2515 Joi Ave · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Home being sold as is. Basement walls need serious work.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1971
- Listed 3 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($354/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.79%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2526 Queenswood Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (0%) | 2mo | $188,900 | $198 | 95 |
| 2144 Toni St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (+1%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $180 | 74 |
| 2655 Mock Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+6%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 2288 Middlehurst Dr | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 995 (+4%) | 8mo | $79,601 | $80 | 66 |
| 2228 Holt Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+2%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $170 | 64 |
| 2282 Dawnlight Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+1%) | 3mo | $107,500 | $112 | 61 |
| 1642 Marina Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 881 (-8%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $176 | 61 |
| 2357 Argyle Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 868 (-9%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $167 | 61 |
| 1794 Devonshire Rd | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,061 (+11%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $170 | 57 |
| 1799 Brentnell Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,077 (+13%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $186 | 56 |
| 1893 Jermain Dr | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 995 (+4%) | 4mo | $134,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 2145 Argyle Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+13%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $135 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-28,163
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-38,003
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43219
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,406 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,103/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2504 Vendome Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1803 Canopy Ln Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2845 Austin Manor Blvd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,420 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1879 Jermain Dr Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3030 Sunbury Ridge Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,719 | $1.72 | 1d | 20 | 0.67mi |
| 2341 Dawnlight Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1310 Woodnell Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1867 Alvason Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2228 Minnesota Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,245 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3089 Cassady Village Trl Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $995 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2317 Parkwood Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $995 | $1.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2291 Taylor Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2930 E 13th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,095 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2695 Divot Pl Unit 2676 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,149 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1609-1611 E 26th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1609-1611 E 26th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2761 Wedge St Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $970 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2761 Wedge St Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $995 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2707 Woodland Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2999 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $925 | $0.94 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2999 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $945 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1577 Cordell Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1905 Stelzer Rd Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $1,635 | $1.97 | 1d | 22 | 1.44mi |
| 918 Rarig Ave Unit A Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 7d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1500 E 25th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1500 E 25th Ave Unit 2 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1911 Denune Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $925 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1911 Denune Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $795 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-17$160,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,103 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,300 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- +$196/yr (+$16/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,103
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,349
- − Management
- −$1,349
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$2,351
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$564
- After-tax cash flow
- $918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,338
- Household income
- $52,094
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2016.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1% Lithuanian 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.02%
- Current HPI
- 172.3872
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.84%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $160,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,103 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…