42 Main St · South Windham, ME
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- Schools +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,888
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Really nice opportunity to live in a spacious old home on the river with century old character and charm on a large private lot. Conveniently located in the Little Falls area of South Windham. 'Good Bones' is what this house offers while there are a number of repairs needed inside and out. Unique property has not been offered to the market for 50+ years. Exact acreage is uncertain, no survey available. Listing data is per town records of 3.19 acres.
Key facts
- Over 3 acres
- Spacious home
- Unique property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-528/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (2.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $263k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#79 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- RSU 14 (rural): math 82% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #55 of 112 in ME (top 49%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1,405 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (420 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.17%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $523,342
- List price
- $289,888
- Delta
- -44.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Depot St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,337 (+12%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $214 | 61 |
| 1 Edith Jeffords Rd | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 2,221 (+6%) | 21mo | $535,000 | $241 | 49 |
| 25 Holly Ln | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,921 (-8%) | 24mo | $570,000 | $297 | 43 |
| 10 Gunpowder Mill Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,784 (-15%) | 14mo | $640,000 | $359 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-49,664
- Equity at exit
- $43,223
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-46,398
- Equity at exit
- $25,064
Cash invested: $81,169 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04062
- Home prices YoY
- -15.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,630 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$425 /mo · $5,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$552
- Net cashflow
- $-44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $38 | +0% $-44 | +5% $-126 | +10% $-208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-252 | -5% $-148 | +0% $-44 | +5% $60 | +10% $164 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $30 | base $-44 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,472
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Really nice opportunity to live in a spacious old home on the river with century old character and charm on a large private lot. Conveniently located in the Little Falls area of South Windham. 'Good Bones' is what this house offers while there are a number of repairs needed inside and out. Unique property has not been offered to the market for 50+ years. Exact acreage is uncertain, no survey available. Listing data is per town records of 3.19 acres.
-
2026-04-27price $289,888 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Really nice opportunity to live in a spacious old home on the river with century old character and charm on a large private lot. Conveniently located in the Little Falls area of South Windham. 'Good Bones' is what this house offers while there are a number of repairs needed inside and out. Unique property has not been offered to the market for 50+ years. Exact acreage is uncertain, no survey available. Listing data is per town records of 3.19 acres.
-
2026-04-07price $299,950 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Really nice opportunity to live in a spacious old home on the river with century old character and charm on a large private lot. Conveniently located in the Little Falls area of South Windham. 'Good Bones' is what this house offers while there are a number of repairs needed inside and out. Unique property has not been offered to the market for 50+ years. Exact acreage is uncertain, no survey available. Listing data is per town records of 3.19 acres.
-
2026-03-15$319,000 Active 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Really nice opportunity to live in a spacious old home on the river with century old character and charm on a large private lot. Conveniently located in the Little Falls area of South Windham. 'Good Bones' is what this house offers while there are a number of repairs needed inside and out. Unique property has not been offered to the market for 50+ years. Exact acreage is uncertain, no survey available. Listing data is per town records of 3.19 acres.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,100 · $425/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,100 · $425/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,238
- − Property taxes
- −$5,100
- − Insurance
- −$2,116
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,525
- − Management
- −$2,525
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$5,379
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,291
- After-tax cash flow
- $763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 14
- NCES district ID
- 2314793
- Math proficiency
- 82% ▲ 49.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▲ 24.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,406
- Composite
- 71.62/100
- National rank
- #219
- State rank
- #55 of 112 in ME
Livability — South Windham
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #8825
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Windham, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,041
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 313,805 people
- By 2030
- 324,054 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 340,380 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 351,796 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 383,075 · +22.1%
- By 2100
- 394,972 · +25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.3) · D 66.9% · R 30.6% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: 29.9pp · 2024: 36.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.3 2020: D+35.7 2016: D+26.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+29.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.99%
- Current HPI
- 355.5157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-9.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MREIS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $289,888 MREIS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $299,950 MREIS
- 2026-03-15 Listed $319,000 MREIS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,100 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…