2799 Siskiyou Blvd #36 · Ashland, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 34 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Siskiyou Mobile Village on Ashland's south end—an all-ages community offering a mix of RV spaces and single-wide manufactured homes. Built in 1971, Space #36 has been thoughtfully improved by the current owner. Updates include new wood-laminate flooring throughout, fresh white interior paint, and refinished cabinetry, including the built-in china hutch in the living room. The home features vinyl windows, two window A/C units, refreshed skirting, and a charming decorative gate at the yard entry. A rare bonus in this park is the finished and insulated shed with washer/dryer hookups, although the park does have onsite laundry facilities. Architectural bump-outs in both the living room and primary bedroom create inviting, functional spaces that add character beyond what you typically find in a 744 sq. ft. , 2-bed/1-bath home. The gravel driveway can accommodate multiple vehicles depending on size, with potential to expand if desired.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- Refinished cabinetry
- Window a/c units
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.8% vs local median 2.1% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#42 in OR, #1,019 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Ashland SD 5 (suburban): math 59% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #5 of 183 in OR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 87.44%
- DSCR
- 4.89
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.91×
- Total profit
- $54,583
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 89.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.76×
- Total profit
- $122,341
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97520
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,667 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $195/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $1,018
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,046 | -5% $1,032 | +0% $1,018 | +5% $1,004 | +10% $990 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $886 | -5% $952 | +0% $1,018 | +5% $1,084 | +10% $1,150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,043 | -0.5pp $1,031 | base $1,018 | +0.5pp $1,005 | +1.0pp $992 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2080 Siskiyou Blvd Ashland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2025-12-10$54,900 Active 960-char remark
Show marketing remark (960 chars)
Welcome to Siskiyou Mobile Village on Ashland's south end—an all-ages community offering a mix of RV spaces and single-wide manufactured homes. Built in 1971, Space #36 has been thoughtfully improved by the current owner. Updates include new wood-laminate flooring throughout, fresh white interior paint, and refinished cabinetry, including the built-in china hutch in the living room. The home features vinyl windows, two window A/C units, refreshed skirting, and a charming decorative gate at the yard entry. A rare bonus in this park is the finished and insulated shed with washer/dryer hookups, although the park does have onsite laundry facilities. Architectural bump-outs in both the living room and primary bedroom create inviting, functional spaces that add character beyond what you typically find in a 744 sq. ft. , 2-bed/1-bath home. The gravel driveway can accommodate multiple vehicles depending on size, with potential to expand if desired.
-
2020-06-01historical
-
2020-01-02$44,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $195 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $484 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$289/yr (+$24/mo · 147.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$195
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,600
- − Management
- −$1,600
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $12,110
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,906
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,310/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland SD 5
- NCES district ID
- 4101560
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,917
- Composite
- 57.0/100
- National rank
- #2358
- State rank
- #5 of 183 in OR
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #42
- US rank
- #1019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jackson County · 159,661 people
- City population
- 26,512
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,512
- Household income
- $67,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1727.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 234,433 people
- By 2030
- 243,834 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 259,717 · +10.8%
- By 2050
- 273,269 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 300,624 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 305,256 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -555.69%
- Current HPI
- 231.9587
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.69%
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+23.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-10 Listed $54,900 MLSCO
- 2020-06-01 Listing Removed — MLSCO
- 2020-01-02 Listed $44,500 MLSCO
Property tax history
+81.2%/yrLatest (2022): $195 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…