CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
243 Arlington Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

243 Arlington Rd · Montgomery, AL 36105
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,283 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1937 0.45 ac lot $52/sqft · 26% below area Est $160k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is an investment opportunity on Arlington Rd! The average rent for a home this size is $1200 per month in a 2,283 sqft with 4BR/3BA. There’s even a pool in the backyard! There are renovation opportunities but it is priced to your advantage.

Key facts

  • Historic cloverdale
  • Prime location
  • 0.45 acre lot

Tags

LARGE-LOT OPPORTUNITYPRIME LOCATIONHISTORIC CLOVERDALE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Property located outside city limits; Mature trees on lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 166 x 100 x 138

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the first floor
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Laminate and wood flooring; No hot water (appliance condition noted)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$160,081) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $119k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,430 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.83%
Cash-on-cash
19.76%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,081
List price
$119,000
Delta
-25.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Arlington Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,231 (-2%) 0mo $57,500 $26 75
3374 Gilmer Ave 0.38mi 4/2.5 2,348 (+3%) 6mo $56,000 $24 71
3126 Gilmer Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,130 (-7%) 7mo $39,900 $19 69
737 Park Ave 0.53mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,274 (-0%) 3mo $305,100 $134 66
3370 Lexington Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,265 (-1%) 6mo $238,900 $105 63
3357 Wilmington Rd 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,064 (-10%) 2mo $165,000 $80 56
201 Felder Ave 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,517 (+10%) 1mo $385,000 $153 54
541 Cloverdale Rd 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,400 (+5%) 4mo $450,000 $188 52
3455 Wellington Rd 0.55mi 4/2.0 2,038 (-11%) 3mo $100,000 $49 50
1427 S Court St 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,502 (+10%) 1mo $174,900 $70 45
3360 Montezuma Rd 0.59mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,521 (+10%) 7mo $240,000 $95 42
3237 Cloverdale Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,954 (-14%) 2mo $240,000 $123 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$15,644
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$58,531
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36105

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,635 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $832/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $940
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $616 -5% $582 +0% $549 +5% $515 +10% $481
Rent -10% $420 -5% $484 +0% $549 +5% $613 +10% $678
Rate -1.0pp $609 -0.5pp $579 base $549 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $487

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 1700 $1,000 $0.59 46d 1 0.17mi
3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2009 $1,400 $0.70 23d 1 0.29mi
3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1873 $900 $0.48 46d 1 0.31mi
334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2223 $2,395 $1.08 46d 1 0.40mi
640 Plymouth St Montgomery, AL 5.0 3.0 3224 $2,400 $0.74 23d 1 0.43mi
144 Clanton Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 3178 $1,595 $0.50 23d 1 0.56mi
3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2437 $1,395 $0.57 23d 1 0.59mi
1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1728 $1,300 $0.75 46d 1 0.63mi
1029 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 3134 $2,695 $0.86 16d 1 0.71mi
3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1774 $1,300 $0.73 23d 1 0.82mi
22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1645 $1,350 $0.82 23d 1 0.90mi
1121 Felder Ave Unit 1043909P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 2647 $3,152 $1.19 23d 1 0.93mi
3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2067 $1,575 $0.76 16d 1 0.98mi
1355 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2260 $1,800 $0.80 16d 1 1.02mi
3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2210 $2,250 $1.02 46d 1 1.05mi
3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2718 $1,200 $0.44 23d 1 1.11mi
3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1629 $1,300 $0.80 46d 1 1.17mi
1425 Blairwood Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,850 $1.09 16d 1 1.17mi
1450 Crenshaw Pl S Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,775 $1.08 46d 1 1.19mi
2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL 4.0 3.0 2001 $1,650 $0.82 16d 1 1.20mi
3963 S Court St Montgomery, AL 5.0 2.0 2000 $1,840 $0.92 46d 1 1.29mi
3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1719 $1,650 $0.96 23d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    status Active 464-char remark
  19. 2026-05-07
    listed $130,000 Active 464-char remark
  20. 2026-04-02
    price $130,000
  21. 2026-03-05
    listed $140,000 Active
  22. 2021-09-30
    soldstatus $42,500
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    This is an investment opportunity on Arlington Rd! The average rent for a home this size is $1200 per month in a 2,283 sqft with 4BR/3BA. There’s even a pool in the backyard! There are renovation opportunities but it is priced to your advantage.

  23. 2021-06-28
    listed $45,000
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    This is an investment opportunity on Arlington Rd! The average rent for a home this size is $1200 per month in a 2,283 sqft with 4BR/3BA. There’s even a pool in the backyard! There are renovation opportunities but it is priced to your advantage.

  24. 2012-01-27
    listed $95,920
  25. 2009-10-28
    listed $115,000
  26. 2005-07-10
    listed $119,900
  27. 2005-01-05
    listed $129,900
  28. 2004-04-12
    listed $129,900
  29. 1999-04-21
    soldstatus $92,000
  30. 1998-09-15
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$832 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,622
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$832
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$4,927
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,183
After-tax cash flow
$5,403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,207
Household income
$41,486
Rent vs Own
39.9% rent · 60.1% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.17%
Current HPI
64.4673
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Price Changed $119,000 MAAR
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $130,000 MAAR
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $130,000 MAAR
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $140,000 MAAR
  • 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MAAR
  • 2021-06-28 Listed $45,000 MAAR
  • 2012-01-27 Listed $95,920 MAAR
  • 2009-10-28 Listed $115,000 MAAR
  • 2005-07-10 Listed $119,900 MAAR
  • 2005-01-05 Listed $129,900 MAAR
  • 2004-04-12 Listed $129,900 MAAR
  • 1999-04-21 Sold (MLS) $92,000 MAAR
  • 1998-09-15 Listed $95,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $832 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…