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1121 Avenue E
B Composite 71.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

1121 Avenue E · Fort Madison, IA 52627
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 192 Days on market
Built 1890 3,485 sqft lot $26/sqft · 55% below area ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This house is nicely located near the FM downtown and river area. It boasts a sizable 2 car garage. It needs some fixing up but has potential. This property is selling as an estate and is selling AS-IS. Make an appointment with your realtor today!

Key facts

  • River area
  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

RIVER AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.9% vs local median 5.3% in Fort Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#230 in IA, #4,353 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Fort Madison Community School District (town): math 55% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #260 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.51%
Cap rate
27.90%
Cash-on-cash
77.15%
DSCR
4.43
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,253
List price
$25,000
Delta
-54.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1205 Avenue G 0.16mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+5%) 7mo $45,000 $44 74
1322 Avenue G 0.20mi 2/1.0 (+1) 973 (-0%) 14mo $17,900 $18 74
1316 Avenue G 0.25mi 2/1.0 (+1) 892 (-8%) 9mo $75,000 $84 62
1215 Avenue G 0.16mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,099 (+13%) 7mo $10,000 $9 60
1515 Avenue C Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,059 (+9%) 8mo $120,000 $113 56
1328 Avenue G 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 860 (-12%) 10mo $37,500 $44 54
1430 Avenue I 0.44mi 2/1.0 (+1) 960 (-2%) 21mo $160,000 $167 54
1731 Avenue J 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 990 (+2%) 8mo $54,000 $55 53
414 18th St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (+1) 921 (-6%) 7mo $35,000 $38 51
1106 Avenue E 0.05mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+15%) 20mo $53,000 $47 49
1501 Avenue D 0.35mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (+12%) 20mo $35,000 $32 40
435 Avenue A 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+7%) 23mo $85,000 $82 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.2%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$24,669
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
80.8%
Equity multiple
9.37×
Total profit
$58,620
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52627

Home prices YoY
-28.6%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,218/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $308
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $25,000 Pending 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 190 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 189 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-05-05
    price $25,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    This house is nicely located near the FM downtown and river area. It boasts a sizable 2 car garage. It needs some fixing up but has potential. This property is selling as an estate and is selling AS-IS. Make an appointment with your realtor today!

  8. 2026-03-23
    price $29,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    This house is nicely located near the FM downtown and river area. It boasts a sizable 2 car garage. It needs some fixing up but has potential. This property is selling as an estate and is selling AS-IS. Make an appointment with your realtor today!

  9. 2025-11-24
    listed $35,000 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    This house is nicely located near the FM downtown and river area. It boasts a sizable 2 car garage. It needs some fixing up but has potential. This property is selling as an estate and is selling AS-IS. Make an appointment with your realtor today!

  10. 2016-08-22
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,218 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,218 · $102/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,528
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$1,218
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$842
− Management
−$842
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$5,373
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,289
After-tax cash flow
$4,111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Madison Community School District
NCES district ID
1911850
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,801
Composite
47.87/100
National rank
#2218
State rank
#260 of 289 in IA

Livability — Fort Madison

Score
75/100
State rank
#230
US rank
#4353

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Madison, IA
Population (ZIP)
12,585

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,813 people
By 2030
32,835 · -2.9%
By 2040
30,690 · -9.2%
By 2050
28,777 · -14.9%
By 2075
25,568 · -24.4%
By 2100
21,983 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.0% · R 62.9% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+16.1 2012: D+16.0 2008: D+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.32%
Current HPI
175.7708
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $25,000 IAR
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $29,000 IAR
  • 2025-11-24 Listed $35,000 IAR
  • 2016-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,218 · +46.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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