3395 133rd Ln NW · Andover, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1987
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Conventional mortgage type
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); 150 Amp electrical service (Connexus Energy); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Four-or-more-level split layout; Multiple living areas including living room, family room, bonus room, recreation room and foyer
- Construction: Block and frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt, pitched roof (over 8 years old)
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened porch options; Front porch; Deck; In-ground sprinkler; Full privacy fencing; Light tree coverage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level); Bedroom 1 (upper) 13x9; Bedroom 2 (upper) 11x9; Bedroom 3 (upper) 9x9
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (upper level); 1 three-quarter bathroom (basement) — walk-through layout
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Skylight; Water softener (owned); Informal dining room; Kitchen window; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-255 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (12.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (25.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $259k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Andover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#291 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Crooked Lake Elementary (math 64% / reading 52%, grade C+, #258 of 857 statewide, top 30%, 454 students, 34% FRL); Anoka Middle School For The Arts (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #138 of 258 statewide, top 55%, 1,678 students, 44% FRL); Anoka High School (math 26% / reading 63%, grade F, #189 of 471 statewide, top 44%, 2,322 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 395 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $216k; list at $350k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.12%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-72,963
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-84,542
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55304
- Active inventory
- 395
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,595 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$323 /mo · $3,880/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $-255
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-56 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-255 | +5% $-354 | +10% $-453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-460 | -5% $-357 | +0% $-255 | +5% $-152 | +10% $-50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-78 | -0.5pp $-166 | base $-255 | +0.5pp $-345 | +1.0pp $-438 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13752 Round Lake Blvd NW Unit 1 Andover, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $2,525 | $2.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3130 Northdale Blvd NW Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,619 | $2.73 | 0d | 18 | 1.38mi |
| 3120 Northdale Blvd NW Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $2,755 | $2.73 | 1d | 12 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-03status $350,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 10 DOM
-
2026-05-22$350,000 Active
-
2026-05-20historical $350,000
-
2013-10-03soldstatus $216,000
-
2013-09-30historical 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.
-
2013-09-30soldstatus $216,000 Sold 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.
-
2013-08-26historical 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.
-
2013-07-09$220,900 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.
-
2005-03-17soldstatus $225,000
-
2005-03-08historical 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
BEAUTIFUL HOME IN EXCELLENT AREA. EXTREMELY WELL MAINTAINED IN AND OUT, SCREENED PORCH, OPEN FLOOR PLAN-BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN & DINING WITH PERGO FLRS & CUSTOM OAK CAB-3BR SAME LEVEL-PRIVACY FENCED-SPRINKLERS-ALL LEVELS FINISHED-AGENT/OWNER
-
2005-02-24soldstatus $225,000 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
BEAUTIFUL HOME IN EXCELLENT AREA. EXTREMELY WELL MAINTAINED IN AND OUT, SCREENED PORCH, OPEN FLOOR PLAN-BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN & DINING WITH PERGO FLRS & CUSTOM OAK CAB-3BR SAME LEVEL-PRIVACY FENCED-SPRINKLERS-ALL LEVELS FINISHED-AGENT/OWNER
-
2004-12-03$229,900 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
BEAUTIFUL HOME IN EXCELLENT AREA. EXTREMELY WELL MAINTAINED IN AND OUT, SCREENED PORCH, OPEN FLOOR PLAN-BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN & DINING WITH PERGO FLRS & CUSTOM OAK CAB-3BR SAME LEVEL-PRIVACY FENCED-SPRINKLERS-ALL LEVELS FINISHED-AGENT/OWNER
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2001-11-14soldstatus $187,500
-
2001-07-27soldstatus $187,500
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2001-05-25historical
-
2001-04-24$186,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,880 · $323/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,900 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$3,880
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,491
- − Management
- −$2,491
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$9,260
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $-833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703180
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,837
- Composite
- 46.7/100
- National rank
- #2400
- State rank
- #71 of 301 in MN
Livability — Andover
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #291
- US rank
- #6311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Andover, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,452
Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 375,223 people
- By 2030
- 387,850 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 407,239 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 417,541 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 448,447 · +19.5%
- By 2100
- 464,954 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anoka
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.68%
- Current HPI
- 242.7122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+87.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $216,000 Public Records
- 2013-09-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-30 Sold (MLS) $216,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-09 Listed $220,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-24 Sold (MLS) $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-03 Listed $229,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $187,500 Public Records
- 2001-07-27 Sold (MLS) $187,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-05-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-04-24 Listed $186,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,880 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…