11710 Chadbrook Ln · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,599 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Park Glen association; Annual association fee: $120
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (First level entry)
- Construction: Built in 1972; Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Private yard; Back yard fence; Storage; Shed(s); Subdivision setting; Backs to greenbelt/park; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (First level)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First level); Bedroom (First level); Bedroom (First level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Pantry; Tub with shower; Ceiling fan(s); Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-253 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (24.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Alief ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #717 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cummings El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 545 students, 95% FRL); Holub Middle (math 22% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,156 of 1,662 statewide, top 71%, 791 students, 87% FRL); Alief Isd J J A E P (13 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.85%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,401
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -19.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11702 Ensbrook Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+8%) | 3mo | $188,000 | $131 | 79 |
| 11614 Brookledge Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+0%) | 6mo | $209,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 11518 Lansbury Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+8%) | 7mo | $249,990 | $175 | 71 |
| 11531 Dunfield Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+8%) | 12mo | $262,999 | $183 | 68 |
| 11519 Hornbrook Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,310 (-1%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $149 | 67 |
| 11727 Brook Meadows Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (+6%) | 13mo | $284,900 | $203 | 64 |
| 11619 Hornbrook Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (-3%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 11803 Brook Meadows Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (+6%) | 17mo | $279,500 | $200 | 60 |
| 10710 Bayou Place Ct Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,413 (+7%) | 16mo | $179,900 | $127 | 54 |
| 11207 Windmark Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,449 (+9%) | 11mo | $219,000 | $151 | 51 |
| 11211 Windmark Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (+12%) | 10mo | $209,900 | $142 | 48 |
| 10315 Leawood Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-7%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $183 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.64% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,622
- Equity at exit
- $79,448
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $16,181
- Equity at exit
- $119,609
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77099
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,515 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$392 /mo · $4,708/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $-253
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-148 | -5% $-200 | +0% $-253 | +5% $-305 | +10% $-357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-372 | -5% $-312 | +0% $-253 | +5% $-193 | +10% $-133 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-159 | -0.5pp $-205 | base $-253 | +0.5pp $-300 | +1.0pp $-349 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11717 S Kirkwood Rd Unit 3224 Stafford, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,425 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 11717 S Kirkwood Rd Stafford, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,479 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 11217 Pender Ln Stafford, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 9d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 10896 W Bellfort Ave Unit AASF Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,529 | $1.64 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10896 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,529 | $1.64 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 3047 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,934 | $1.56 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,529 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10356 Lands End Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,377 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10976 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,544 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,543 | $1.66 | 12d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,519 | $1.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10952 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,974 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,934 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 3148 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,883 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,503 | $1.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,519 | $1.63 | 9d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10925 Stancliff Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,425 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11418 Creekhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $1,697 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10250 Lands End Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,399 | $1.86 | 26d | 16 | 0.88mi |
| 12300 W Bellfort Ave Unit AAK Meadows Place, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,479 | $1.59 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 12300 W Bellfort Ave Meadows Place, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,479 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11715 S Glen Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $1,304 | $1.64 | 0d | 29 | 1.11mi |
| 9761 Court Glen Dr Unit 123 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $989 | $1.06 | 26d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11735 S Glen Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 853 | $1,410 | $1.65 | 4d | 23 | 1.20mi |
| 10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10333 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,313 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 11117 Signal Way Stafford, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1143 | $3,662 | $3.20 | 13d | 83 | 1.25mi |
| 10306 S Wilcrest Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,349 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 11101 W Airport Blvd Stafford, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1112 | $4,366 | $3.93 | 26d | 39 | 1.26mi |
| 9797 Leawood Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 45d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 10440 South Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $1,340 | $1.73 | 3d | 27 | 1.32mi |
| 9850 S Kirkwood Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 736 | $1,210 | $1.64 | 21d | 15 | 1.38mi |
| 10411 South Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 757 | $1,495 | $1.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9734 Clifton Park Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,774 | $0.99 | 7d | 4 | 1.40mi |
| 12506 Panther Place Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $1,825 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Pending 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Pending 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $185,000 Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$185,000 Active
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,708 · $392/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,708 · $392/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$4,708
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,455
- − Management
- −$1,455
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$6,224
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,494
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alief ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,775
- Composite
- 21.29/100
- National rank
- #8391
- State rank
- #717 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,064
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3423.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 31% Asian 14% Two or more races 14% White 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.64%
- Current HPI
- 334.6278
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.69%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $185,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,708 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…