5921 SW 63rd St · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice home in a super location! 2 bedroom 2 bath double wide moobile home in Bahia Oaks. Large enclosed lanai. Nice workshop to putter in . Convenient to shopping, restaurants and I-75. Come take a look ! No sight unseen offers, Buyer must see property , NO escalation clauses, no assignables.
Key facts
- Convenient to i-75
- Nice workshop
- Large enclosed lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 299 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $110k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.25%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,095
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 89.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $15,405
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $43,832
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34474
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,538/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $597
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $659 | -5% $628 | +0% $597 | +5% $566 | +10% $535 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $462 | -5% $529 | +0% $597 | +5% $664 | +10% $732 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $625 | base $597 | +0.5pp $568 | +1.0pp $539 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5101 SW 60th Street Rd Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1228 | $1,713 | $1.39 | 15d | 28 | 0.77mi |
| 4820 SW 48th Ave Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $1,864 | $1.62 | 15d | 34 | 1.21mi |
| 5697 SW 49th Rd Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,619 | $1.59 | 15d | 17 | 1.35mi |
| 4535 SW 54th Street Rd Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $1,834 | $1.79 | 15d | 37 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Nice home in a super location! 2 bedroom 2 bath double wide moobile home in Bahia Oaks. Large enclosed lanai. Nice workshop to putter in . Convenient to shopping, restaurants and I-75. Come take a look ! No sight unseen offers, Buyer must see property , NO escalation clauses, no assignables.
-
2026-05-01historical 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Nice home in a super location! 2 bedroom 2 bath double wide moobile home in Bahia Oaks. Large enclosed lanai. Nice workshop to putter in . Convenient to shopping, restaurants and I-75. Come take a look ! No sight unseen offers, Buyer must see property , NO escalation clauses, no assignables.
-
2026-02-10$110,000 Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Nice home in a super location! 2 bedroom 2 bath double wide moobile home in Bahia Oaks. Large enclosed lanai. Nice workshop to putter in . Convenient to shopping, restaurants and I-75. Come take a look ! No sight unseen offers, Buyer must see property , NO escalation clauses, no assignables.
-
2014-10-03historical
-
2014-04-03$59,900
-
1993-07-30soldstatus $35,000
-
1986-08-01soldstatus $39,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,538 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,538 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,538
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $5,747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,379
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,783/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,258
- Household income
- $65,291
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1062.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.16%
- Current HPI
- 196.5607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.12%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+175.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-03 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-03 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,950 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,538 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…