150 Church St · Turner, ME 04220

$62,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 540 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market

Built 1957 3.00 ac lot ↓ 27% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Rustic Western Maine 2-bedroom camp with interior plumbing! The property does need repairs as it has been vacant for years. Great place to escape, town beach nearby, ATV trails and great hunting. Town tax acquired property

Key facts

• Great hunting
• Interior plumbing
• Town beach nearby

Tags

• INTERIOR PLUMBING
• TOWN BEACH NEARBY
• ATV TRAILS
• GREAT HUNTING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
• Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• RSU 10 (rural): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #107 of 112 in ME (top 96%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Zoned schools: Hartford-Sumner Elementary School (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A, #182 of 294 statewide, top 69%, 303 students, 54% FRL); Mountain Valley Middle School (math 69% / reading 78%, grade A, #79 of 85 statewide, top 95%, 354 students, 76% FRL); Buckfield Jr-Sr High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #56 of 108 statewide, top 60%, 222 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 329 units permitted in Oxford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($429 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Oxford County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $61,070 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.54% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.51%
• DSCR: 3.51
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 69.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.95×
• Total profit: $85,860
• Equity at exit: $55,855

10-year hold

• IRR: 62.9%
• Equity multiple: 13.21×
• Total profit: $211,944
• Equity at exit: $120,452

Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04220

• Home prices YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,577 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$325
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$78 /mo · $930/yr
• Insurance: −$26
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$331
• Net cashflow: $818

Break-even live

Break-even rent $542

Max offer price $62,000

Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $860	-5% $839	+0% $818	+5% $796	+10% $775
Rent	-10% $693	-5% $755	+0% $818	+5% $880	+10% $942
Rate	-1.0pp $849	-0.5pp $833	base $818	+0.5pp $801	+1.0pp $785

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,500
• Closing costs: $1,860
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-03-04
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-05
   listed $62,000 Active
3. 2015-07-01
   historical
4. 2015-06-12
   price $65,000
5. 2015-05-22
   price $72,000
6. 2015-03-05
   listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,927
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,473
• − Property taxes: −$930
• − Insurance: −$310
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,514
• − Management: −$1,514
• − Depreciation: −$1,804
• Taxable income: $9,382
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,252
• After-tax cash flow: $7,559/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 10
• NCES district ID: 2314795
• Math proficiency: 72% ▲ 50.00%
• Reading proficiency: 79% ▲ 34.00%
• Median HH income: $37,647
• Composite: 62.72/100
• National rank: #671
• State rank: #107 of 112 in ME

Livability — Turner

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 3,815

Population outlook (Oxford County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 55,853 people
• By 2030: 54,190 · -3.0%
• By 2040: 49,484 · -11.4%
• By 2050: 43,958 · -21.3%
• By 2075: 32,308 · -42.2%
• By 2100: 21,858 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 11%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 18% Slovak 11% Serbian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oxford

• 2024 margin: R (+12.9) · D 42.7% · R 55.6% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.9pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -12.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+16.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.52%
• Current HPI: 271.0662
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-27.1% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-04 Pending — MREIS
• 2026-02-05 Listed $62,000 MREIS
• 2015-07-01 Delisted — MREIS
• 2015-06-12 Price Changed $65,000 MREIS
• 2015-05-22 Price Changed $72,000 MREIS
• 2015-03-05 Listed $85,000 MREIS

Property tax history

-36.2%/yr

Latest (2018): $82 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.