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1409 2nd St S
C- Composite 53.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

1409 2nd St S · Dickinson, ND 58601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,872 sqft · Other · 36 Days on market
Built 1959 6,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this great bungalow with 2 bedrooms and laundry on main floor. This home has a mid-century charm you will love, including wood flooring in bedrooms and living room. Downstairs is an additional bedroom (non-conforming) and bath, along with a family room and kitchen area, plus an additional room for whatever you please. The back yard is fenced and has two sheds. Come take a look! You may just have to say Yes! Buyers to verify SF of lot and structure. Property will be sold ''AS-IS''.

Key facts

  • Wood flooring
  • Fenced back yard
  • Bungalow

Tags

BUNGALOWMID-CENTURY CHARMWOOD FLOORINGFENCED BACK YARDTWO SHEDS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: 0.15-acre lot (approximately 65 x 100)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Basement present with block and concrete construction
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.9% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dickinson Middle School (math 36% / reading 50%, grade D-, #17 of 35 statewide, top 47%, 842 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.94%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-11,839
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-498
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58601

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,472 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,124/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,227
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $273 -5% $233 +0% $194 +5% $154 +10% $115
Rent -10% $78 -5% $136 +0% $194 +5% $252 +10% $310
Rate -1.0pp $264 -0.5pp $229 base $194 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $139,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Come check out this great bungalow with 2 bedrooms and laundry on main floor. This home has a mid-century charm you will love, including wood flooring in bedrooms and living room. Downstairs is an additional bedroom (non-conforming) and bath, along with a family room and kitchen area, plus an additional room for whatever you please. The back yard is fenced and has two sheds. Come take a look! You may just have to say Yes! Buyers to verify SF of lot and structure. Property will be sold ''AS-IS''.

  19. 2026-05-14
    listed $139,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Come check out this great bungalow with 2 bedrooms and laundry on main floor. This home has a mid-century charm you will love, including wood flooring in bedrooms and living room. Downstairs is an additional bedroom (non-conforming) and bath, along with a family room and kitchen area, plus an additional room for whatever you please. The back yard is fenced and has two sheds. Come take a look! You may just have to say Yes! Buyers to verify SF of lot and structure. Property will be sold ''AS-IS''.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,124 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,124 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,663
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,124
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,413
− Management
−$1,413
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$107
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$26
After-tax cash flow
$2,301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickinson 1
NCES district ID
3800038
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$63,270
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5080
State rank
#29 of 53 in ND

Livability — Dickinson

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dickinson, ND
County
Stark County · 29,916 people
City population
29,916
Metro
Dickinson, ND
Population (ZIP)
29,916
Household income
$85,821
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
813.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,426 people
By 2030
60,812 · +20.6%
By 2040
84,155 · +66.9%
By 2050
110,718 · +119.6%
By 2075
186,710 · +270.3%
By 2100
264,902 · +425.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.57%
Current HPI
188.1029
Rent YoY
▲ 1.95%
Metro
Dickinson, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $139,900 GNMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $139,900 Badlands BOR MLS

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,124 · +18.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…