906 Laurel St · Southport, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELL MAINTAINED RANCH OFFERS LARGE BEDROOMS WITH H ARDWOOD FLOORS, NEW CERAMIC FLOOR IN BATH, AND NEW LAMINATE WOOD KITCHEN FLOOR. FULL EXPANDABLE BAS EMENT. FENCED YARD. NEWER CARPET. BRIGHT & PERK Y IN COMFORTABLE NEIGHBORHOOD.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Newer roof
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-story residence; Existing structure; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Block foundation; Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot (50 x 128); Main thoroughfare frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 6.5% in Southport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#690 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, health & safety D.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.36%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $103,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 928 Cedar | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (-0%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $117 | 83 |
| 635 Newtown St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 913 (-3%) | 8mo | $123,500 | $135 | 73 |
| 284 Universal Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-6%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $180 | 68 |
| 502 Morley Pl | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-5%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $78 | 68 |
| 916 Spruce St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+7%) | 20mo | $110,525 | $110 | 66 |
| 820 Hazel St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+9%) | 7mo | $147,187 | $143 | 64 |
| 61 Dalrymple Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-1%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 719 Dubois St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+7%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $119 | 55 |
| 266 Robert St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-8%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 268 Robert St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 828 (-12%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $91 | 49 |
| 650 Medina St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 857 (-9%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $53 | 42 |
| 235 Marion St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (-12%) | 14mo | $72,500 | $88 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $8,446
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $33,044
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14904
- Home prices YoY
- -9.6%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Broadway St Elmira, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 235 Allen St Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 550 Spruce St Unit 202 Elmira, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 752 S Main St Unit 2 Elmira, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $995 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 419 Jefferson St Unit A Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 808 Winsor Ave Elmira, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 421-char remark
-
2026-06-02$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,651
- − Insurance
- −$1,016
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,091
- − Management
- −$1,091
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,842
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$682
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Southport
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #690
- US rank
- #13026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southport, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,276
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.33%
- Current HPI
- 220.688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+39.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-12-13 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-06-13 Listed $61,000 UNYREIS
- 2002-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2002-05-31 Sold (MLS) $56,000 UNYREIS
- 2001-09-11 Listed $55,000 UNYREIS
- 1996-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,651 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…