24234 Norway Rd Plan · Sylvan, MI
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $946 – $6,584
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$136,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spectacular home offers a warm, inviting feel with an open floor plan and abundant natural light throughout. Situated on a large lot backing to the woods, it provides both privacy and beautiful views of nature. The beautifully designed kitchen features 42-inch cabinets, a spacious island, and ample counter and cupboard space. Two transom windows fill the space with natural light, while the ceramic tile backsplash and all-black Whirlpool appliances add a modern touch. Just off the kitchen is a convenient laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, which also leads to a rear door facing the wooded backdrop perfect for adding a future deck to enjoy the abundant wildlife. The second and third bedrooms are generously sized with roomy closets. The primary suite includes a ceiling fan, walk-in closet, and an ensuite bath featuring dual vanity sinks, a step-in shower with glass barn doors, a private water closet, and a linen closet. Throughout the home, all-black door handles, hinges, and faucets enhance the modern aesthetic. The exterior showcases sleek linear windows with black frames, giving the home a rich, contemporary feel. Additional features include full drywall, canned LED lighting, and energy-efficient construction.
Key facts
- Spacious island
- Open floor plan
- Designed kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $137k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $137k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Chelsea School District (town): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #59 of 540 in MI (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.48%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,800
- Equity at exit
- $20,426
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $37,410
- Equity at exit
- $11,845
Cash invested: $38,359 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48118
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $405
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,249
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $136,995 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $136,995 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $136,995 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $136,995 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $136,995 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $136,995 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $136,995 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $136,995 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $136,995 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $136,995 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $136,995 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $136,995 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $136,995 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $136,995 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $136,995 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $136,995 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-01-31$136,995 Active 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
This spectacular home offers a warm, inviting feel with an open floor plan and abundant natural light throughout. Situated on a large lot backing to the woods, it provides both privacy and beautiful views of nature. The beautifully designed kitchen features 42-inch cabinets, a spacious island, and ample counter and cupboard space. Two transom windows fill the space with natural light, while the ceramic tile backsplash and all-black Whirlpool appliances add a modern touch. Just off the kitchen is a convenient laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, which also leads to a rear door facing the wooded backdrop perfect for adding a future deck to enjoy the abundant wildlife. The second and third bedrooms are generously sized with roomy closets. The primary suite includes a ceiling fan, walk-in closet, and an ensuite bath featuring dual vanity sinks, a step-in shower with glass barn doors, a private water closet, and a linen closet. Throughout the home, all-black door handles, hinges, and faucets enhance the modern aesthetic. The exterior showcases sleek linear windows with black frames, giving the home a rich, contemporary feel. Additional features include full drywall, canned LED lighting, and energy-efficient construction.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$2,055
- − Insurance
- −$4,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,023
- − Management
- −$2,023
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable income
- $3,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$740
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,116/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home offers a good condition with a good floor plan and modern updates. It is ready for minor cosmetic improvements to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and provides privacy
- Both exterior paint — improves curb appeal and protects siding
- Both landscaping and privacy fence — enhances curb appeal and provides privacy
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and provides privacy ↑
- Both exterior paint — improves curb appeal and protects siding ↑
- Both landscaping and privacy fence — enhances curb appeal and provides privacy ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chelsea School District
- NCES district ID
- 2608940
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,362
- Composite
- 49.34/100
- National rank
- #2018
- State rank
- #59 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sylvan
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,088
Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 402,878 people
- By 2030
- 424,104 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 464,633 · +15.3%
- By 2050
- 504,728 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 614,463 · +52.5%
- By 2100
- 676,181 · +67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.35%
- Current HPI
- 174.8761
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-31 Listed $136,995 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…