Duplex
58 Pinewood Ave · Albany, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$390,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
*AS PER SELLER'S REQUEST, NO MORE SHOWINGS, PROPERTY IS UNDER CONTRACT*Looking for an owner-occupied or investment opportunity? This property might check all of the boxes for you. in a desired location in between New Scotland Ave & Hackett Blvd & minutes to quaint eateries, hospitals, schools & shopping, you must check out this 2F home! Each unit features 3 BR’s, 1 full BA, enclosed porch, formal dining rm, eat-in kitchen, gleaming hardwoods, tasteful décor & more! Excellent Condition
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Boiler replaced
- Finished attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $200/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $390k).
- Recommended offer: $384k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,171/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1952% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($384k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 57% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $255k; list at $390k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $602,619
- List price
- $390,000
- Delta
- -35.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Pinewood Ave | 0.01mi | 5/2.0 | 2,382 (-7%) | 9mo | $365,000 | $153 | 81 |
| 40 Pinewood Ave | 0.07mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (-6%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $167 | 81 |
| 38 Harris Ave | 0.19mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,492 (-2%) | 3mo | $395,000 | $159 | 80 |
| 49 Forest Ave | 0.23mi | 6/2.5 (+1) | 2,640 (+4%) | 6mo | $330,000 | $125 | 71 |
| 4 Edison Ave | 0.44mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,640 (+4%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $155 | 64 |
| 28 W Erie St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,645 (+4%) | 12mo | $370,000 | $140 | 62 |
| 2 Maple Ave | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 | 2,688 (+5%) | 8mo | $352,000 | $131 | 59 |
| 6 Edison Ave | 0.44mi | 6/2.5 (+1) | 2,683 (+5%) | 12mo | $402,000 | $150 | 53 |
| 37 Fairview Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,304 (-10%) | 10mo | $390,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 111 Woodlawn Ave | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,340 (-8%) | 10mo | $353,100 | $151 | 49 |
| 90 Winnie St | 0.66mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,464 (-3%) | 10mo | $369,000 | $150 | 46 |
| 87 S Main Ave | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,712 (+6%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $124 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-28,744
- Equity at exit
- $58,150
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $46,112
- Equity at exit
- $33,720
Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12208
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 15.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,171 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$687 /mo · $8,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$876
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $4,172 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,086 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,086 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,171 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,500
- Closing costs
- $11,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 S Main Ave Albany, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2695 | $1,600 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 257 Quail St Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,800 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 69 Winthrop Ave Albany, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2800 | $2,795 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 726 Western Ave Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,800 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-12$390,000 Active 600-char remark
-
2018-08-13soldstatus $255,000
-
2018-05-09soldstatus $255,000 Closed (Final Sale) 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
*AS PER SELLER'S REQUEST, NO MORE SHOWINGS, PROPERTY IS UNDER CONTRACT*Looking for an owner-occupied or investment opportunity? This property might check all of the boxes for you. in a desired location in between New Scotland Ave & Hackett Blvd & minutes to quaint eateries, hospitals, schools & shopping, you must check out this 2F home! Each unit features 3 BR’s, 1 full BA, enclosed porch, formal dining rm, eat-in kitchen, gleaming hardwoods, tasteful décor & more! Excellent Condition
-
2018-04-03status Pend (Under Cntr) 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
*AS PER SELLER'S REQUEST, NO MORE SHOWINGS, PROPERTY IS UNDER CONTRACT*Looking for an owner-occupied or investment opportunity? This property might check all of the boxes for you. in a desired location in between New Scotland Ave & Hackett Blvd & minutes to quaint eateries, hospitals, schools & shopping, you must check out this 2F home! Each unit features 3 BR’s, 1 full BA, enclosed porch, formal dining rm, eat-in kitchen, gleaming hardwoods, tasteful décor & more! Excellent Condition
-
2018-03-20$249,000 New 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
*AS PER SELLER'S REQUEST, NO MORE SHOWINGS, PROPERTY IS UNDER CONTRACT*Looking for an owner-occupied or investment opportunity? This property might check all of the boxes for you. in a desired location in between New Scotland Ave & Hackett Blvd & minutes to quaint eateries, hospitals, schools & shopping, you must check out this 2F home! Each unit features 3 BR’s, 1 full BA, enclosed porch, formal dining rm, eat-in kitchen, gleaming hardwoods, tasteful décor & more! Excellent Condition
-
2010-12-13soldstatus $238,000
-
2010-12-03soldstatus $238,000
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Perfect owner occ'd 2 family. Longtime owners meticulously maintained home & property. Near St Peters, Albany Med and professional schools. All hardwood throughout. Rents could be higher. Custom shed will remain. Excellent Condition
-
2010-10-14historical
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Perfect owner occ'd 2 family. Longtime owners meticulously maintained home & property. Near St Peters, Albany Med and professional schools. All hardwood throughout. Rents could be higher. Custom shed will remain. Excellent Condition
-
2010-05-15$238,900
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Perfect owner occ'd 2 family. Longtime owners meticulously maintained home & property. Near St Peters, Albany Med and professional schools. All hardwood throughout. Rents could be higher. Custom shed will remain. Excellent Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,246 · $687/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,246 · $687/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,846
- − Property taxes
- −$8,246
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,004
- − Management
- −$4,004
- − Depreciation
- −$11,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,344
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,289
- Household income
- $70,413
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1952.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 12% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.46%
- Current HPI
- 279.716
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+6.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2018-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-09 Sold (MLS) $255,000 Global MLS
- 2018-04-03 Pending — Global MLS
- 2018-03-20 Listed $249,000 Global MLS
- 2010-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $238,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-03 Sold (MLS) $238,000 Global MLS
- 2010-10-14 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2010-05-15 Listed $238,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $8,246 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…