655 NE Burnett Rd #4 · McMinnville, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home is located in a peaceful all-ages community and offers comfortable living with plenty of space inside and out. The bright and inviting living room flows seamlessly into the open-concept kitchen featuring ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a cozy breakfast nook perfect for morning coffee or casual dining. The spacious primary suite includes a relaxing soaking tub, creating the perfect retreat after a long day. Enjoy year-round comfort with central air conditioning and a functional floor plan designed for easy living. Recent exterior paint enhances curb appeal and provides a fresh, updated look. Outside, you'll find a covered carport
Key facts
- Dedicated tool shed
- Open-concept kitchen
- Soaking tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Manufactured Home in Park; Main level living area approximately 1,782 (tax)
- HOA & community: Located in Heather Manor park; Land lease (monthly lot rent of $710) — lease expires August 31, 2026; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway
- Security: Storm door(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (Fleetwood); Single-level living; Built in 1995; Skirting foundation
- Construction: Composition roof; Wood siding exterior; Skirting foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Outbuilding; Workshop; Tool shed; Yard; Storm door(s); Wood siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level; Third bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (total 2.1); Two full baths located on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Wall-to-wall carpet; Double pane windows with vinyl frames; Washer/Dryer included; Accessible features: ground level, main floor bedroom with bath, minimal steps, one level, walk-in shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric tank water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.2% in McMinnville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#79 in OR, #3,556 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: commute D+.
- Mcminnville SD 40 (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #20 of 183 in OR (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Grandhaven Elementary School (443 students, 70% FRL); Patton Middle School (699 students, 66% FRL); Mcminnville High School (2,319 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 390 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.31%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,238
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 NE Burnett Rd #91 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (+3%) | 1mo | $200,500 | $109 | 92 |
| 655 NE Burnett Rd #9 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (-3%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $110 | 87 |
| 655 NE Burnett Rd #57 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-9%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $93 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $32,309
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $91,194
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97128
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,754 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,259/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$578
- Net cashflow
- $1,057
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3598 NE Jacob St McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,400 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 675 NE Autumn Ridge Dr McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $2,200 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3844 NE Joel St McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1678 | $3,500 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3267 NE Grandhaven Dr McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $2,495 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2187 NE Grandhaven St McMinnville, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2161 | $2,800 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1328 NE 9th St Unit 1550272P McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $4,826 | $2.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$179,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,259 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,736 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$477/yr (+$40/mo · 37.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,259
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,644
- − Management
- −$2,644
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $10,370
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminnville SD 40
- NCES district ID
- 4108010
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,382
- Composite
- 47.69/100
- National rank
- #4919
- State rank
- #20 of 183 in OR
Livability — McMinnville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #3556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McMinnville, OR
- County
- Yamhill County · 71,150 people
- City population
- 38,664
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,664
- Household income
- $75,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1508.0
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 320.373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $179,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,259 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…