4025 State St #40 · Eastern Goleta Valley, CA 93110

$399,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Other · 43 Days on market

Built 1973 1,742 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.0/30.0
• DSCR +9.9/10.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.0/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

Key facts

• Fenced rear garden
• Breakfast bar
• 1,742 sq ft lot

Tags

• LUXURY-PLANK VINYL FLOORING
• NEW KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS
• SPACIOUS SUNNY REAR DECK
• FENCED REAR GARDEN
• EXTRA STORAGE WITH TWO SHEDS
• BREAKFAST BAR

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed (with limitations)
• HOA & community: Community association with amenities; Clubhouse; Guest parking; RV/boat storage; Association covers property management and common area maintenance

Exterior

• Parking: Carport
• Utilities: Municipal water (Goleta)
• Home design: Single-story double-wide mobile home; Entry/placement within a 74-building community
• Construction: Diamond manufactured home; Composition roof; Other foundation
• Exterior features: Shed(s); Level lot; Near public transit; Mountain and setting views

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Updated/remodeled condition; Good condition; Dining area; Breakfast bar
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; 220V electrical outlet; Gas hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $399k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
• Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 1.2% in Eastern Goleta Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,058/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($129k/yr) (locally 415% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $19k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
• Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 9 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $76k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $312k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 9→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $387,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.30%
• DSCR: 1.59
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 22.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.32×
• Total profit: $147,551
• Equity at exit: $201,276

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.50×
• Total profit: $390,534
• Equity at exit: $328,389

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 93110

• Home prices YoY: 1.2%
• Active inventory: 49
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,058 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,092
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
• Insurance: −$166
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,062
• Net cashflow: $1,238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,490

Max offer price $399,000

Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,514	-5% $1,376	+0% $1,238	+5% $1,100	+10% $962
Rent	-10% $839	-5% $1,038	+0% $1,238	+5% $1,438	+10% $1,638
Rate	-1.0pp $1,439	-0.5pp $1,340	base $1,238	+0.5pp $1,135	+1.0pp $1,029

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $99,750
• Closing costs: $11,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
30 La Cumbre Cir Santa Barbara, CA	2.0	2.0	1092	$4,400	$4.03	14d	1	0.75mi
4099 Foothill Rd Santa Barbara, CA	2.0–3.0	1.5–2.5	1450	$4,200	$2.90	15d	2	0.85mi
4120 Via Andorra Unit A Santa Barbara, CA	3.0	2.5	1456	$5,950	$4.09	24d	1	1.07mi
1337 Plaza Pacifica Santa Barbara, CA	2.0	2.5	1686	$15,900	$9.43	14d	1	1.25mi
1337 Plaza Pacifica Santa Barbara, CA	2.0	2.5	1686	$16,400	$9.73	24d	1	1.25mi
277 Canon Dr Santa Barbara, CA	3.0	3.0	1710	$12,000	$7.02	14d	1	1.32mi
4632 Tajo Dr Santa Barbara, CA	3.0	2.0	1251	$5,150	$4.12	15d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $399,000 Active 43 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $399,000 Active 40 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $399,000 Active 39 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $399,000 Active 38 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $399,000 Active 35 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $399,000 Active 32 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $399,000 Active 31 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $399,000 Active 30 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 29 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 25 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $399,000 Active 24 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $450,000 Active 23 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $450,000 Active 22 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $450,000 Active 21 DOM
16. 2026-05-19
    price $450,000
17. 2026-05-09
    listed $475,000 Active
18. 2026-05-06
    historical
19. 2026-04-29
    listed $475,000 Active
20. 2023-10-26
    soldstatus $312,000 Closed 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

21. 2023-10-26
    soldstatus $312,000 Closed Sale

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

22. 2023-10-21
    status Pending Sale
23. 2023-09-18
    historical Active Under Contract

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

24. 2023-09-18
    status Pending 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

25. 2023-09-04
    price $322,949 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

26. 2023-09-03
    price $322,949
27. 2023-08-25
    price $322,954 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

28. 2023-08-25
    price $322,954

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

29. 2023-08-18
    price $322,959 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

30. 2023-08-18
    price $322,959

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

31. 2023-08-10
    price $322,964 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

32. 2023-08-10
    price $322,964

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

33. 2023-08-04
    price $322,969 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

34. 2023-08-04
    price $322,969

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

35. 2023-07-28
    price $322,974 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

36. 2023-07-28
    price $322,974

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

37. 2023-07-20
    price $322,979 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

38. 2023-07-20
    price $322,979

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

39. 2023-07-14
    price $322,984 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

40. 2023-07-14
    price $322,984

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

41. 2023-07-06
    price $322,989 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

