515 W 2nd St · Maryville, MO 64468

$99,500

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 912 sqft · Other public records · 35 Days on market

Built 1890 10,018 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.8/30.0
• DSCR +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home perfect for students or first-time buyers! Features a newer furnace, quiet neighborhood, and versatile 1.5-story layout. Enjoy the oversized 1-car garage with concrete floor, providing plenty of storage and workspace. Full of potential—don’t miss this starter home opportunity!

Key facts

• Versatile layout
• Newer furnace
• Plenty of storage

Tags

• NEWER FURNACE
• QUIET NEIGHBORHOOD
• VERSATILE LAYOUT
• OVERSIZED GARAGE
• PLENTY OF STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; 1.5 stories; Residential property
• Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Deck; Porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (some on the first level and some on the second level)
• Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.2% in Maryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#23 in MO, #2,122 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
• Maryville R-II (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #79 of 324 in MO (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Eugene Field Elem. (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 318 students, 52% FRL); Maryville Middle (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D+, #105 of 391 statewide, top 27%, 442 students, 40% FRL); Maryville High (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #51 of 521 statewide, top 11%, 506 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 25% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Nodaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Nodaway County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $96,515 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.74%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.04×
• Total profit: $1,233
• Equity at exit: $14,836

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.84×
• Total profit: $23,404
• Equity at exit: $8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64468

• Home prices YoY: -25.4%
• Active inventory: 134
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,166 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$522
• Tax from tax record: −$85 /mo · $1,023/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$245
• Net cashflow: $273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $821

Max offer price $99,500

Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $329	-5% $301	+0% $273	+5% $244	+10% $216
Rent	-10% $180	-5% $227	+0% $273	+5% $319	+10% $365
Rate	-1.0pp $323	-0.5pp $298	base $273	+0.5pp $247	+1.0pp $221

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,875
• Closing costs: $2,985
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-06
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-27
   status Active
3. 2026-04-18
   status Pending
4. 2026-03-23
   listed $99,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,023 · $85/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,023 · $85/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,992
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,574
• − Property taxes: −$1,023
• − Insurance: −$498
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,119
• − Management: −$1,119
• − Depreciation: −$2,895
• Taxable income: $1,764
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$423
• After-tax cash flow: $2,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Maryville R-II
• NCES district ID: 2920490
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $35,045
• Composite: 39.24/100
• National rank: #4005
• State rank: #79 of 324 in MO

Livability — Maryville

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #23
• US rank: #2122

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maryville, MO
• City population: 14,315
• Population (ZIP): 14,315

Population outlook (Nodaway County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,010 people
• By 2030: 21,531 · -2.2%
• By 2040: 20,360 · -7.5%
• By 2050: 19,210 · -12.7%
• By 2075: 17,711 · -19.5%
• By 2100: 16,796 · -23.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Nodaway

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.7) · D 27.6% · R 71.4% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.7 2020: R+40.5 2016: R+40.8 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.91%
• Current HPI: 193.2735
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-27 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-18 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-23 Listed $99,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,023 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.