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613-615 S New York Rd
B- Composite 66.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

613-615 S New York Rd · Absecon Highlands, NJ 08205
6 bd · 0.0 ba · — sqft · SingleFamily · 190 Days on market
Built 1900 Poor condition 0.43 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wow! Redevelopment opportunity in a designated Redevelopment Zone! 613 & 615 S New York Ave are being sold together—but will not be sold individually—even though each parcel holds a separate deed. Originally used as a boarding house, these lots offer strong potential for adaptive reuse or ground-up development. Concept plans are available for potential townhome development, with additional options under Galloway Township's Redevelopment Plan. Although currently deed-restricted for moderate to affordable housing, opportunity still exists for strategic redevelopment aligned with township goals.

Key facts

  • 0.43 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $199k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Greater Egg Harbor Regional High School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #319 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $175,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.55%
Cash-on-cash
29.51%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$55,067
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$160,527
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08205

Home prices YoY
-12.3%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax est. 1.5%
$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$730
Net cashflow
$1,370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,741
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,508 -5% $1,439 +0% $1,370 +5% $1,301 +10% $1,233
Rent -10% $1,096 -5% $1,233 +0% $1,370 +5% $1,507 +10% $1,645
Rate -1.0pp $1,470 -0.5pp $1,421 base $1,370 +0.5pp $1,319 +1.0pp $1,266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,000 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 183 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,000 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 172 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 171 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 170 DOM
  17. 2025-12-11
    listed $199,000 Active 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Wow! Redevelopment opportunity in a designated Redevelopment Zone! 613 & 615 S New York Ave are being sold together—but will not besold individually—even though each parcel holds a separate deed. Originally used as a boarding house, these lots offer strong potential foradaptive reuse or ground-up development. Concept plans are available for potential townhome development, with additional options underGalloway Township's Redevelopment Plan. Although currently deed-restricted for moderate to affordable housing, opportunity still exists forstrategic redevelopment aligned with township goals.

  18. 2025-12-11
    listed $199,000 Active 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Wow! Redevelopment opportunity in a designated Redevelopment Zone! 613 & 615 S New York Ave are being sold together—but will not besold individually—even though each parcel holds a separate deed. Originally used as a boarding house, these lots offer strong potential foradaptive reuse or ground-up development. Concept plans are available for potential townhome development, with additional options underGalloway Township's Redevelopment Plan. Although currently deed-restricted for moderate to affordable housing, opportunity still exists forstrategic redevelopment aligned with township goals.

  19. 2025-12-10
    historical
  20. 2025-12-10
    historical
  21. 2025-12-10
    historical
  22. 2025-12-10
    historical
  23. 2025-12-04
    listed $199,000 Active
  24. 2025-08-21
    historical
  25. 2025-08-21
    historical
  26. 2025-07-11
    listed $199,000 Active
  27. 2025-07-11
    listed $199,000 Active
  28. 2025-07-11
    listed $199,000 Active
  29. 2025-07-11
    listed $199,000 Active
  30. 2025-07-11
    historical
  31. 2025-07-11
    historical
  32. 2025-06-19
    price $99,000
  33. 2025-06-19
    price $399,000
  34. 2025-06-18
    price $399,000
  35. 2025-06-18
    price $99,000
  36. 2025-05-16
    listed $499,000 Active
  37. 2025-05-16
    listed $159,000 Active
  38. 2025-04-14
    listed $499,000 Active
  39. 2025-04-13
    listed $159,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,701
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,985
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,336
− Management
−$3,336
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$14,113
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,387
After-tax cash flow
$13,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant structural and aesthetic improvements are needed to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bath — Structural damage
  • Major Boarded-up windows — Security and weather protection
  • Major Missing shingles on roof — Leakage and safety hazard
  • Major Peeling paint on exterior and interior — Aesthetic and safety hazard
  • Major Structural damage to foundation — Stability and safety hazard

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace missing shingles — Prevents water damage and improves safety
  • Both Board up windows — Improves security and weather protection
  • Both Replace exposed subfloor — Prevents further structural damage and improves safety
  • Both Inspect and repair foundation — Ensures structural stability and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bath · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Boarded-up windows · Security and weather protection Major $15,000–50,000
Missing shingles on roof · Leakage and safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Peeling paint on exterior and interior · Aesthetic and safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Structural damage to foundation · Stability and safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace missing shingles — Prevents water damage and improves safety
  • Both Board up windows — Improves security and weather protection
  • Both Replace exposed subfloor — Prevents further structural damage and improves safety
  • Both Inspect and repair foundation — Ensures structural stability and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Egg Harbor Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3406060
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$58,324
Composite
28.94/100
National rank
#6629
State rank
#319 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Absecon Highlands

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Absecon Highlands, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
28,877
Household income
$93,370
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
732.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 9% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.12%
Current HPI
315.4814
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.2% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $199,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $199,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $99,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $399,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $499,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-14 Listed $499,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-04-13 Listed $159,000 SJSRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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