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3395 133rd Ln NW
D- Composite 35.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

3395 133rd Ln NW · Andover, MN 55304
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1987 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1987

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Conventional mortgage type

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); 150 Amp electrical service (Connexus Energy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; Four-or-more-level split layout; Multiple living areas including living room, family room, bonus room, recreation room and foyer
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt, pitched roof (over 8 years old)
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened porch options; Front porch; Deck; In-ground sprinkler; Full privacy fencing; Light tree coverage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level); Bedroom 1 (upper) 13x9; Bedroom 2 (upper) 11x9; Bedroom 3 (upper) 9x9
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (upper level); 1 three-quarter bathroom (basement) — walk-through layout
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Skylight; Water softener (owned); Informal dining room; Kitchen window; Washer/dryer hookup
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-255 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (12.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (25.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $259k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Andover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#291 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Crooked Lake Elementary (math 64% / reading 52%, grade C+, #258 of 857 statewide, top 30%, 454 students, 34% FRL); Anoka Middle School For The Arts (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #138 of 258 statewide, top 55%, 1,678 students, 44% FRL); Anoka High School (math 26% / reading 63%, grade F, #189 of 471 statewide, top 44%, 2,322 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 395 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $216k; list at $350k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $259,492 (25.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-72,963
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-84,542
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55304

Active inventory
395
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,595 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$323 /mo · $3,880/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$545
Net cashflow
$-255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,917
Max offer price $305,021
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-56 -5% $-156 +0% $-255 +5% $-354 +10% $-453
Rent -10% $-460 -5% $-357 +0% $-255 +5% $-152 +10% $-50
Rate -1.0pp $-78 -0.5pp $-166 base $-255 +0.5pp $-345 +1.0pp $-438

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13752 Round Lake Blvd NW Unit 1 Andover, MN 3.0 1.0 1146 $2,525 $2.20 19d 1 0.63mi
3130 Northdale Blvd NW Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 958 $2,619 $2.73 0d 18 1.38mi
3120 Northdale Blvd NW Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1009 $2,755 $2.73 1d 12 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $350,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 11 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Contingent - Inspection 10 DOM
  5. 2026-05-22
    listed $350,000 Active
  6. 2026-05-20
    historical $350,000
  7. 2013-10-03
    soldstatus $216,000
  8. 2013-09-30
    historical 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.

  9. 2013-09-30
    soldstatus $216,000 Sold 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.

  10. 2013-08-26
    historical 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.

  11. 2013-07-09
    listed $220,900 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Charming 4-level split (nestled in a great location). 3 beds up, 2 baths, privacy fence w/deck in back. Screened in front porch. A must see. Updated appliances, fixtures and paint.

  12. 2005-03-17
    soldstatus $225,000
  13. 2005-03-08
    historical 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL HOME IN EXCELLENT AREA. EXTREMELY WELL MAINTAINED IN AND OUT, SCREENED PORCH, OPEN FLOOR PLAN-BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN & DINING WITH PERGO FLRS & CUSTOM OAK CAB-3BR SAME LEVEL-PRIVACY FENCED-SPRINKLERS-ALL LEVELS FINISHED-AGENT/OWNER

  14. 2005-02-24
    soldstatus $225,000 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL HOME IN EXCELLENT AREA. EXTREMELY WELL MAINTAINED IN AND OUT, SCREENED PORCH, OPEN FLOOR PLAN-BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN & DINING WITH PERGO FLRS & CUSTOM OAK CAB-3BR SAME LEVEL-PRIVACY FENCED-SPRINKLERS-ALL LEVELS FINISHED-AGENT/OWNER

  15. 2004-12-03
    listed $229,900 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL HOME IN EXCELLENT AREA. EXTREMELY WELL MAINTAINED IN AND OUT, SCREENED PORCH, OPEN FLOOR PLAN-BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN & DINING WITH PERGO FLRS & CUSTOM OAK CAB-3BR SAME LEVEL-PRIVACY FENCED-SPRINKLERS-ALL LEVELS FINISHED-AGENT/OWNER

  16. 2001-11-14
    soldstatus $187,500
  17. 2001-07-27
    soldstatus $187,500
  18. 2001-05-25
    historical
  19. 2001-04-24
    listed $186,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,880 · $323/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,900 · $325/mo
Expected delta
+$20/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,139
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$3,880
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,491
− Management
−$2,491
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$9,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,223
After-tax cash flow
$-833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
NCES district ID
2703180
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$73,837
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2400
State rank
#71 of 301 in MN

Livability — Andover

Score
72/100
State rank
#291
US rank
#6311

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Andover, MN
Population (ZIP)
49,452

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -267.68%
Current HPI
242.7122
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $216,000 Public Records
  • 2013-09-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-30 Sold (MLS) $216,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-26 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-09 Listed $220,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 2005-03-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-24 Sold (MLS) $225,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-12-03 Listed $229,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $187,500 Public Records
  • 2001-07-27 Sold (MLS) $187,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-05-25 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-04-24 Listed $186,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,880 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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