804 Harrison St · Pawnee, OK
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for your next investment property or a home to renovate? This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house in Pawnee is packed with potential! Built in 1925, this ranch-style home sits on a large lot with a covered porch, offering plenty of charm. Located right on the main drag through Pawnee, this property is in the Pawnee School District and has easy access to US-64—a prime location for a rental, flip, or personal project. - Great investment opportunity - Large lot with room to improve - High-visibility location This property is being sold As-Is, Where-Is, with no repairs or warranties. Perfect for investors or renovators looking for their next project!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Large lot
- Built 1925
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax approximately $459
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot details to be satisfied by buyer; No subdivision
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One full bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pawnee (rural): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #176 of 270 in OK (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $50k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.56%
- DSCR
- 3.16
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,760
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Kansas St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,268 (-3%) | 20mo | $58,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 410 Denver St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (-3%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 907 5th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (+12%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $33 | 59 |
| 811 Elm St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-7%) | 22mo | $45,000 | $37 | 58 |
| 615 11th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,456 (+12%) | 9mo | $62,500 | $43 | 56 |
| 821 Ash St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,183 (-9%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $65 | 53 |
| 1016 Pawnee Bill Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,448 (+11%) | 22mo | $245,000 | $169 | 43 |
| 314 Boulder St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (+12%) | 14mo | $144,500 | $99 | 38 |
| 406 Boulder St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,476 (+13%) | 6mo | $18,500 | $13 | 37 |
| 1506 W 7th St | 0.75mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,176 (-10%) | 18mo | $83,000 | $71 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $42,104
- Equity at exit
- $22,482
- IRR
- 53.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.10×
- Total profit
- $99,330
- Equity at exit
- $34,648
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74058
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,121 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $430/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $566
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2025-11-13price $50,000
-
2025-11-12$65,000 Active
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2024-01-31$79,000 Active
-
2023-04-24historical
-
2022-10-26$87,000 Active
-
2022-10-25$87,000 Active
-
2006-02-10soldstatus $25,000
-
2006-01-09soldstatus $25,000
-
2005-12-14$29,500
-
2001-07-18soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $430 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $450 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 4.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$430
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,076
- − Management
- −$1,076
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $6,362
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,527
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pawnee
- NCES district ID
- 4023610
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,841
- Composite
- 16.5/100
- National rank
- #9184
- State rank
- #176 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pawnee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #11883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pawnee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,558
Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,219 people
- By 2030
- 16,028 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 15,724 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 15,563 · -4.0%
- By 2075
- 15,905 · -1.9%
- By 2100
- 16,058 · -1.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Native American 16% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.7% · R 78.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+69.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $50,000 SBOR
- 2025-11-12 Listed $65,000 SBOR
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-01-31 Listed $79,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-04-24 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-10-26 Listed $87,000 SBOR
- 2022-10-25 Listed $87,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-02-10 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-14 Listed $29,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $430 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…