320 30th Ave N · Clinton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Home in Desirable Lyons District - Northend Location Discover the perfect blend of privacy and potential with this inviting 2-bedroom home, ideally situated in the highly sought-after Lyons district of the Northend. Nestled on approximately 1.25 acres (MOL) and tucked away among mature trees, this property offers peace, seclusion, and room to grow. The home features a spacious layout ready for your personal touch, offering a unique opportunity to make it truly your own. A large two-car garage provides ample storage and workspace, making it great for hobbyists or those needing extra room. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS Whether you're looking for a private retreat or a project to transfor
Key facts
- Private retreat
- 1.25 acres
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 6.7% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#222 in IA, #4,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D, employment D.
- Clinton Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #273 of 289 in IA (top 94%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.14%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,000
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -27.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2927 Pershing Blvd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+4%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $104 | 80 |
| 2819 N 3rd St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-4%) | 1mo | $144,900 | $125 | 77 |
| 339 29th Ave N | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-9%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $119 | 76 |
| 3122 Roosevelt St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,268 (+5%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $106 | 76 |
| 3022 Tower Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-5%) | 13mo | $94,000 | $82 | 72 |
| 3012 Tower Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-7%) | 15mo | $144,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 2621 N 3rd St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (+8%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $134 | 68 |
| 3123 N 2nd St | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 11mo | $246,500 | $214 | 60 |
| 106 34th Ave N | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,112 (-8%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 1123 N 27th Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,176 (-2%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $204 | 55 |
| 730 Schick Rd | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 | 1,274 (+6%) | 13mo | $218,000 | $171 | 51 |
| 3852 N 3rd St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,282 (+6%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $215 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,025
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $17,738
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52732
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,188 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,126/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $94,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-13price $94,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-01-18status Active
-
2026-01-14historical
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2026-01-08status Active
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-05status Active
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-11-18price
-
2025-09-25Active
-
2022-10-05historical
-
2022-10-05historical
-
2021-08-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,126 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,126 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,261
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$2,126
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,141
- − Management
- −$1,141
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $1,302
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$313
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907710
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,900
- Composite
- 45.22/100
- National rank
- #2666
- State rank
- #273 of 289 in IA
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #4192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, IA
- County
- Clinton County · 25,880 people
- City population
- 25,880
- Metro
- Clinton, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,880
- Household income
- $61,105
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 889.0
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,817 people
- By 2030
- 43,090 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 39,513 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 36,209 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 31,888 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 30,382 · -32.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.3 2016: R+5.1 2012: D+22.9 2008: D+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.23%
- Current HPI
- 155.3426
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Clinton, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,126 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…