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26 Church St Multi-family
B Composite 72.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$1,600,000

26 Church St · San Francisco, CA 94114
5 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,680 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1880 1,995 sqft lot $597/sqft · at area comps Est $1788k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

26 Church Street is a 2,950 square foot multifamily property ideally situated at the intersection of Duboce Triangle, The Castro, and Hayes Valleythree of San Francisco's most desirable neighborhoods. Surrounded by the charm of the tree-lined streets and stunning views of the city, this property offers a unique opportunity to be part of one of San Francisco's coveted neighborhoods. The property benefits from its close proximity to Duboce Park, neighborhood retail, cafs, and excellent public transit options. The property is comprised of one (1) - studio, one (1) junior one bedroom and two (2) one bedroom apartment units. The building features a storage unit, a RUBS (Ratio Utility Billing System) for utilities, and well-maintained common areas, offering both efficiency and value for ownership. This central location, combined with consistent tenant demand and walkable amenities, makes 26 Church Street a stable, long-term investment opportunity in a highly sought-after rental corridor.

Key facts

  • 1,995 sq ft lot
  • Built 1880
  • Listed 65 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/5.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.60M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.55M (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.50M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.4%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $15,475/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($204k/yr) (locally 1336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $163k of equity ($11k loan paydown + $152k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $448k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$262k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 33y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $95k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $1.15M; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,504,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.13%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,788,446
List price
$1,600,000
Delta
-10.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1059 Haight St 0.56mi 5/4.0 2,630 (-2%) 8mo $1,500,000 $570 60
50-52 Ramona Ave 0.29mi 5/2.0 2,950 (+10%) 1mo $1,650,000 $559 57
72 Pearl St 0.29mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,830 (+6%) 6mo $1,685,000 $595 52
3640-3642 17th St 0.48mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,595 (-3%) 3mo $2,800,000 $1,079 50
39-41 Dolores Ter 0.55mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,477 (-8%) 1mo $4,215,000 $1,702 48
2275 15th St 0.42mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,908 (+8%) 12mo $2,605,000 $896 43
171-73 Buena Vista Ave 0.48mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,995 (+12%) 4mo $3,050,000 $1,018 42
943-945 Haight St 0.46mi 4/4.0 (-1) 3,040 (+13%) 12mo $2,500,000 $822 37
48 Sycamore St 0.70mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,950 (+10%) 7mo $1,703,000 $577 36
29-31 Collingwood St 0.66mi 5/3.0 2,400 (-10%) 15mo $1,800,000 $750 31
527-529 Noe St 0.66mi 6/4.0 (+1) 3,000 (+12%) 14mo $2,150,000 $717 28
431-433 Broderick St 0.63mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,050 (+14%) 10mo $2,600,000 $852 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.51% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
3.38×
Total profit
$1,068,325
Equity at exit
$1,384,247
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
8.15×
Total profit
$3,201,024
Equity at exit
$2,926,377

Cash invested: $448,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94114

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Rents YoY
14.4%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
25.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$15,475 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8,391
Tax from tax record
$506 /mo · $6,070/yr
Insurance
$667
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,250
Net cashflow
$2,662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $12,105
Max offer price $1,600,000
Occupancy floor 78%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $15,475

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$400,000
Closing costs
$48,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
471 S Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2140 $11,000 $5.14 15d 1 0.70mi
143 Corbett Ave San Francisco, CA 4.0 4.0 2500 $10,500 $4.20 44d 1 0.90mi
701 Castro St San Francisco, CA 5.0 4.0 3300 $22,995 $6.97 18d 1 0.91mi
753 Castro St San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2467 $10,950 $4.44 44d 1 0.96mi
2577 Post St San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2754 $15,000 $5.45 3d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    listed $1,695,000 Active 996-char remark
    Show marketing remark (996 chars)

    26 Church Street is a 2,950 square foot multifamily property ideally situated at the intersection of Duboce Triangle, The Castro, and Hayes Valleythree of San Francisco's most desirable neighborhoods. Surrounded by the charm of the tree-lined streets and stunning views of the city, this property offers a unique opportunity to be part of one of San Francisco's coveted neighborhoods. The property benefits from its close proximity to Duboce Park, neighborhood retail, cafs, and excellent public transit options. The property is comprised of one (1) - studio, one (1) junior one bedroom and two (2) one bedroom apartment units. The building features a storage unit, a RUBS (Ratio Utility Billing System) for utilities, and well-maintained common areas, offering both efficiency and value for ownership. This central location, combined with consistent tenant demand and walkable amenities, makes 26 Church Street a stable, long-term investment opportunity in a highly sought-after rental corridor.

  16. 2025-12-22
    status Active
  17. 2025-12-16
    historical Contingent - No Show
  18. 2025-12-01
    listed $1,700,000 Active
  19. 2025-07-17
    soldstatus $1,150,000
  20. 2025-03-26
    listed $1,295,000 Active
  21. 1995-05-01
    listed $239,500
  22. 1994-09-26
    listed $289,000
  23. 1994-06-01
    listed $349,000
  24. 1993-06-25
    listed $375,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,070 · $506/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,160 · $1,013/mo
Expected delta
+$6,090/yr (+$508/mo · 100.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$185,700
− Mortgage interest
−$89,625
− Property taxes
−$6,070
− Insurance
−$8,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,856
− Management
−$14,856
− Depreciation
−$46,545
Taxable income
$5,748
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,379
After-tax cash flow
$30,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,020
Household income
$204,134
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1336.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Asian 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.51%
Current HPI
223.6988
Rent YoY
▲ 14.40%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+352.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $1,695,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-12-22 Relisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-12-16 Contingent San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $1,700,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $1,150,000 Public Records
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $1,295,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 1995-05-01 Listed $239,500 San Francisco MLS
  • 1994-09-26 Listed $289,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 1994-06-01 Listed $349,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 1993-06-25 Listed $375,000 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,070 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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