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1348 Pierce Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 79.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$155,000

1348 Pierce Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,216 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1928 4,092 sqft lot $48/sqft · at area comps Est $154k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

Key facts

  • 4,092 sq ft lot
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 64 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property configured as a 2-unit building with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Unit rents indicated: one unit at $775, the other at $900; Owner pays water and trash collection; rent includes water and trash collection; Operating expense details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story multifamily property; Resale condition
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 124

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 1: Dining area with kitchen; Unit 2: Eat-in kitchen with oven/range and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Varies by area
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (each unit has 1 full bathroom)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Carpet and varied flooring throughout
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $878 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $439/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 7.5% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harry F Abate Elementary School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,909 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 695 students, 82% FRL); Gaskill Preparatory School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #702 of 729 statewide, top 96%, 500 students, 78% FRL); Niagara Falls High School (math 75% / reading 92%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,139 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
13.09%
Cash-on-cash
24.28%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,713
List price
$155,000
Delta
0.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1011 Cleveland Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 3,078 (-4%) 18mo $100,000 $32 58
826 Ashland Ave 0.40mi 4/4.0 3,363 (+5%) 19mo $41,000 $12 50
823 17th St 0.35mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,829 (-12%) 13mo $140,000 $49 44
2483 Pierce Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,832 (-12%) 21mo $130,000 $46 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$152,864
Equity at exit
$139,636
10-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
11.07×
Total profit
$437,161
Equity at exit
$301,131

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,369 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,389/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$878

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,257
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $966 -5% $922 +0% $878 +5% $834 +10% $791
Rent -10% $691 -5% $785 +0% $878 +5% $972 +10% $1,065
Rate -1.0pp $956 -0.5pp $918 base $878 +0.5pp $838 +1.0pp $797

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,369

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1935 Niagara St Unit Upper Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 2685 $1,200 $0.45 16d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $155,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $165,000 Active 349-char remark
  17. 2023-11-10
    soldstatus $105,000 Closed Sale or Rented 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  18. 2023-10-23
    status Pending Sale 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  19. 2023-09-14
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  20. 2023-09-11
    price $120,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  21. 2023-08-23
    price $125,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  22. 2023-07-31
    price $129,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  23. 2023-07-28
    price $135,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  24. 2023-07-03
    status Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  25. 2023-06-26
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  26. 2023-06-12
    price $140,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  27. 2023-05-15
    listed $150,000 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Great investment property to add to your real estate portfolio. This brick multi family unit is located just steps to Hyde Park and close to the casino, shopping and more. The first and second unit has separate utilities and are extremely spacious featuring a large kitchen, dining room, living room and generous sized bedrooms. The furnace and hot water tanks are 2 years old.

  28. 1994-08-10
    soldstatus $41,905

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,389 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,004 · $167/mo
Expected delta
+$615/yr (+$51/mo · 44.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,428
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,389
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,274
− Management
−$2,274
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$8,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,046
After-tax cash flow
$8,494/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+269.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $155,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $165,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-11-10 Sold (MLS) $105,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-10-23 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2023-09-14 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2023-09-11 Price Changed $120,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-08-23 Price Changed $125,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-31 Price Changed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-28 Price Changed $135,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-03 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-26 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-12 Price Changed $140,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-15 Listed $150,000 WNYREIS
  • 1994-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $41,905 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,389 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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