8232 Sunset Dr · Coolbaugh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property has all you need for a Short Term Rental property, primary home, secondary home, investment property! A large family room over the garage which would be absolutely perfect for ENTERTAINING, a game room or media room for larger gatherings! This home is a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom with extra room with closet that could be used as 4th bedroom. Plenty of kitchen cabinets and countertop, new microwave and stove. Back has a two story or as I call it a double decker SHED for Storage, Plenty of parking on the paved circular driveway easily fits 8 cars and 1 in the nice roomy garage. And, here is my favorite! 2 Dog Runs or can be used for whatever you want. One could be used as a protection fo
Key facts
- 2 dog runs
- Double decker shed
- New 50 year roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $1,788 (about $149/month); HOA includes trash; Community amenities: gated entry, security, clubhouse, dog park, playground, tennis courts, basketball court
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; 8 open parking spaces; Circular driveway; Garage faces front; Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single family residence; House
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Cul-de-sac lot; Paved road; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Kerosene heating; Wood heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Partially furnished; Masonry wood-burning fireplace in the dining room; Basement with concrete/crawl space and sump pump; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-319 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (19.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (28.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.71%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,290
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8526 Hillcrest Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-1%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $140 | 73 |
| 7272 Long Pine Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-5%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $125 | 68 |
| 7511 Crestview Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,342 (-11%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $201 | 67 |
| 6509 Runnymead Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,492 (-1%) | 13mo | $269,000 | $180 | 63 |
| 765 Country Place Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-7%) | 3mo | $195,699 | $140 | 63 |
| 1041 Country Place Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+3%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 1120 Country-place Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,642 (+9%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $195 | 60 |
| 8538 Bumble Bee Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-4%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $141 | 58 |
| 462 Country Place Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-5%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $179 | 57 |
| 1150 Country Place Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (-13%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $182 | 52 |
| 6372 Baltic Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,704 (+13%) | 2mo | $286,000 | $168 | 49 |
| 973 Country Place Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,672 (+11%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $179 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $4,891
- Equity at exit
- $119,981
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $58,349
- Equity at exit
- $177,213
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,067/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$149
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $-319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-154 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-401 | +10% $-483 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-483 | -5% $-401 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-236 | +10% $-154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-173 | -0.5pp $-245 | base $-319 | +0.5pp $-394 | +1.0pp $-470 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8446 Bear Trail Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1902 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9294 Bluebird Ct Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2107 | $2,150 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $149 · $1,788/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $289,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $289,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$289,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,067 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,324 · $277/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,257/yr (+$105/mo · 60.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$2,067
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,997
- − Management
- −$1,997
- − HOA
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$9,003
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coolbaugh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $289,900 PMAR
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,067 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…