134 Hillside Dr · Starksboro, VT
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
$108,969
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 268 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (13.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 104 units permitted in Addison County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Addison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.79%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,451
- List price
- $108,969
- Delta
- 11.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5056 Big Hollow Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 880 (-3%) | 4mo | $106,314 | $121 | 88 |
| 5032 Big Hollow Rd | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 790 (-13%) | 4mo | $99,879 | $126 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $19,466
- Equity at exit
- $62,303
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $64,716
- Equity at exit
- $107,986
Cash invested: $30,511 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05487
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$571
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$355
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-101
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,242
- Closing costs
- $3,269
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $355 · $4,260/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,969 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,969 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,969 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,969 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,969 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $108,969 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $108,969 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,969 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,969 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,969 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,969 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $108,969 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $108,969 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $108,969 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,969 Active 250 DOM
-
2025-11-20status Active 953-char remark
Show marketing remark (953 chars)
Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.
-
2025-10-02historical Active with Contract 953-char remark
Show marketing remark (953 chars)
Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.
-
2025-09-23$108,969 Active 953-char remark
Show marketing remark (953 chars)
Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,104
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$1,211
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − HOA
- −$4,260
- − Depreciation
- −$3,170
- Taxable loss
- −$2,823
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$678
- After-tax cash flow
- $-536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This move-in-ready manufactured home offers a good condition with modern finishes and energy-efficient construction, making it an ideal option for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
- Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
- Resale New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value. ↑
- Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value. ↑
- Resale New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Starksboro
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,618
Population outlook (Addison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,078 people
- By 2030
- 36,688 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 34,988 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 32,561 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 27,584 · -25.6%
- By 2100
- 22,720 · -38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Slovak 5% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Addison
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.9) · D 66.4% · R 30.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.2pp · 2024: 35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.9 2020: D+39.4 2016: D+33.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+39.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Current HPI
- 178.0191
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-20 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2025-10-02 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $108,969 PrimeMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…