CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
651 Bamboo Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
D- Composite 37.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0

$240,000

651 Bamboo Ln · Blain, PA 17047
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,764 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1880 0.81 ac lot $136/sqft · 56% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is truly one of a kind and only a few will appreciate this setting as the hidden gem it is. Just Imagine stepping back in time and enjoying the simple things in life- yes it has running water and sewer. The property also offers a large bank barn, summer kitchen or art studio or maybe even rent out the building for an Air B and B. Three bedrooms, two full baths, part of the home with the addition has two mini split units. You will enjoy every night watching the stars off of the deck with family and friends. Home sits back a long private road and surrounded by farmland. No Government financing on this property only a local bank will see the beauty in this homestead. Property was tenant occupied a year ago and internet does exist for those who still need to connect with the rest of the world. Please make sure you are pre-approved before setting up a showing

Key facts

  • Private road
  • Art studio
  • Deck

Tags

LARGE BANK BARNSUMMER KITCHENART STUDIOPRIVATE ROADSURROUNDED BY FARMLANDDECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $240,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$544,891) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-329 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (24.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (34.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (34.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,331 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blain El Sch (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 263 students, 60% FRL); West Perry Ms (math 23% / reading 61%, grade D-, #221 of 512 statewide, top 45%, 496 students, 52% FRL); West Perry Shs (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 686 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,152 (34.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
4.98%
Cash-on-cash
-4.69%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$544,891
List price
$240,000
Delta
-55.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,778
Equity at exit
$101,386
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$43,494
Equity at exit
$151,349

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17047

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,572 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
Insurance
$100
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$-329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,988
Max offer price $181,848
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-193 -5% $-261 +0% $-329 +5% $-397 +10% $-465
Rent -10% $-453 -5% $-391 +0% $-329 +5% $-267 +10% $-205
Rate -1.0pp $-208 -0.5pp $-268 base $-329 +0.5pp $-391 +1.0pp $-455

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $240,000 Pending 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-03-21
    price $240,000 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    This is truly one of a kind and only a few will appreciate this setting as the hidden gem it is. Just Imagine stepping back in time and enjoying the simple things in life- yes it has running water and sewer. The property also offers a large bank barn, summer kitchen or art studio or maybe even rent out the building for an Air B and B. Three bedrooms, two full baths, part of the home with the addition has two mini split units. You will enjoy every night watching the stars off of the deck with family and friends. Home sits back a long private road and surrounded by farmland. No Government financing on this property only a local bank will see the beauty in this homestead. Property was tenant occupied a year ago and internet does exist for those who still need to connect with the rest of the world. Please make sure you are pre-approved before setting up a showing

  12. 2026-01-13
    listed $270,000 Active 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    This is truly one of a kind and only a few will appreciate this setting as the hidden gem it is. Just Imagine stepping back in time and enjoying the simple things in life- yes it has running water and sewer. The property also offers a large bank barn, summer kitchen or art studio or maybe even rent out the building for an Air B and B. Three bedrooms, two full baths, part of the home with the addition has two mini split units. You will enjoy every night watching the stars off of the deck with family and friends. Home sits back a long private road and surrounded by farmland. No Government financing on this property only a local bank will see the beauty in this homestead. Property was tenant occupied a year ago and internet does exist for those who still need to connect with the rest of the world. Please make sure you are pre-approved before setting up a showing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,770 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$1,022/yr (+$85/mo · 58.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,858
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$1,748
− Insurance
−$1,997
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,509
− Management
−$1,509
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$8,330
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,999
After-tax cash flow
$-1,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Perry SD
NCES district ID
4225740
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$55,647
Composite
41.99/100
National rank
#3338
State rank
#189 of 539 in PA

Livability — Blain

Score
62/100
State rank
#1331
US rank
#16445

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,037

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,250 people
By 2030
42,862 · -3.1%
By 2040
39,574 · -10.6%
By 2050
36,001 · -18.6%
By 2075
27,991 · -36.7%
By 2100
20,936 · -52.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · German/W. Germanic 9% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.3) · D 24.8% · R 74.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -49.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.3 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.51%
Current HPI
178.5762
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $270,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,748 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…