8525 Mora Ln · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 bedroom home waiting for a nice revitalization. 1 bedroom on main level and 3 bedrooms upstairs. Price is AS IS. .. Owner Financing Available. .. .
Key facts
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1925
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,736
- Exterior features: Located in the North Pointe subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $60k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.88%
- DSCR
- 3.31
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,448
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8624 Riverview Blvd | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,728 (-0%) | 0mo | $159,900 | $93 | 76 |
| 8769 Goodfellow Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,656 (-5%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $100 | 66 |
| 1501 Switzer Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,772 (+2%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $113 | 65 |
| 1727 Veronica Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 1,898 (+9%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $95 | 64 |
| 1631 Orchid Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 | 1,755 (+1%) | 16mo | $114,900 | $65 | 62 |
| 8912 Goodfellow Blvd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,752 (+1%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 1546 Grape Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,782 (+3%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 8510 Hamilton Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,595 (-8%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $56 | 56 |
| 1648 Orchid Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,560 (-10%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $77 | 51 |
| 1547 Hornsby Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-8%) | 15mo | $149,900 | $94 | 45 |
| 8735 Oriole Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,895 (+9%) | 14mo | $179,900 | $95 | 44 |
| 6049 Shulte Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,938 (+12%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $39 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $36,477
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 55.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.44×
- Total profit
- $91,235
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63147
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,401 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $511/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $725
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $759 | -5% $742 | +0% $725 | +5% $708 | +10% $691 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $614 | -5% $670 | +0% $725 | +5% $780 | +10% $836 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $755 | -0.5pp $740 | base $725 | +0.5pp $710 | +1.0pp $694 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5730 Park Ln Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,593 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5612 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5515 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6024 Lucille Ave Saint Louis, MO | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $895 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7121 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2646 Terrace Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,275 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7441 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4914 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $925 | $0.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4737 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-26$59,900 Active
-
1992-12-04soldstatus
-
1992-05-06soldstatus
-
1991-09-01soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $511 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $581 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 13.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$511
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,345
- − Management
- −$1,345
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $8,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,971
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,730/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,173
- Household income
- $41,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 418.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.51%
- Current HPI
- 84.224
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+172.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $59,900 FSBO.com
- 1992-12-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1991-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2024): $511 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…