42. 2023-07-06
    price $322,989

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

43. 2023-06-30
    price $322,994 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

44. 2023-05-05
    listed $322,999 Active 612-char remark

    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Brand new flooring just installed and a fresh coat of paint in beds and hall bath. Lowest list price in this park. A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to live in Santa Barbara for space rent of $560.55. Can you picture yourself in Santa Barbara in this 55+ community with a short drive to all that Santa Barbara has to offer, ocean, shopping, downtown, and more? Views of the mountains from the back deck and the kitchen window. This home has 2 beds and 2 full baths with yard space and fencing. Parking for 2 cars in the carport and 2 storage units in the side yard. You won't find opportunities like this often.

45. 2023-05-01
    historical
46. 2023-04-14
    price $322,999
47. 2023-04-14
    price $322,999
48. 2023-03-31
    price $323,000
49. 2023-03-31
    price $323,000
50. 2023-03-03
    status Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 9 d/yr ≥84°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $60,691
• − Mortgage interest: −$22,350
• − Property taxes: −$5,985
• − Insurance: −$1,995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,855
• − Management: −$4,855
• − Depreciation: −$11,607
• Taxable income: $9,043
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,170
• After-tax cash flow: $12,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Eastern Goleta Valley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Eastern Goleta Valley, CA
• County: Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
• City population: 34,619
• Metro: Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
• Population (ZIP): 15,436
• Household income: $129,209
• Rent vs Own: 36.3% rent · 63.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 415.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 484,679 people
• By 2030: 505,323 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 545,783 · +12.6%
• By 2050: 584,263 · +20.5%
• By 2075: 682,586 · +40.8%
• By 2100: 723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 14% Asian 5% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.96%
• Current HPI: 323.0805
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+138.1% since first listed

48 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $450,000 SBMLS
• 2026-05-09 Listed $475,000 SBMLS
• 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — SBMLS
• 2026-04-29 Listed $475,000 SBMLS
• 2023-10-26 Sold (MLS) $312,000 CRMLS
• 2023-10-26 Sold (MLS) $312,000 SBMLS
• 2023-10-21 Pending — CRMLS
• 2023-09-18 Contingent — CRMLS
• 2023-09-18 Pending — SBMLS
• 2023-09-04 Price Changed $322,949 SBMLS
• 2023-09-03 Price Changed $322,949 CRMLS
• 2023-08-25 Price Changed $322,954 SBMLS
• 2023-08-25 Price Changed $322,954 CRMLS
• 2023-08-18 Price Changed $322,959 SBMLS
• 2023-08-18 Price Changed $322,959 CRMLS
• 2023-08-10 Price Changed $322,964 SBMLS
• 2023-08-10 Price Changed $322,964 CRMLS
• 2023-08-04 Price Changed $322,969 SBMLS
• 2023-08-04 Price Changed $322,969 CRMLS
• 2023-07-28 Price Changed $322,974 SBMLS
• 2023-07-28 Price Changed $322,974 CRMLS
• 2023-07-20 Price Changed $322,979 SBMLS
• 2023-07-20 Price Changed $322,979 CRMLS
• 2023-07-14 Price Changed $322,984 SBMLS
• 2023-07-14 Price Changed $322,984 CRMLS
• 2023-07-06 Price Changed $322,989 SBMLS
• 2023-07-06 Price Changed $322,989 CRMLS
• 2023-06-30 Price Changed $322,994 SBMLS
• 2023-05-05 Listed $322,999 SBMLS
• 2023-05-01 Listing Removed — SBMLS
• 2023-04-14 Price Changed $322,999 SBMLS
• 2023-04-14 Price Changed $322,999 CRMLS
• 2023-03-31 Price Changed $323,000 SBMLS
• 2023-03-31 Price Changed $323,000 CRMLS
• 2023-03-03 Relisted — CRMLS
• 2023-02-25 Relisted — SBMLS
• 2023-02-02 Contingent — CRMLS
• 2023-01-31 Pending — SBMLS
• 2023-01-06 Price Changed $333,750 SBMLS
• 2023-01-06 Price Changed $333,750 CRMLS
• 2022-10-29 Listed $338,750 CRMLS
• 2022-10-28 Listed $338,750 SBMLS
• 2007-05-25 Sold (MLS) $207,500 SBMLS
• 2007-04-19 Listing Removed — SBMLS
• 2007-03-28 Listed $215,000 SBMLS
• 2005-02-25 Sold (MLS) $189,000 SBMLS
• 2005-01-25 Listing Removed — SBMLS
• 2005-01-19 Listed $189,000 SBMLS