613-615 S New York Rd · Absecon Highlands, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow! Redevelopment opportunity in a designated Redevelopment Zone! 613 & 615 S New York Ave are being sold together—but will not be sold individually—even though each parcel holds a separate deed. Originally used as a boarding house, these lots offer strong potential for adaptive reuse or ground-up development. Concept plans are available for potential townhome development, with additional options under Galloway Township's Redevelopment Plan. Although currently deed-restricted for moderate to affordable housing, opportunity still exists for strategic redevelopment aligned with township goals.
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $199k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Greater Egg Harbor Regional High School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #319 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.51%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $55,067
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $160,527
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08205
- Home prices YoY
- -12.3%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,475 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$730
- Net cashflow
- $1,370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,508 | -5% $1,439 | +0% $1,370 | +5% $1,301 | +10% $1,233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,096 | -5% $1,233 | +0% $1,370 | +5% $1,507 | +10% $1,645 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,470 | -0.5pp $1,421 | base $1,370 | +0.5pp $1,319 | +1.0pp $1,266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
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2026-06-19days on market $199,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $199,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $199,000 Active 170 DOM
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2025-12-11$199,000 Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
Wow! Redevelopment opportunity in a designated Redevelopment Zone! 613 & 615 S New York Ave are being sold together—but will not besold individually—even though each parcel holds a separate deed. Originally used as a boarding house, these lots offer strong potential foradaptive reuse or ground-up development. Concept plans are available for potential townhome development, with additional options underGalloway Township's Redevelopment Plan. Although currently deed-restricted for moderate to affordable housing, opportunity still exists forstrategic redevelopment aligned with township goals.
-
2025-12-11$199,000 Active 613-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
Wow! Redevelopment opportunity in a designated Redevelopment Zone! 613 & 615 S New York Ave are being sold together—but will not besold individually—even though each parcel holds a separate deed. Originally used as a boarding house, these lots offer strong potential foradaptive reuse or ground-up development. Concept plans are available for potential townhome development, with additional options underGalloway Township's Redevelopment Plan. Although currently deed-restricted for moderate to affordable housing, opportunity still exists forstrategic redevelopment aligned with township goals.
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2025-12-10historical
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2025-12-10historical
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2025-12-10historical
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2025-12-10historical
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2025-12-04$199,000 Active
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2025-08-21historical
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2025-08-21historical
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2025-07-11$199,000 Active
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2025-07-11$199,000 Active
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2025-07-11$199,000 Active
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2025-07-11$199,000 Active
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2025-07-11historical
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2025-07-11historical
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2025-06-19price $99,000
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2025-06-19price $399,000
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2025-06-18price $399,000
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2025-06-18price $99,000
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2025-05-16$499,000 Active
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2025-05-16$159,000 Active
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2025-04-14$499,000 Active
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2025-04-13$159,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$2,985
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,336
- − Management
- −$3,336
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $14,113
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,387
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant structural and aesthetic improvements are needed to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bath — Structural damage
- Major Boarded-up windows — Security and weather protection
- Major Missing shingles on roof — Leakage and safety hazard
- Major Peeling paint on exterior and interior — Aesthetic and safety hazard
- Major Structural damage to foundation — Stability and safety hazard
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace missing shingles — Prevents water damage and improves safety
- Both Board up windows — Improves security and weather protection
- Both Replace exposed subfloor — Prevents further structural damage and improves safety
- Both Inspect and repair foundation — Ensures structural stability and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bath · Structural damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Boarded-up windows · Security and weather protection | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Missing shingles on roof · Leakage and safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Peeling paint on exterior and interior · Aesthetic and safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Structural damage to foundation · Stability and safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace missing shingles — Prevents water damage and improves safety ↑
- Both Board up windows — Improves security and weather protection ↑
- Both Replace exposed subfloor — Prevents further structural damage and improves safety ↑
- Both Inspect and repair foundation — Ensures structural stability and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Egg Harbor Regional High School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406060
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,324
- Composite
- 28.94/100
- National rank
- #6629
- State rank
- #319 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Absecon Highlands
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Absecon Highlands, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,877
- Household income
- $93,370
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 732.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 9% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.12%
- Current HPI
- 315.4814
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+25.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-11 Listed $199,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-12-11 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $199,000 GSMLS
- 2025-08-21 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-08-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-11 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $199,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $99,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $399,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-16 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-16 Listed $499,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed $499,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-04-13 Listed $159,000 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…