23705 Bartlett St SW · Barton, MD
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large two car garage with a large 4 car driveway! Situated on a large lot with a bubbling creek in the back yard and a rear covered porch looking over the creek and the lovely fruit trees. Newer electrical panel, meter socket, water heater, and upgraded appliances! Interior needs some upgrades.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1919
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-entry garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished area reported by assessor
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Foundation: Other; Above-grade finished area 1,880 (assessor); Below-grade unfinished area 300 (assessor)
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: No; Above- and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Basement present (other type); Living area source: Assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $543 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#417 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.50%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,383
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -57.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18918 Bradley St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 2,000 (+6%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $18 | 78 |
| 23800 Walnut St | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,860 (-1%) | 17mo | $134,900 | $73 | 68 |
| 23808 Hill St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,802 (-4%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $61 | 65 |
| 18425 Takoma Dr SW | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,956 (+4%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 18917 High St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (-12%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 19406 Dogwood Flat Ln SW | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,972 (+5%) | 13mo | $218,000 | $111 | 50 |
| 19423 Dogwood Flat Ln SW | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,946 (+4%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $64 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $45,765
- Equity at exit
- $32,708
- IRR
- 41.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.08×
- Total profit
- $110,598
- Equity at exit
- $53,300
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21521
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $867/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $543
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-18price $65,000 595-char remark
-
2026-05-05$75,000 Active 595-char remark
-
2022-10-17soldstatus $64,100
-
2022-09-12soldstatus $60,500 Closed 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Large two car garage with a large 4 car driveway! Situated on a large lot with a bubbling creek in the back yard and a rear covered porch looking over the creek and the lovely fruit trees. Newer electrical panel, meter socket, water heater, and upgraded appliances! Interior needs some upgrades.
-
2022-08-02historical Active Under Contract 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Large two car garage with a large 4 car driveway! Situated on a large lot with a bubbling creek in the back yard and a rear covered porch looking over the creek and the lovely fruit trees. Newer electrical panel, meter socket, water heater, and upgraded appliances! Interior needs some upgrades.
-
2022-07-25price $60,000 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Large two car garage with a large 4 car driveway! Situated on a large lot with a bubbling creek in the back yard and a rear covered porch looking over the creek and the lovely fruit trees. Newer electrical panel, meter socket, water heater, and upgraded appliances! Interior needs some upgrades.
-
2022-06-03$80,000 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Large two car garage with a large 4 car driveway! Situated on a large lot with a bubbling creek in the back yard and a rear covered porch looking over the creek and the lovely fruit trees. Newer electrical panel, meter socket, water heater, and upgraded appliances! Interior needs some upgrades.
-
2020-04-29soldstatus $26,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Single family home with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 2 car garage. First Time Buyers can complete the HomePath Ready Buyer home ownership course online, attach certificate to offer and request up to 3% closing cost assistance. Ask your agent for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2020-04-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Single family home with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 2 car garage. First Time Buyers can complete the HomePath Ready Buyer home ownership course online, attach certificate to offer and request up to 3% closing cost assistance. Ask your agent for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2020-04-03status Active
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Single family home with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 2 car garage. First Time Buyers can complete the HomePath Ready Buyer home ownership course online, attach certificate to offer and request up to 3% closing cost assistance. Ask your agent for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2020-04-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Single family home with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 2 car garage. First Time Buyers can complete the HomePath Ready Buyer home ownership course online, attach certificate to offer and request up to 3% closing cost assistance. Ask your agent for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2020-03-24$26,500 Active
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Single family home with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and 2 car garage. First Time Buyers can complete the HomePath Ready Buyer home ownership course online, attach certificate to offer and request up to 3% closing cost assistance. Ask your agent for more details. Restrictions apply.
-
2007-06-15soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$867
- − Insurance
- −$992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,263
- − Management
- −$1,263
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,869
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,409
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Barton
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #417
- US rank
- #23375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barton, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,521
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Danish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Current HPI
- 339.4039
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-13.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $64,100 Public Records
- 2022-09-12 Sold (MLS) $60,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-02 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-25 Price Changed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-03 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-29 Sold (MLS) $26,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-03 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-24 Listed $26,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $867 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…