35564 Sussex Ln · Millsboro, DE
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.3
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
JUST IN TIME FOR SUMMER! Welcome to Mariners Cove, a warm and inviting community where coastal charm meets everyday comfort. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a bright and spacious main living area with vaulted ceilings and an abundance of natural light, creating an open and airy feel throughout. A versatile second living room provides the perfect opportunity for a home office, guest space, or potential third bedroom. Enjoy summer days and evenings on the large porch—perfect for entertaining or simply relaxing while taking in the refreshing bay breeze. With a little TLC, this home presents a fantastic opportunity to add your personal touch and build equity.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Natural light
- Large porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 3.4% in Millsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#44 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Long Neck Elementary School (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #57 of 105 statewide, top 55%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Millsboro Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #14 of 36 statewide, top 37%, 771 students, 0% FRL); Sussex Central High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #24 of 40 statewide, top 59%, 2,039 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 999 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.76%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,886
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -44.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35468 Joann Dr #11511 | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-4%) | 13mo | $52,000 | $41 | 64 |
| 27287 Seabreeze Rd #5643 | 0.94mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+0%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $95 | 58 |
| 35317 Fishermans Rd #5751 | 0.83mi | 2/1.5 | 1,300 (-1%) | 20mo | $62,000 | $48 | 44 |
| 27299 Dinghy Rd #1348 | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-9%) | 11mo | $69,000 | $58 | 40 |
| 35476 Bayview Ln #4147 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+6%) | 19mo | $146,000 | $104 | 38 |
| 34651 Deck St | 1.04mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,476 (+12%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $27 | 31 |
| 26590 Hermit Ln #1930 | 0.98mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-13%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $39 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $7,711
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $31,779
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 2 under contract
- Median asking
- $132,000 ($120/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 78 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -21.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 999
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $227/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$3
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $312 | +0% $292 | +5% $273 | +10% $253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $176 | -5% $234 | +0% $292 | +5% $351 | +10% $409 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $327 | -0.5pp $310 | base $292 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 62d | 1 | 0.19mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property is in FEMA flood zone AE
- Financial info
- Annual ground rent listed as an income/expense item
- HOA & community
- HOA fee $30 annuallyGround rent exists ($660 monthly; 1 year remaining on lease)
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway parking (2 spaces)On-street parkingTotal of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectric heating, cooling, and hot water
- Home design
- Manufactured (double-wide modular) homeLand lease ownershipBuilding winterizedBayblock location
- Construction
- Modular / manufactured constructionDouble-wide body type
- Exterior features
- Deck(s)Boat storageWater view (bay-oriented)Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas range / ovenRange hoodRefrigeratorBreakfast area adjacent to kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms on the main level (includes an entry-level bedroom)
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heating (electric)Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features
- BarTub with showerBreakfast areaBuilt-in shelvingCeiling fansDining areaFamily room off kitchenMaster bath
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer on the main floorElectric water heater
Listing history 49 events
-
2026-07-31days on market $69,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $69,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $69,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $69,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $69,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $69,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $69,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $69,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $69,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $69,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $69,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $69,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $69,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $69,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $69,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $69,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $69,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $69,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $69,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $69,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $69,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $69,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $69,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $69,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $69,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $69,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $69,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $69,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-15price $69,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $69,900 785-char remark
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2026-04-01$79,900 Active 785-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $227 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $314 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- +$87/yr (+$7/mo · 38.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$227
- − Insurance
- −$5,870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − HOA
- −$36
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $2,864
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$687
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its curb appeal and value. The deck and landscaping are in poor condition and need immediate attention.
Deferred maintenance Est. $10,000–$30,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — The roof appears to be missing or damaged, indicating a major issue that needs immediate attention.
Repairs flagged
- Major deck — Severe wear and tear
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both trim siding — Improves home's appearance and value ↑
- Both prune trees — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Millsboro
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #12135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 248,853 people
- City population
- 35,884
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $227 · -51.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…