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134 Hillside Dr
D+ Composite 45.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.2/15.0

$108,969

134 Hillside Dr · Starksboro, VT 05487
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 907 sqft · Manufactured · 268 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $120/sqft · 12% above area Est $97k · 12% over $355/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 268 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (13.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 104 units permitted in Addison County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Addison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,334 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.79%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,451
List price
$108,969
Delta
11.82%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5056 Big Hollow Rd 0.07mi 3/2.0 880 (-3%) 4mo $106,314 $121 88
5032 Big Hollow Rd 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 790 (-13%) 4mo $99,879 $126 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$19,466
Equity at exit
$62,303
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$64,716
Equity at exit
$107,986

Cash invested: $30,511 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05487

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$571
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$355
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$-101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,473
Max offer price $94,334
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,242
Closing costs
$3,269
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$355 · $4,260/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,969 Active 268 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,969 Active 267 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,969 Active 266 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,969 Active 265 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,969 Active 264 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $108,969 Active 263 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $108,969 Active 262 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,969 Active 259 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,969 Active 258 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,969 Active 257 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,969 Active 256 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $108,969 Active 253 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $108,969 Active 252 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $108,969 Active 251 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $108,969 Active 250 DOM
  16. 2025-11-20
    status Active 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.

  17. 2025-10-02
    historical Active with Contract 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.

  18. 2025-09-23
    listed $108,969 Active 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    Welcome to 134 Hillside Drive, Starksboro, VT , where modern comfort meets affordability in Hillside Manor! This brand-new #12 Eagle River EN721111-3B model manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathroom, and 907 sq. ft. (13'4"x68 ft. ) of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an open-concept layout with stylish finishes, a bright living area, and a well-appointed kitchen. The home features energy-efficient construction, modern appliances, and low-maintenance materials, making it perfect for easy living. Located in a peaceful and well-maintained community, this home is ideal for those looking for a move-in-ready option in a convenient location. Don’t miss out on this opportunity! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a tour. The interior is 100% complete. Home is available for showing. This property participates in the Mobile Home Infill Program (MHIP) and is open to anyone who works or lives in Vermont.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,139
− Mortgage interest
−$6,104
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$1,211
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,291
− Management
−$1,291
− HOA
−$4,260
− Depreciation
−$3,170
Taxable loss
−$2,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$678
After-tax cash flow
$-536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready manufactured home offers a good condition with modern finishes and energy-efficient construction, making it an ideal option for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
  • Resale New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.
  • Resale New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and can increase resale value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Starksboro

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,618

Population outlook (Addison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,078 people
By 2030
36,688 · -1.1%
By 2040
34,988 · -5.6%
By 2050
32,561 · -12.2%
By 2075
27,584 · -25.6%
By 2100
22,720 · -38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Slovak 5% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Addison

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.9) · D 66.4% · R 30.6% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.2pp · 2024: 35.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.9 2020: D+39.4 2016: D+33.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+39.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.08%
Current HPI
178.0191
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $108,969 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…