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1411 Gibbs St
D+ Composite 47.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1411 Gibbs St · Melbourne, FL 32901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1964 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A cute 3-bedroom 1 1/2-bathroom concrete block home with an open concept. New Roof installed in 2020. Hurricane impact windows and doors.

Key facts

  • New roof
  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

NEW ROOFHURRICANE-IMPACT WINDOWSHURRICANE-IMPACT DOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available and connected; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Property faces north
  • Construction: Block and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Pets allowed
  • Exterior features: Impact windows; Asphalt road frontage; Lot described as 'Other'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Stone Magnet Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #426 of 571 statewide, top 75%, 670 students, 69% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 43% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $175k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,769 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.35%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-21,772
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-16,229
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32901

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,638 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,997/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,465
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2643B Kingswood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 18d 1 0.54mi
2331 Commerce Park Dr NE Palm Bay, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1094 $1,736 $1.59 13d 33 0.65mi
2361 Commerce Park Dr NE Palm Bay, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1106 $1,902 $1.72 13d 47 0.72mi
2155 Robert J Conlan Blvd NE Palm Bay, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $1,740 $1.59 13d 20 0.75mi
2522 Amberly Rd NE Palm Bay, FL 2.0 1.0 672 $1,300 $1.93 23d 1 0.81mi
2399 Coconut Palm Dr NE Palm Bay, FL 2.0 2.0 968 $1,795 $1.85 23d 1 0.83mi
1002 Brothers Ave Unit 101 Melbourne, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,445 $2.06 23d 1 0.86mi
2700 Carlson Cir Melbourne, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 879 $1,242 $1.41 23d 1 0.99mi
248 E University Blvd Melbourne, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 720 $1,449 $2.01 14d 5 1.05mi
3008 Hanson Ave Melbourne, FL 1.0 1.0 840 $1,125 $1.34 23d 1 1.13mi
100 E University Blvd Melbourne, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 756 $1,437 $1.90 13d 16 1.28mi
3151 S Babcock St Melbourne, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 807 $1,595 $1.98 14d 10 1.28mi
635 E New Haven Ave Melbourne, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,700 $3.00 23d 1 1.36mi
603 E New Haven Ave Melbourne, FL 1.0 1.0 1118 $1,575 $1.41 14d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-03-24
    listed $175,000 Active
  11. 2026-03-22
    historical 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    A cute 3-bedroom 1 1/2-bathroom concrete block home with an open concept. New Roof installed in 2020. Hurricane impact windows and doors.

  12. 2025-05-22
    listed $175,000 Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    A cute 3-bedroom 1 1/2-bathroom concrete block home with an open concept. New Roof installed in 2020. Hurricane impact windows and doors.

  13. 2020-11-19
    soldstatus $75,000
  14. 2020-11-18
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Cute 2bd concrete block home. New Roof installed in 2020.

  15. 2020-09-23
    listed Contingent 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Cute 2bd concrete block home. New Roof installed in 2020.

  16. 2020-09-22
    listed $75,000 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Cute 2bd concrete block home. New Roof installed in 2020.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,997 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,997 · $166/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,652
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,997
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,572
− Management
−$1,572
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$302
After-tax cash flow
$1,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brevard
NCES district ID
1200150
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,426
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2370
State rank
#19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Melbourne

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Melbourne, FL
County
Brevard County · 602,871 people
City population
178,420
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,923
Household income
$54,651
Rent vs Own
50.6% rent · 49.4% own
Severe rent burden
2018.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
623,254 people
By 2030
648,420 · +4.0%
By 2040
690,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
715,669 · +14.8%
By 2075
775,744 · +24.5%
By 2100
776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.13%
Current HPI
322.934
Rent YoY
▲ 1.70%
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $175,000 SCMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $175,000 SCMLS
  • 2020-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-18 Sold (MLS) $75,000 SCMLS
  • 2020-09-23 Listed SCMLS
  • 2020-09-22 Listed $75,000 SCMLS

Property tax history

+15.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,997 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…