🏷️ Likely Rental
243 Arlington Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is an investment opportunity on Arlington Rd! The average rent for a home this size is $1200 per month in a 2,283 sqft with 4BR/3BA. There’s even a pool in the backyard! There are renovation opportunities but it is priced to your advantage.
Key facts
- Historic cloverdale
- Prime location
- 0.45 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Property located outside city limits; Mature trees on lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 166 x 100 x 138
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the first floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Laminate and wood flooring; No hot water (appliance condition noted)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $119k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.76%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,081
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -25.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Arlington Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,231 (-2%) | 0mo | $57,500 | $26 | 75 |
| 3374 Gilmer Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,348 (+3%) | 6mo | $56,000 | $24 | 71 |
| 3126 Gilmer Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,130 (-7%) | 7mo | $39,900 | $19 | 69 |
| 737 Park Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,274 (-0%) | 3mo | $305,100 | $134 | 66 |
| 3370 Lexington Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,265 (-1%) | 6mo | $238,900 | $105 | 63 |
| 3357 Wilmington Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,064 (-10%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 201 Felder Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,517 (+10%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 541 Cloverdale Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,400 (+5%) | 4mo | $450,000 | $188 | 52 |
| 3455 Wellington Rd | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,038 (-11%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $49 | 50 |
| 1427 S Court St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,502 (+10%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $70 | 45 |
| 3360 Montezuma Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,521 (+10%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $95 | 42 |
| 3237 Cloverdale Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,954 (-14%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $123 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $15,644
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $58,531
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36105
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,635 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $832/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $616 | -5% $582 | +0% $549 | +5% $515 | +10% $481 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $420 | -5% $484 | +0% $549 | +5% $613 | +10% $678 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $609 | -0.5pp $579 | base $549 | +0.5pp $518 | +1.0pp $487 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 46d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,400 | $0.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1873 | $900 | $0.48 | 46d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2223 | $2,395 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 640 Plymouth St Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3224 | $2,400 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 144 Clanton Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3178 | $1,595 | $0.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2437 | $1,395 | $0.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,300 | $0.75 | 46d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1029 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3134 | $2,695 | $0.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1774 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1121 Felder Ave Unit 1043909P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2647 | $3,152 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $1,575 | $0.76 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1355 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2260 | $1,800 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2210 | $2,250 | $1.02 | 46d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2718 | $1,200 | $0.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 46d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1425 Blairwood Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1450 Crenshaw Pl S Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,775 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2001 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3963 S Court St Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,840 | $0.92 | 46d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-23days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 464-char remark
-
2026-05-07$130,000 Active 464-char remark
-
2026-04-02price $130,000
-
2026-03-05$140,000 Active
-
2021-09-30soldstatus $42,500
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
This is an investment opportunity on Arlington Rd! The average rent for a home this size is $1200 per month in a 2,283 sqft with 4BR/3BA. There’s even a pool in the backyard! There are renovation opportunities but it is priced to your advantage.
-
2021-06-28$45,000
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
This is an investment opportunity on Arlington Rd! The average rent for a home this size is $1200 per month in a 2,283 sqft with 4BR/3BA. There’s even a pool in the backyard! There are renovation opportunities but it is priced to your advantage.
-
2012-01-27$95,920
-
2009-10-28$115,000
-
2005-07-10$119,900
-
2005-01-05$129,900
-
2004-04-12$129,900
-
1999-04-21soldstatus $92,000
-
1998-09-15$95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,622
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$832
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,570
- − Management
- −$1,570
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $4,927
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,183
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,207
- Household income
- $41,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.17%
- Current HPI
- 64.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+25.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Price Changed $119,000 MAAR
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — MAAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $130,000 MAAR
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $130,000 MAAR
- 2026-03-05 Listed $140,000 MAAR
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MAAR
- 2021-06-28 Listed $45,000 MAAR
- 2012-01-27 Listed $95,920 MAAR
- 2009-10-28 Listed $115,000 MAAR
- 2005-07-10 Listed $119,900 MAAR
- 2005-01-05 Listed $129,900 MAAR
- 2004-04-12 Listed $129,900 MAAR
- 1999-04-21 Sold (MLS) $92,000 MAAR
- 1998-09-15 Listed $95,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2024): $832 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…