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11710 Chadbrook Ln
D Composite 43.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$185,000

11710 Chadbrook Ln · Houston, TX 77099
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,325 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1972 6,599 sqft lot $140/sqft · 19% below area Est $229k · 19% under $10/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,599 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Park Glen association; Annual association fee: $120

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (First level entry)
  • Construction: Built in 1972; Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Private yard; Back yard fence; Storage; Shed(s); Subdivision setting; Backs to greenbelt/park; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (First level)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First level); Bedroom (First level); Bedroom (First level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Pantry; Tub with shower; Ceiling fan(s); Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-253 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (24.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Alief ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #717 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cummings El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 545 students, 95% FRL); Holub Middle (math 22% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,156 of 1,662 statewide, top 71%, 791 students, 87% FRL); Alief Isd J J A E P (13 students, 77% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,392 (24.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.85%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,401
List price
$185,000
Delta
-19.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11702 Ensbrook Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+8%) 3mo $188,000 $131 79
11614 Brookledge Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+0%) 6mo $209,000 $157 72
11518 Lansbury Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,428 (+8%) 7mo $249,990 $175 71
11531 Dunfield Ln 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+8%) 12mo $262,999 $183 68
11519 Hornbrook Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,310 (-1%) 1mo $195,000 $149 67
11727 Brook Meadows Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,401 (+6%) 13mo $284,900 $203 64
11619 Hornbrook Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,289 (-3%) 10mo $225,000 $175 62
11803 Brook Meadows Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,401 (+6%) 17mo $279,500 $200 60
10710 Bayou Place Ct Ct 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,413 (+7%) 16mo $179,900 $127 54
11207 Windmark Pl 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,449 (+9%) 11mo $219,000 $151 51
11211 Windmark Pl 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,477 (+12%) 10mo $209,900 $142 48
10315 Leawood Blvd 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (-7%) 12mo $225,000 $183 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.64% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,622
Equity at exit
$79,448
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$16,181
Equity at exit
$119,609

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77099

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,515 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$392 /mo · $4,708/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$10
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$-253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,835
Max offer price $140,392
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-148 -5% $-200 +0% $-253 +5% $-305 +10% $-357
Rent -10% $-372 -5% $-312 +0% $-253 +5% $-193 +10% $-133
Rate -1.0pp $-159 -0.5pp $-205 base $-253 +0.5pp $-300 +1.0pp $-349

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11717 S Kirkwood Rd Unit 3224 Stafford, TX 2.0 2.0 1190 $1,425 $1.20 45d 1 0.09mi
11717 S Kirkwood Rd Stafford, TX 2.0 2.0 930 $1,479 $1.59 45d 1 0.12mi
11217 Pender Ln Stafford, TX 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,595 $1.42 9d 1 0.51mi
10896 W Bellfort Ave Unit AASF Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,529 $1.64 26d 1 0.63mi
10896 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,529 $1.64 20d 1 0.63mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 3047 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,934 $1.56 12d 1 0.63mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,529 $1.64 45d 1 0.63mi
10356 Lands End Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1133 $1,377 $1.22 45d 1 0.63mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10976 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,544 $1.66 45d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,543 $1.66 12d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,519 $1.63 7d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10952 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,974 $1.47 45d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 3174 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,934 $1.56 0d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 3148 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,883 $1.52 0d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,503 $1.61 0d 1 0.64mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,519 $1.63 9d 1 0.64mi
10925 Stancliff Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,425 $1.53 45d 1 0.66mi
11418 Creekhurst Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1740 $1,697 $0.98 45d 1 0.72mi
10250 Lands End Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $1,399 $1.86 26d 16 0.88mi
12300 W Bellfort Ave Unit AAK Meadows Place, TX 2.0 2.0 930 $1,479 $1.59 26d 1 0.93mi
12300 W Bellfort Ave Meadows Place, TX 2.0 2.0 930 $1,479 $1.59 20d 1 0.93mi
11715 S Glen Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 796 $1,304 $1.64 0d 29 1.11mi
9761 Court Glen Dr Unit 123 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 929 $989 $1.06 26d 1 1.19mi
11735 S Glen Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 853 $1,410 $1.65 4d 23 1.20mi
10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10333 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,313 $1.09 0d 1 1.21mi
11117 Signal Way Stafford, TX 3.0 1.0–3.0 1143 $3,662 $3.20 13d 83 1.25mi
10306 S Wilcrest Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,349 $1.12 45d 1 1.25mi
11101 W Airport Blvd Stafford, TX 3.0 1.0–3.0 1112 $4,366 $3.93 26d 39 1.26mi
9797 Leawood Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,175 $1.07 45d 2 1.31mi
10440 South Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,340 $1.73 3d 27 1.32mi
9850 S Kirkwood Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 736 $1,210 $1.64 21d 15 1.38mi
10411 South Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 757 $1,495 $1.97 45d 1 1.38mi
9734 Clifton Park Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,774 $0.99 7d 4 1.40mi
12506 Panther Place Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1730 $1,825 $1.05 45d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$10 · $120/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Pending 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Pending 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Pending 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $185,000 Pending 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $185,000 Active
  16. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,708 · $392/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,708 · $392/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,184
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$4,708
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,455
− Management
−$1,455
− HOA
−$120
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$6,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,494
After-tax cash flow
$-1,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alief ISD
NCES district ID
4807830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,775
Composite
21.29/100
National rank
#8391
State rank
#717 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
50,064
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
62.6% rent · 37.4% own
Severe rent burden
3423.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 31% Asian 14% Two or more races 14% White 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Foreign-born
46% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.64%
Current HPI
334.6278
Rent YoY
▼ -1.69%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $185,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,708 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…