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299 4th St
D+ Composite 49.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$259,998

299 4th St · Maupin, OR 97037
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1994 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Large living room
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSOVERSIZED WINDOWSSMART SINGLE-LEVEL LAYOUTLARGE LIVING ROOMOPEN KITCHENBREAKFAST NOOK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-28/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#219 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D.
  • South Wasco County SD 1 (rural): math 20% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #142 of 183 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 48 units permitted in Wasco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wasco County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $197k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,000 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.04%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$141,451
Equity at exit
$234,227
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
6.72×
Total profit
$416,664
Equity at exit
$505,119

Cash invested: $72,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97037

Home prices YoY
19.2%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$269 /mo · $3,223/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$-2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,203
Max offer price $259,584
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $145 -5% $71 +0% $-2 +5% $-76 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-176 -5% $-89 +0% $-2 +5% $85 +10% $171
Rate -1.0pp $129 -0.5pp $64 base $-2 +0.5pp $-70 +1.0pp $-138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
606 Deschutes Ave Maupin, OR 4.0 1.0 1620 $2,200 $1.36 45d 1 0.18mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 1176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1176 chars)

    Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

  2. 2026-03-19
    price $259,998 1176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1176 chars)

    Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

  3. 2026-02-20
    status Active 1176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1176 chars)

    Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

  4. 2026-01-19
    status Pending 1176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1176 chars)

    Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

  5. 2025-11-17
    price $269,000 1176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1176 chars)

    Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

  6. 2025-10-06
    listed $279,000 Active 1176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1176 chars)

    Back on market at no fault of seller + New Roof! Welcome to your Maupin retreat—offering sunshine, canyon views, and small-town charm with everyday comfort. This single-level home features 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, including a full bath in the detached 2-car garage with workspace. Vaulted ceilings and oversized windows bring in natural light and showcase canyon scenery. The open-concept layout includes a spacious living room, dining area, and bright kitchen with abundant cabinetry and breakfast nook.The primary suite offers a walk-in closet and private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for guests, office, or den (county notes 3rd as den/office). Step outside to a wraparound deck—ideal for entertaining or enjoying Maupin sunsets. A garden shed and backyard picnic area enhance outdoor living. Features include heat pump with central A/C, public utilities, and detached garage.Comfortable as-is with opportunity to update and add value over time. Located in Maupin—known for Deschutes River fishing, rafting, and recreation—with easy access to shops and cafés. Ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or investment.

  7. 2021-09-20
    soldstatus $197,425
  8. 1993-03-01
    soldstatus $12,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,223 · $269/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,223 · $269/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,400
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$3,223
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,474
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,074
After-tax cash flow
$1,046/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Wasco County SD 1
NCES district ID
4100021
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$40,943
Composite
32.06/100
National rank
#10996
State rank
#142 of 183 in OR

Livability — Maupin

Score
64/100
State rank
#219
US rank
#14864

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Maupin, OR
Population (ZIP)
857

Population outlook (Wasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,588 people
By 2030
26,950 · +1.4%
By 2040
27,513 · +3.5%
By 2050
28,041 · +5.5%
By 2075
29,840 · +12.2%
By 2100
29,617 · +11.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Scottish 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wasco

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 45.5% · R 51.2% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+0.8 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.89%
Current HPI
260.21
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1963.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $259,998 RMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted RMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Pending RMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $269,000 RMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $279,000 RMLS
  • 2021-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $197,425 Public Records
  • 1993-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,223 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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