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2799 Siskiyou Blvd #36
B Composite 72.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

2799 Siskiyou Blvd #36 · Ashland, OR 97520
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · Land public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1971

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Siskiyou Mobile Village on Ashland's south end—an all-ages community offering a mix of RV spaces and single-wide manufactured homes. Built in 1971, Space #36 has been thoughtfully improved by the current owner. Updates include new wood-laminate flooring throughout, fresh white interior paint, and refinished cabinetry, including the built-in china hutch in the living room. The home features vinyl windows, two window A/C units, refreshed skirting, and a charming decorative gate at the yard entry. A rare bonus in this park is the finished and insulated shed with washer/dryer hookups, although the park does have onsite laundry facilities. Architectural bump-outs in both the living room and primary bedroom create inviting, functional spaces that add character beyond what you typically find in a 744 sq. ft. , 2-bed/1-bath home. The gravel driveway can accommodate multiple vehicles depending on size, with potential to expand if desired.

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Refinished cabinetry
  • Window a/c units

Tags

NEW WOOD-LAMINATE FLOORINGFRESH WHITE INTERIOR PAINTREFINISHED CABINETRYBUILT-IN CHINA HUTCHVINYL WINDOWSWINDOW A/C UNITS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.8% vs local median 2.1% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#42 in OR, #1,019 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Ashland SD 5 (suburban): math 59% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #5 of 183 in OR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.34%
Cap rate
30.78%
Cash-on-cash
87.44%
DSCR
4.89
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
86.5%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$54,583
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
89.4%
Equity multiple
9.76×
Total profit
$122,341
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97520

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
368
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,667 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $195/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$1,018

Break-even live

Break-even rent $378
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,046 -5% $1,032 +0% $1,018 +5% $1,004 +10% $990
Rent -10% $886 -5% $952 +0% $1,018 +5% $1,084 +10% $1,150
Rate -1.0pp $1,043 -0.5pp $1,031 base $1,018 +0.5pp $1,005 +1.0pp $992

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2080 Siskiyou Blvd Ashland, OR 1.0 1.0 650 $1,200 $1.85 45d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,900 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,900 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 190 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 189 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 185 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 182 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 181 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 180 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 179 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 174 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 173 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 172 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,900 Active 171 DOM
  19. 2025-12-10
    listed $54,900 Active 960-char remark
    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    Welcome to Siskiyou Mobile Village on Ashland's south end—an all-ages community offering a mix of RV spaces and single-wide manufactured homes. Built in 1971, Space #36 has been thoughtfully improved by the current owner. Updates include new wood-laminate flooring throughout, fresh white interior paint, and refinished cabinetry, including the built-in china hutch in the living room. The home features vinyl windows, two window A/C units, refreshed skirting, and a charming decorative gate at the yard entry. A rare bonus in this park is the finished and insulated shed with washer/dryer hookups, although the park does have onsite laundry facilities. Architectural bump-outs in both the living room and primary bedroom create inviting, functional spaces that add character beyond what you typically find in a 744 sq. ft. , 2-bed/1-bath home. The gravel driveway can accommodate multiple vehicles depending on size, with potential to expand if desired.

  20. 2020-06-01
    historical
  21. 2020-01-02
    listed $44,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$195 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$484 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$289/yr (+$24/mo · 147.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,002
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$195
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,600
− Management
−$1,600
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$12,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,906
After-tax cash flow
$9,310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland SD 5
NCES district ID
4101560
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,917
Composite
57.0/100
National rank
#2358
State rank
#5 of 183 in OR

Livability — Ashland

Score
83/100
State rank
#42
US rank
#1019

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 159,661 people
City population
26,512
Metro
Medford, OR
Population (ZIP)
26,512
Household income
$67,948
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
1727.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
234,433 people
By 2030
243,834 · +4.0%
By 2040
259,717 · +10.8%
By 2050
273,269 · +16.6%
By 2075
300,624 · +28.2%
By 2100
305,256 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -555.69%
Current HPI
231.9587
Rent YoY
▲ 1.69%
Metro
Medford, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $54,900 MLSCO
  • 2020-06-01 Listing Removed MLSCO
  • 2020-01-02 Listed $44,500 MLSCO

Property tax history

+81.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $195 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…