, TX 76306
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,269 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1966 7,187 sqft lot Est $104k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision and creativity to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,267 square feet of potential. Whether you're an investor, first-time buyer looking for a project, or someone dreaming of customizing a home to fit your style, this property is full of possibilities. With a functional floor plan and solid square footage, there's plenty of room to reimagine the space and make it your own. While the home could use some TLC, the potential is undeniable for those willing to roll up their sleeves and add their personal touch. If you've been searching for a property with character, potential, and the opportunity to build equity, this could be the perfect fit. Bring your imagination and see

Key facts

  • 7,187 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Subdivision: Sunset Terrace 2; County: Wichita; Country: United States
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking for 2 vehicles; 2-car carport; Driveway
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Cable available; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1966
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; All-weather road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Level 1) — approx. 12 x 14; Bedroom (Level 1) — approx. 11 x 9; Bedroom (Level 1) — approx. 10 x 10
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D.
  • City View ISD (urban): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #429 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: City View El (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,709 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 502 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.67%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,058
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1432 Deville St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,218 (-4%) 10mo $145,000 $119 68
1406 E Cortez Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,196 (-6%) 12mo $89,900 $75 64
4300 Viewpark 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,153 (-9%) 21mo $94,900 $82 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$9,066
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$35,795
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76306

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,275 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,477/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $834
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $393 -5% $371 +0% $348 +5% $326 +10% $303
Rent -10% $247 -5% $298 +0% $348 +5% $398 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $388 -0.5pp $368 base $348 +0.5pp $327 +1.0pp $306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1450 Kinsale Ct Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,300 $1.13 45d 1 0.32mi
115 Becky Dr Unit 115 Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 924 $875 $0.95 45d 1 0.98mi
1200 Ridgeway Dr Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 889 $1,025 $1.15 45d 5 1.00mi
2801 Roanoke Dr Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $990 $1.13 45d 1 1.01mi
38 Blair House Ln Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1088 $875 $0.80 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $84,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,477 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,477 · $206/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,294
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,477
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,224
− Management
−$1,224
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$761
After-tax cash flow
$3,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
City View ISD
NCES district ID
4814130
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,360
Composite
33.74/100
National rank
#5372
State rank
#429 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,963
Household income
$46,957
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
235.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.29%
Current HPI
165.6314
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $84,900 NTREIS
  • 2006-11-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,477 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…