131 Springdale Cir · Palm Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated corner-unit villa offering exceptional privacy, abundant natural light, and a rare, highly desirable floor plan that truly sets it apart. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence showcases soaring vaulted ceilings and an open-concept design that creates a bright, expansive feel from the moment you walk in. The main living area flows effortlessly to a private, fenced patio through sliding glass doors, delivering seamless indoor-outdoor living that's perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with a snack bar, breakfast nook, and its own direct patio access—ideal for casual mornings or hosting guests with ease. T
Key facts
- Private fenced patio
- Corner unit villa
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions and number limits
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $375; HOA includes grounds maintenance and common area maintenance; Community amenities include a pool, tennis courts, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Assigned parking and guest spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; Entry level living area; North-facing
- Construction: Concrete/Stucco/CBS construction; Shingle roof; Single-story building count listed as 1
- Exterior features: Open patio; Patio; Fenced front yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Sliding windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($272/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $268k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#297 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clifford O Taylor/Kirklane Elementary (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,230 students, 80% FRL); Palm Springs Middle School (math 27% / reading 38%, grade F, #443 of 571 statewide, top 78%, 1,521 students, 72% FRL); John I. Leonard High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 3,549 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,684/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $290k implies a 339% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.34%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-53,301
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-74,554
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33461
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,684 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $981/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$375
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $187 | -5% $105 | +0% $23 | +5% $-59 | +10% $-141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-189 | -5% $-83 | +0% $23 | +5% $129 | +10% $235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $96 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-52 | +1.0pp $-129 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724 Springdale Cir Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 484 Springdale Cir Unit 48d Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 18d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 744 Springdale Cir Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,900 | $1.88 | 26d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 564 Springdale Cir Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 26d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 504 Davis Rd #96 Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 441 San Mateo Dr Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $3,000 | $2.75 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 416 San Mateo Dr Palm Springs, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1886 | $3,750 | $1.99 | 26d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 317 Woodland Rd Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,750 | $1.60 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 295 Woodland Rd Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,900 | $1.68 | 0d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2085 S Congress Ave Palm Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $3,060 | $3.18 | 0d | 12 | 0.63mi |
| 1631 Cypress Way E Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1365 | $2,350 | $1.72 | 7d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 451 Cypress Way W Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1365 | $2,800 | $2.05 | 26d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1317 Willow Rd West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $3,200 | $2.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3125 Shelby Way Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $3,000 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2833 Troubadour St #2833 Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1691 | $3,200 | $1.89 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2833 Troubadour St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2091 | $2,900 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2820 Troubadour St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1691 | $3,000 | $1.77 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2854 Bard St Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,900 | $1.80 | 26d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2374 Post St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,900 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2374 Post St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,900 | $1.80 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2394 Post St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,800 | $1.74 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2394 Post St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1612 | $2,800 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 21 Lake Arbor Dr Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $2,500 | $2.03 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2637 Exuma Rd West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $3,800 | $2.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 331 Lake Arbor Dr Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,300 | $1.87 | 26d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1905 Meadow Ct West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $7,000 | $5.73 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3201 Alice Dr Palm Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1966 | $3,650 | $1.86 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2185 E Carrol Cir West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,800 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 230 Lake Arbor Dr Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2668 Garden Dr N #312 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2668 Garden Dr N #312 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2791 S Florida Mango Rd Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4063 Belle Rd Unit B Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $375 · $4,500/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $289,900
-
2026-04-24price $299,900
-
2026-03-27$325,000 Active
-
1985-01-01soldstatus $66,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $981 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,406 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,426/yr (+$119/mo · 145.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$981
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,577
- − Management
- −$2,577
- − HOA
- −$4,500
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$4,547
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,091
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Springs
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #5045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Springs, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 49,443
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,443
- Household income
- $61,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2663.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 26% White 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 16% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.03%
- Current HPI
- 493.0041
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.47%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+339.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $289,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $299,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $325,000 Beaches MLS
- 1985-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $981 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…