Multi-family
203 Eleanor St · Horseheads, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
NEW, NEW, NEW!! This is a great investment property, nearly everything has just been updated in both units including a new boiler, and newer roof! Sitting just outside of Hanover Square it is within walking distance to restaurants, gas stations park, etc.
Key facts
- Paved parking
- Storage shed
- Multi-family home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath multifamily listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 5.1% in Horseheads — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#494 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, schools B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Horseheads Central School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #347 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.02%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $34,449
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $101,540
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14845
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $853
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $923 | -5% $888 | +0% $853 | +5% $817 | +10% $782 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $624 | -5% $738 | +0% $853 | +5% $967 | +10% $1,082 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $916 | -0.5pp $884 | base $853 | +0.5pp $820 | +1.0pp $787 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $2,900 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,450 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,450 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,900 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2024-12-12soldstatus $105,000
-
2024-11-08status Pending
-
2024-10-03price $125,000
-
2024-07-16$140,000 Active
-
2019-06-03soldstatus $89,900
-
2019-05-30soldstatus $89,900 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
NEW, NEW, NEW!! This is a great investment property, nearly everything has just been updated in both units including a new boiler, and newer roof! Sitting just outside of Hanover Square it is within walking distance to restaurants, gas stations park, etc.
-
2019-01-09$89,900 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
NEW, NEW, NEW!! This is a great investment property, nearly everything has just been updated in both units including a new boiler, and newer roof! Sitting just outside of Hanover Square it is within walking distance to restaurants, gas stations park, etc.
-
2018-01-16soldstatus $47,100
-
2017-12-22soldstatus $47,100 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
2 unit in quiet street next to 5 Points in Horseheads. Outside vinyl/alum siding & roof is good condition. Needs TLC. Possible rehab loan, good investment property. Live on one side & rent other to pay mortgage.
-
2017-09-07$53,000 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
2 unit in quiet street next to 5 Points in Horseheads. Outside vinyl/alum siding & roof is good condition. Needs TLC. Possible rehab loan, good investment property. Live on one side & rent other to pay mortgage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,244 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,244 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$3,244
- − Insurance
- −$6,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $9,200
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Horseheads Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,594
- Composite
- 44.58/100
- National rank
- #2781
- State rank
- #347 of 590 in NY
Livability — Horseheads
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #494
- US rank
- #8689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Horseheads, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,552
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.23%
- Current HPI
- 247.777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+98.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-08 Pending — NMPA
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $125,000 NMPA
- 2024-07-16 Listed $140,000 NMPA
- 2019-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2019-05-30 Sold (MLS) $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-01-09 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $47,100 Public Records
- 2017-12-22 Sold (MLS) $47,100 UNYREIS
- 2017-09-07 Listed $53,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,244 · -24.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…